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| # Define parameters | |
| bkg_val <- 15 # background value | |
| xx <- 1e3 # Number of values to simulate from positive and negative distribution | |
| xx_pos <- xx; xx_neg <- xx | |
| set.seed(1) | |
| # Set up plot | |
| par(mfcol=c(2,2),mgp=c(2,0.7,0),mar = c(3,3,1,3)) |
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| # Define parameters | |
| xx <- 1e3 # Number of values to simulate from positive and negative distribution | |
| xx_pos <- xx; xx_neg <- xx | |
| set.seed(1) | |
| # Set up plot | |
| par(mfcol=c(2,2),mgp=c(2,0.7,0),mar = c(3,3,1,3)) | |
| for(kk in 1:2){ |
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| # Define R0 | |
| r_number <- 1.4 | |
| # Final size model | |
| attack_rate <- finalsize::final_size(r_number)$n_infected | |
| print(attack_rate) | |
| # Calculate total exposures over the whole epidemic | |
| # (note: later in epidemic, now-immune people will be re-exposed) |
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| # Define delay params | |
| param_1 <- log(5) | |
| param_2 <- 1 | |
| # Onsets at time 0 | |
| initial_onsets <- 100 | |
| # CFR | |
| cfr <- 0.5 |
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| # Correcting for real-time CFR bias ------------------------------------------------- | |
| # This script builds on the theory outlined in this vignette: | |
| # https://epiverse-trace.github.io/cfr/articles/estimate_from_individual_data.html | |
| # Load packages | |
| library(cfr) | |
| library(dplyr) | |
| library(ggplot2) | |
| library(gridExtra) |
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| date | cases | deaths | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020-02-05 | 10 | 0 | |
| 2020-02-06 | 10 | 0 | |
| 2020-02-07 | 41 | 0 | |
| 2020-02-08 | 3 | 0 | |
| 2020-02-09 | 6 | 0 | |
| 2020-02-10 | 65 | 0 | |
| 2020-02-11 | 0 | 0 | |
| 2020-02-12 | 39 | 0 | |
| 2020-02-13 | 44 | 0 |
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| # GPT prompt: Edit this odin code to add waning immunity from R to S. | |
| # Explain your edits in the code comments, and make sure parameters and variables are consistent. | |
| # Load packages | |
| library(epidemics) | |
| library(socialmixr) | |
| library(odin) | |
| library(data.table) | |
| library(ggplot2) |
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