Created
November 23, 2010 19:16
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WDI Beta over Time
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#Build a dataframe for the value of Beta Across the years | |
i<-0 | |
beta.years<-matrix(0,2,30); | |
#This is a control structure which calculates a linear model for each year in the dataset and fills | |
#in the point estimate for the slope and the stardard error of that estimate into a matrix which | |
#we turn into a data frame. | |
for(i in sort(unique(GDP.giant$year))) {# | |
beta.years[1,i-min(unique(GDP.giant$year))+1]<-coef(summary(lm(lambda~log(GDP.per),data=subset(GDP.giant,year==i))))[2,1]# | |
beta.years[2,i-min(unique(GDP.giant$year))+1]<-coef(summary(lm(lambda~log(GDP.per),data=subset(GDP.giant,year==i))))[2,2] | |
} | |
GDP.beta<-data.frame(t(beta.years),row.names=c(sort(unique(GDP.giant$year)))) | |
names(GDP.beta)<-c("Beta","S.E."); | |
#construct confidence intervals for beta from computed standard errors and the (probably wrong) assumption of normally distributed errors. | |
GDP.beta$lower<-with(GDP.beta,Beta-(qnorm(0.975)*S.E.)); | |
GDP.beta$upper<-with(GDP.beta,Beta+(qnorm(0.975)*S.E.)); | |
#Plot confidence intervals | |
betaint.plot<-qplot(as.numeric(dimnames(GDP.beta)[[1]]),lower,data=GDP.beta,geom="line",main="Beta and 95% Confidence Intervals")+geom_line(mapping=aes(as.numeric(dimnames(GDP.beta)[[1]]),Beta,data=GDP.beta),size=2,colour="blue")+geom_line(mapping=aes(as.numeric(dimnames(GDP.beta)[[1]]),upper,data=GDP.beta))+scale_y_continuous("Beta")+scale_x_continuous(''); | |
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