Dactile Maps Run (Aug 10)

winning_maps_out.txt

ELECTION TODAY
Base frac dem: 0.5156333333333334
Winning maps:
Unique sets 255
states, P(D_wins_states), P(D_win_states ∩ D_win_nationally), P(D_win_states | D_win_nationally), P(D_win_nationally | D_win_states)
{MI}, 58.0%, 48.0%, 93.0%, 82.7%
{PA}, 53.2%, 47.4%, 91.8%, 89.0%
{WI}, 56.7%, 46.4%, 90.0%, 81.8%
{MI, PA}, 46.4%, 44.8%, 86.9%, 96.6%
{MI, WI}, 48.4%, 44.1%, 85.6%, 91.2%
{PA, WI}, 45.3%, 43.8%, 84.9%, 96.5%
{MI, PA, WI}, 41.9%, 41.9%, 81.3%, 100.0%
{NV}, 39.7%, 31.6%, 61.3%, 79.6%
{AZ}, 38.9%, 30.8%, 59.8%, 79.3%
{MI, NV}, 31.9%, 29.4%, 57.1%, 92.3%
WITH MOVEMENT
Base frac dem: 0.5262333333333333
Winning maps:
Unique sets 255
states, P(D_wins_states), P(D_win_states ∩ D_win_nationally), P(D_win_states | D_win_nationally), P(D_win_nationally | D_win_states)
{MI}, 54.0%, 46.7%, 88.7%, 86.5%
{PA}, 51.5%, 46.1%, 87.6%, 89.4%
{WI}, 53.4%, 45.3%, 86.0%, 84.8%
{MI, PA}, 43.4%, 42.3%, 80.3%, 97.3%
{MI, WI}, 44.6%, 41.7%, 79.3%, 93.6%
{PA, WI}, 42.8%, 41.6%, 79.0%, 97.1%
{MI, PA, WI}, 38.9%, 38.9%, 73.9%, 100.0%
{NV}, 43.2%, 34.4%, 65.4%, 79.6%
{AZ}, 42.2%, 33.8%, 64.3%, 80.1%
{NC}, 36.8%, 33.1%, 63.0%, 90.0%