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| "Title": "Mkts to take decisive turn tomorrow: P N Vijay", | |
| "Tags": "News", | |
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| "Link": "http://www.moneycontrol.com/news/market-outlook/mkts-to-take-decisive-turn-tomorrow-p-n-vijay_303531.html", | |
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| "Tomorrow �s Event Pans", | |
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| "Reason Investor", | |
| "IIP Numbers", | |
| "Indian Growth Story" | |
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| "RedirectedLink": "http://www.moneycontrol.com/news/market-outlook/mkts-to-take-decisive-turn-tomorrow-p-n-vijay_303531.html", | |
| "Content": "<div class=\"gD_15n PT25 FL\" algoscore=\"386.0\">\n <table cellspacing=\"0\" width=\"185px\" align=\"left\" border=\"0\" class=\"MR15\"> \n <tbody> \n <tr> \n <td> \n <div> \n <a href=\"http://www.moneycontrol.com/video/market-outlook/mkts-to-take-decisive-turn-tomorrow-p-n-vijay_303531.html?utm_source=Article_Vid\" target=\"_new\"><img src=\"/getBinaryFile.php?Id=994597\" border=\"0\" alt=\"P N Vijay, Portfolio Manager\" /></a> \n </div> </td> \n </tr> \n </tbody> \n </table> \n <p class=\"normal\" algoscore=\"35.0\">The markets closed near the day's low on Monday. The closed at 4,495 down 23 points while the shut shop at 15,504 down 99 points. </p> \n <br /> \n <p class=\"normal\" algoscore=\"30.0\"> </p> \n <br /> \n <p class=\"normal\" algoscore=\"40.0\">US markets closed moderately lower as traders remained cautious ahead of the most anticipated meeting in years. Asian markets are mostly trading in the red. Crude is currently trading at up 0.57 cents at USD 81.14 per barrel on the Nymex. \n <o:p></o:p></p> \n <br /> \n <p class=\"normal\" algoscore=\"30.0\"> \n <o:p></o:p></p> \n <p class=\"MsoNormal\" algoscore=\"30.0\"> </p> \n <br /> \n <p class=\"normal\" algoscore=\"38.0\">Vijay said that many fund manangers have been hedging bets, slighlty lightening positions and making no fresh commitment ahead of the Fed meet. Tomorrow, the markets will move decisively, he added.</p> \n <br /> \n <p class=\"normal\" algoscore=\"30.0\"> </p> \n <br /> \n <p class=\"normal\" algoscore=\"40.0\">With respect to India, he is worried about the slowing down of the rate sensitive sectors like automobiles etc and believes that it wouldn't be long before this contagion spreads right through the economy, in construction, cement, steel, consumer durables.</p> \n <br /> \n <p class=\"normal\" algoscore=\"30.0\"> </p> \n <br /> \n <p class=\"MsoNormal\" algoscore=\"30.0\"><strong>Excerpts from CNBC-TV18's exclusive interview with PN Vijay:</strong></p> \n <br /> \n <p class=\"MsoNormal\" algoscore=\"30.0\"> \n <o:p></o:p></p> \n <br /> \n <p class=\"MsoNormal\" algoscore=\"30.0\"><strong></strong></p>\n <p><strong><strong>Q:</strong></strong></p>\n <strong> Which way do we move from tomorrow onwards, do you think we are good enough for new highs or we need to consolidate some more? \n <o:p></o:p></strong>\n <p></p> \n <br /> \n <p class=\"MsoNormal\" algoscore=\"30.0\"> \n <o:p></o:p></p> \n <br /> \n <p class=\"MsoNormal\" algoscore=\"49.0\">A:: We may take decisive turn from tomorrow because what we have seen in the last few days is very jittery activity on the bourses given the fact that there is US Fed meet this evening. The market is really looking for a direction and many fund managers like ourselves are hedging our bets slightly lightening positions, not making fresh commitments. There is lot of anticipation and anxiety around. I am sure either way from tomorrow onwards we may see some decisive moves. \n <o:p></o:p></p> \n <br /> \n <p class=\"MsoNormal\" algoscore=\"30.0\"> \n <o:p></o:p></p> \n <br /> \n <p class=\"MsoNormal\" algoscore=\"30.0\"><strong></strong></p>\n <p><strong><strong>Q:</strong></strong></p>\n <strong> How much material damage can a disappointment from the Fed do for our own market you think? \n <o:p></o:p></strong>\n <p></p> \n <br /> \n <p