Skip to content

Instantly share code, notes, and snippets.

@alexlyzhov
Created November 6, 2020 08:26
Show Gist options
  • Save alexlyzhov/3d7e3b5ba1c2264933077f529742d1e8 to your computer and use it in GitHub Desktop.
Save alexlyzhov/3d7e3b5ba1c2264933077f529742d1e8 to your computer and use it in GitHub Desktop.
If Biden wins
538 Brier 0.1525, the Econ comment Brier 0.1502, the Econ spreadsheet brier 0.1502, (comment-spreadsheet) -0.000002 538-Economist 0.0023
If Biden wins PA
538 Brier 0.1233, the Econ comment Brier 0.1164, the Econ spreadsheet brier 0.1164, (comment-spreadsheet) -0.000002 538-Economist 0.0069
If Biden wins NV
538 Brier 0.1233, the Econ comment Brier 0.1162, the Econ spreadsheet brier 0.1162, (comment-spreadsheet) -0.000005 538-Economist 0.0071
If Biden wins NV PA
538 Brier 0.0940, the Econ comment Brier 0.0824, the Econ spreadsheet brier 0.0824, (comment-spreadsheet) -0.000005 538-Economist 0.0117
If Biden wins NC
538 Brier 0.1411, the Econ comment Brier 0.1386, the Econ spreadsheet brier 0.1386, (comment-spreadsheet) 0.000002 538-Economist 0.0025
If Biden wins NC PA
538 Brier 0.1118, the Econ comment Brier 0.1048, the Econ spreadsheet brier 0.1048, (comment-spreadsheet) 0.000002 538-Economist 0.0071
If Biden wins NC NV
538 Brier 0.1118, the Econ comment Brier 0.1045, the Econ spreadsheet brier 0.1045, (comment-spreadsheet) -0.000002 538-Economist 0.0073
If Biden wins NC NV PA
538 Brier 0.0826, the Econ comment Brier 0.0707, the Econ spreadsheet brier 0.0707, (comment-spreadsheet) -0.000002 538-Economist 0.0119
If Biden wins GA
538 Brier 0.1467, the Econ comment Brier 0.1476, the Econ spreadsheet brier 0.1476, (comment-spreadsheet) 0.000000 538-Economist -0.0009
If Biden wins GA PA
538 Brier 0.1175, the Econ comment Brier 0.1138, the Econ spreadsheet brier 0.1138, (comment-spreadsheet) 0.000000 538-Economist 0.0037
If Biden wins GA NV
538 Brier 0.1174, the Econ comment Brier 0.1135, the Econ spreadsheet brier 0.1135, (comment-spreadsheet) -0.000003 538-Economist 0.0039
If Biden wins GA NV PA
538 Brier 0.0882, the Econ comment Brier 0.0797, the Econ spreadsheet brier 0.0797, (comment-spreadsheet) -0.000003 538-Economist 0.0085
If Biden wins GA NC
538 Brier 0.1352, the Econ comment Brier 0.1359, the Econ spreadsheet brier 0.1359, (comment-spreadsheet) 0.000004 538-Economist -0.0007
If Biden wins GA NC PA
538 Brier 0.1060, the Econ comment Brier 0.1021, the Econ spreadsheet brier 0.1021, (comment-spreadsheet) 0.000004 538-Economist 0.0039
If Biden wins GA NC NV
538 Brier 0.1060, the Econ comment Brier 0.1019, the Econ spreadsheet brier 0.1019, (comment-spreadsheet) 0.000000 538-Economist 0.0041
If Biden wins GA NC NV PA
538 Brier 0.0768, the Econ comment Brier 0.0681, the Econ spreadsheet brier 0.0681, (comment-spreadsheet) 0.000000 538-Economist 0.0087
If Biden wins AZ
538 Brier 0.1360, the Econ comment Brier 0.1329, the Econ spreadsheet brier 0.1329, (comment-spreadsheet) 0.000000 538-Economist 0.0031
If Biden wins AZ PA
538 Brier 0.1067, the Econ comment Brier 0.0991, the Econ spreadsheet brier 0.0991, (comment-spreadsheet) 0.000000 538-Economist 0.0077
If Biden wins AZ NV
538 Brier 0.1067, the Econ comment Brier 0.0988, the Econ spreadsheet brier 0.0988, (comment-spreadsheet) -0.000003 538-Economist 0.0079
If Biden wins AZ NV PA
538 Brier 0.0775, the Econ comment Brier 0.0650, the Econ spreadsheet brier 0.0650, (comment-spreadsheet) -0.000003 538-Economist 0.0125
If Biden wins AZ NC
538 Brier 0.1245, the Econ comment Brier 0.1212, the Econ spreadsheet brier 0.1212, (comment-spreadsheet) 0.000004 538-Economist 0.0033
If Biden wins AZ NC PA
538 Brier 0.0953, the Econ comment Brier 0.0874, the Econ spreadsheet brier 0.0874, (comment-spreadsheet) 0.000004 538-Economist 0.0079
If Biden wins AZ NC NV
538 Brier 0.0952, the Econ comment Brier 0.0872, the Econ spreadsheet brier 0.0872, (comment-spreadsheet) 0.000000 538-Economist 0.0081
If Biden wins AZ NC NV PA
538 Brier 0.0660, the Econ comment Brier 0.0534, the Econ spreadsheet brier 0.0534, (comment-spreadsheet) 0.000000 538-Economist 0.0127
If Biden wins AZ GA
538 Brier 0.1301, the Econ comment Brier 0.1302, the Econ spreadsheet brier 0.1302, (comment-spreadsheet) 0.000002 538-Economist -0.0001
If Biden wins AZ GA PA
538 Brier 0.1009, the Econ comment Brier 0.0964, the Econ spreadsheet brier 0.0964, (comment-spreadsheet) 0.000002 538-Economist 0.0045
If Biden wins AZ GA NV
538 Brier 0.1009, the Econ comment Brier 0.0961, the Econ spreadsheet brier 0.0961, (comment-spreadsheet) -0.000002 538-Economist 0.0047
If Biden wins AZ GA NV PA
538 Brier 0.0716, the Econ comment Brier 0.0623, the Econ spreadsheet brier 0.0624, (comment-spreadsheet) -0.000002 538-Economist 0.0093
If Biden wins AZ GA NC
538 Brier 0.1187, the Econ comment Brier 0.1185, the Econ spreadsheet brier 0.1185, (comment-spreadsheet) 0.000006 538-Economist 0.0001
If Biden wins AZ GA NC PA
538 Brier 0.0894, the Econ comment Brier 0.0847, the Econ spreadsheet brier 0.0847, (comment-spreadsheet) 0.000006 538-Economist 0.0047
If Biden wins AZ GA NC NV
538 Brier 0.0894, the Econ comment Brier 0.0845, the Econ spreadsheet brier 0.0845, (comment-spreadsheet) 0.000002 538-Economist 0.0049
If Biden wins AZ GA NC NV PA
538 Brier 0.0602, the Econ comment Brier 0.0507, the Econ spreadsheet brier 0.0507, (comment-spreadsheet) 0.000002 538-Economist 0.0095
Sign up for free to join this conversation on GitHub. Already have an account? Sign in to comment