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# Define parameters | |
bkg_val <- 15 # background value | |
xx <- 1e3 # Number of values to simulate from positive and negative distribution | |
xx_pos <- xx; xx_neg <- xx | |
set.seed(1) | |
# Set up plot | |
par(mfcol=c(2,2),mgp=c(2,0.7,0),mar = c(3,3,1,3)) |
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# Define parameters | |
xx <- 1e3 # Number of values to simulate from positive and negative distribution | |
xx_pos <- xx; xx_neg <- xx | |
set.seed(1) | |
# Set up plot | |
par(mfcol=c(2,2),mgp=c(2,0.7,0),mar = c(3,3,1,3)) | |
for(kk in 1:2){ |
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# Define R0 | |
r_number <- 1.4 | |
# Final size model | |
attack_rate <- finalsize::final_size(r_number)$n_infected | |
print(attack_rate) | |
# Calculate total exposures over the whole epidemic | |
# (note: later in epidemic, now-immune people will be re-exposed) |
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# Define delay params | |
param_1 <- log(5) | |
param_2 <- 1 | |
# Onsets at time 0 | |
initial_onsets <- 100 | |
# CFR | |
cfr <- 0.5 |
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# Correcting for real-time CFR bias ------------------------------------------------- | |
# This script builds on the theory outlined in this vignette: | |
# https://epiverse-trace.github.io/cfr/articles/estimate_from_individual_data.html | |
# Load packages | |
library(cfr) | |
library(dplyr) | |
library(ggplot2) | |
library(gridExtra) |
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date | cases | deaths | |
---|---|---|---|
2020-02-05 | 10 | 0 | |
2020-02-06 | 10 | 0 | |
2020-02-07 | 41 | 0 | |
2020-02-08 | 3 | 0 | |
2020-02-09 | 6 | 0 | |
2020-02-10 | 65 | 0 | |
2020-02-11 | 0 | 0 | |
2020-02-12 | 39 | 0 | |
2020-02-13 | 44 | 0 |
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