class=\"MsoNormal\" algoscore=\"30.0\"> \n <o:p></o:p></p> \n <br /> \n <p class=\"MsoNormal\" algoscore=\"51.0\">A: Limited because whatever fund flow problems, outflows and lack of inflows we have seen, we have had it and so if the Fed disappoints, there will be certain lesser fund flow coming into emerging markets. I am more worried about the domestic scenario, I think we need to worry a bit more about that than what is happening in the US because we are having a situation where we are continuously running at 4% inflation and we are seeing high interest rates hurting the economy, we came with very disappointing IIP numbers a few days ago. </p> \n <br /> \n <p class=\"MsoNormal\" algoscore=\"30.0\"> </p> \n <br /> \n <p class=\"MsoNormal\" algoscore=\"40.0\">We may be getting pushed into below 8% growth rate if the Indian Fed, RBI, does not do much about it because people are buying India only for the Indian growth story and if growth itself is a question mark then we have a very big problem here. \n <o:p></o:p></p> \n <br /> \n <p class=\"MsoNormal\" algoscore=\"30.0\"> </p> \n <br /> \n <p class=\"MsoNormal\" algoscore=\"30.0\"><strong></strong></p>\n <p><strong><strong>Q:</strong></strong></p>\n <strong> Are you saying that even if tomorrow�s event pans out well in terms of the global trigger and we see some more of a rally here, significant upsides in India would be little difficult at this point given the kind of macro signals we are getting? \n <o:p></o:p></strong>\n <p></p> \n <br /> \n <p class=\"MsoNormal\" algoscore=\"30.0\"> \n <o:p></o:p></p> \n <br /> \n <p class=\"MsoNormal\" algoscore=\"43.0\">A: Yes, because what is happening in India in the last three months is worrisome. Sector after sector which is rate sensitive, is getting soft. Automobile which normally is a leading indicator in global markets is not doing well and Tata Motors reporting such numbers is a very key thing to note Real estate is softening as well. </p> \n <br /> \n <p class=\"MsoNormal\" algoscore=\"30.0\"> \n <o:p></o:p></p> \n <br /> \n <p class=\"MsoNormal\" algoscore=\"42.0\">It won�t take long before this contagion spreads right through the economy construction, cement, steel, consumer durables, very soon if you are living in this type of interest rate environment with inflation at 4%, can keep patting itself on the back but we may suddenly find ourselves back to 6%-7% growth rate. </p> \n <br /> \n <p class=\"MsoNormal\" algoscore=\"30.0\"> \n <o:p></o:p></p> \n <br /> \n <p class=\"MsoNormal\" algoscore=\"35.0\">I think we need some policy initiatives in India if you want to take this bull market forward. It is already almost four years old. </p> \n <br /> \n <p class=\"MsoNormal\" algoscore=\"30.0\"> </p> \n <br /> \n <p class=\"MsoNormal\" algoscore=\"30.0\"><strong></strong></p>\n <p><strong><strong>Q:</strong></strong></p>\n <strong> Market seems incredibly sanguine about where is ? What do you think is causing this ignoring of the way that commodity is moving? \n <o:p></o:p></strong>\n <p></p> \n <br /> \n <p class=\"MsoNormal\" algoscore=\"30.0\"> \n <o:p></o:p></p> \n <br /> \n <p class=\"MsoNormal\" algoscore=\"43.0\">A: I think market is very clever. Dr Manmohan Singh has enough problems on his hands, taking on the Left in the nuclear policy and forever rumour of a mid-term poll after the opinion polls gave Congress such a good lead so with all that happening the last thing he wants is some more agitation on the streets about oil prices.</p> \n <br /> \n <p class=\"MsoNormal\" algoscore=\"30.0\"> \n <o:p></o:p></p> \n <br /> \n <p class=\"MsoNormal\" algoscore=\"37.0\">I think we are still in that portion where we have insulated from anything that happens and so I think no reason investor put it by the way side knowing there will not be any hike. \n <o:p></o:p></p> \n <br /> \n <p class=\"MsoNormal\" algoscore=\"30.0\"> </p> \n <br /> \n <p class=\"MsoNormal\" algoscore=\"30.0\"> </p> \n <br /> \n <p class=\"MsoNormal\" algoscore=\"30.0\"> </p> \n <br /> \n <p class=\"MsoNormal\" algoscore=\"30.0\"> </p> \n <br /> \n <p class=\"MsoNormal\" algoscore=\"30.0\"> </p> \n <br /> \n <p class=\"MsoNormal\" algoscore=\"30.0\"> </p> \n <br 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class=\"MsoNormal\" algoscore=\"30.0\"> </p> \n <br /> \n <p class=\"MsoNormal\" algoscore=\"30.0\"> </p> \n <br /> \n <p class=\"MsoNormal\" algoscore=\"30.0\"> </p> \n <br /> \n <p class=\"MsoNormal\" algoscore=\"30.0\"> </p> \n <br /> \n <p class=\"MsoNormal\" algoscore=\"30.0\"> </p> \n <br /> \n <p class=\"MsoNormal\" algoscore=\"30.0\"> </p> \n <br /> \n <p class=\"MsoNormal\" algoscore=\"30.0\"> </p> \n <br /> \n <p class=\"MsoNormal\" algoscore=\"30.0\"> </p> \n <br /> \n <p class=\"MsoNormal\" algoscore=\"30.0\"> </p> \n <br /> \n <p class=\"MsoNormal\" algoscore=\"30.0\"> </p> \n <br /> \n <p class=\"MsoNormal\" algoscore=\"30.0\"> </p> \n <br /> \n <p class=\"MsoNormal\" algoscore=\"30.0\"> </p> \n <br /> \n <p class=\"MsoNormal\" algoscore=\"30.0\"> </p> \n <br /> \n <p class=\"MsoNormal\" algoscore=\"30.0\"> </p> \n <br /> \n <p class=\"MsoNormal\" algoscore=\"30.0\"> </p> \n <br /> \n <p class=\"MsoNormal\" algoscore=\"30.0\"> </p> \n <br /> \n <p class=\"MsoNormal\" algoscore=\"30.0\"> </p> \n <br /> \n <p class=\"MsoNormal\" algoscore=\"30.0\"> </p> \n <br /> \n <p class=\"MsoNormal\" algoscore=\"30.0\"> </p> \n <br /> \n <p class=\"MsoNormal\" algoscore=\"30.0\"> </p> \n <br /> \n <p class=\"MsoNormal\" algoscore=\"30.0\"> </p> \n <br /> \n <p class=\"MsoNormal\" algoscore=\"30.0\"> </p> \n <br /> \n <p class=\"MsoNormal\" algoscore=\"30.0\"> </p> \n <br /> \n <p class=\"MsoNormal\" algoscore=\"30.0\"> </p> \n <br /> \n <p class=\"MsoNormal\" algoscore=\"30.0\"> </p> \n <br /> \n <p class=\"MsoNormal\" algoscore=\"30.0\"> </p> \n <br /> \n <p class=\"MsoNormal\" algoscore=\"30.0\"> </p> \n <br /> \n <p class=\"MsoNormal\" algoscore=\"30.0\"> </p> \n <br /> \n <p class=\"MsoNormal\" algoscore=\"30.0\"> </p> \n <br /> \n <p class=\"MsoNormal\" algoscore=\"30.0\"> </p> \n <br /> \n <p class=\"MsoNormal\" algoscore=\"30.0\"> </p> \n <br /> \n <p class=\"MsoNormal\" algoscore=\"30.0\"> </p> \n <br /> \n <p class=\"MsoNormal\" algoscore=\"30.0\"> </p> \n <br /> \n <p class=\"MsoNormal\" algoscore=\"30.0\"> </p> \n <br /> \n <p class=\"MsoNormal\" algoscore=\"30.0\"> </p> \n <br /> \n <p class=\"MsoNormal\" algoscore=\"30.0\"> </p> \n <br /> \n <p class=\"MsoNormal\" algoscore=\"30.0\"> </p> \n <br /> \n <p class=\"MsoNormal\" algoscore=\"30.0\"> </p> \n <br /> \n <p class=\"MsoNormal\" algoscore=\"30.0\"> </p> \n <br /> \n <p class=\"MsoNormal\" algoscore=\"30.0\"> </p> \n <br /> \n <p class=\"MsoNormal\" algoscore=\"30.0\"> </p> \n <br /> \n <p class=\"MsoNormal\" algoscore=\"30.0\"> </p> \n <br /> \n <p class=\"MsoNormal\" algoscore=\"30.0\"> </p> \n <br /> \n <p class=\"MsoNormal\" algoscore=\"30.0\"> </p> \n <br /> \n <p class=\"MsoNormal\" algoscore=\"30.0\"> </p> \n <br /> \n <p class=\"MsoNormal\" algoscore=\"30.0\"> </p> \n <br /> \n <p class=\"MsoNormal\" algoscore=\"30.0\"> </p> \n <br /> \n <p class=\"MsoNormal\" algoscore=\"30.0\"> </p> \n <br /> \n <p class=\"MsoNormal\" algoscore=\"30.0\"> </p> \n <br /> \n <p class=\"MsoNormal\" algoscore=\"30.0\"> </p> \n <br /> \n <p class=\"MsoNormal\" algoscore=\"30.0\"> </p> \n <br /> \n <p class=\"MsoNormal\" algoscore=\"30.0\"> </p> \n <br /> \n <p class=\"MsoNormal\" algoscore=\"30.0\"> </p> \n <br /> \n <p class=\"MsoNormal\" algoscore=\"30.0\"> </p> \n <br /> \n <p class=\"MsoNormal\" algoscore=\"30.0\"> </p> \n <br /> \n <p class=\"MsoNormal\" algoscore=\"30.0\"> </p> \n <br /> \n <p class=\"MsoNormal\" algoscore=\"30.0\"> </p> \n <br /> \n <p class=\"MsoNormal\" algoscore=\"30.0\"> </p> \n <br /> \n <p class=\"MsoNormal\" algoscore=\"30.0\"> </p> \n <br /> \n <p class=\"MsoNormal\" algoscore=\"30.0\"> </p> \n <br /> \n <p class=\"normal\" algoscore=\"30.0\"> </p> \n <br />\n</div>", | |
| "contentHash": 1835451673, | |
| "EMAC-VERSION": "OLD", | |
| "Categories": null | |
| } | |
| } |
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