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alistaire47/trump-score.R

Last active January 1, 2018 18:41
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fivethirtyeight trump score
Raw
trump-score.csv
chamber member member_short party district trump_score trump_margin predicted_score trump_plus_minus
Senate Cory Gardner Gardner R CO 94.6 -4.9 44.3 50.3
Senate Dean Heller Heller R NV 91.1 -2.4 49.1 42
Senate Marco Rubio Rubio R FL 96.4 1.2 55.9 40.4
Senate Ron Johnson Johnson R WI 92.9 0.8 55.6 37.3
Senate Patrick J. Toomey Toomey R PA 90.7 0.7 54.9 35.8
Senate Richard Burr Burr R NC 96.4 3.7 60.9 35.5
Senate Thom Tillis Tillis R NC 96.4 3.7 61.5 34.9
Senate Susan M. Collins Collins R ME 82.1 -3 48 34.1
Senate Johnny Isakson Isakson R GA 94.9 5.2 63 31.9
Senate David Perdue Perdue R GA 94.5 5.2 63.9 30.6
Senate Jeff Flake Flake R AZ 90.6 3.5 60.5 30.1
Senate John Cornyn Cornyn R TX 96.4 9 71.6 24.9
Senate Rob Portman Portman R OH 92.9 8.1 70.1 22.8
Senate John McCain McCain R AZ 82.7 3.5 60.9 21.8
Senate Ted Cruz Cruz R TX 92.9 9 71.6 21.3
Senate Chuck Grassley Grassley R IA 92.9 9.4 72.2 20.6
Senate Joni Ernst Ernst R IA 91.1 9.4 72.2 18.8
Senate Dan Sullivan Sullivan R AK 96.2 14.7 79.8 16.4
Senate Tim Scott Scott R SC 94.6 14.3 79.3 15.3
Senate Thad Cochran Cochran R MS 96.4 17.8 83.4 13
Senate Roger F. Wicker Wicker R MS 96.4 17.8 83.4 13
Senate Orrin G. Hatch Hatch R UT 96.4 18.1 83.6 12.8
Senate Roy Blunt Blunt R MO 96.4 18.6 84.2 12.3
Senate Bill Cassidy Cassidy R LA 96.4 19.6 85.1 11.3
Senate Dianne Feinstein Feinstein D CA 30.9 -30.1 20 10.9
Senate Pat Roberts Roberts R KS 96.4 20.6 85.9 10.5
Senate Lindsey Graham Graham R SC 89.3 14.3 79.3 9.9
Senate Jerry Moran Moran R KS 94.5 20.6 85.7 8.9
Senate Todd Young Young R IN 92.9 19.2 84.7 8.2
Senate Brian Schatz Schatz D HI 26.8 -32.2 18.8 8
Senate John Kennedy Kennedy R LA 92.9 19.6 85.1 7.8
Senate Lisa Murkowski Murkowski R AK 87.3 14.7 79.6 7.6
Senate Steve Daines Daines R MT 92.9 20.4 85.8 7.1
Senate John Boozman Boozman R AR 96.4 26.9 89.9 6.5
Senate Mazie K. Hirono Hirono D HI 25 -32.2 18.8 6.2
Senate Mitch McConnell McConnell R KY 96.4 29.8 90.9 5.4
Senate John Thune Thune R SD 96.4 29.8 91.1 5.3
Senate Lamar Alexander Alexander R TN 94.4 26 89.1 5.3
Senate Benjamin L. Cardin Cardin D MD 26.8 -26.4 21.5 5.3
Senate Patrick J. Leahy Leahy D VT 26.8 -26.4 21.5 5.2
Senate Richard C. Shelby Shelby R AL 94.6 27.7 90.3 4.4
Senate Jeff Sessions* Sessions* R AL 100 27.7 95.8 4.2
Senate Deb Fischer Fischer R NE 92.9 25 88.9 3.9
Senate John Hoeven Hoeven R ND 96.4 35.7 92.5 3.9
Senate Mike Lee Lee R UT 87.5 18.1 83.6 3.9
Senate Mike Rounds Rounds R SD 94.6 29.8 91.1 3.6
Senate Tom Cotton Cotton R AR 92.9 26.9 89.9 2.9
Senate Luther Strange Strange R AL 90.9 27.7 88.5 2.4
Senate James M. Inhofe Inhofe R OK 94.6 36.4 92.6 2
Senate Shelley Moore Capito Capito R WV 94.5 42.2 93 1.5
Senate John Barrasso Barrasso R WY 94.6 46.3 93.2 1.4
Senate Mike Crapo Crapo R ID 92.7 31.8 91.6 1.1
Senate James Lankford Lankford R OK 92.9 36.4 92.6 0.2
Senate Chris Van Hollen Van Hollen D MD 21.8 -26.4 21.9 -0.1
Senate Ben Sasse Sasse R NE 89.1 25 89.3 -0.2
Senate Michael B. Enzi Enzi R WY 92.9 46.3 93.2 -0.4
Senate James E. Risch Risch R ID 91.1 31.8 91.7 -0.6
Senate Charles E. Schumer Schumer D NY 23.2 -22.5 23.8 -0.6
Senate Mark R. Warner Warner D VA 42.9 -5.3 43.5 -0.7
Senate Thomas R. Carper Carper D DE 32.1 -11.4 34.1 -1.9
Senate Maria Cantwell Cantwell D WA 26.8 -15.5 29.5 -2.7
Senate Tammy Duckworth Duckworth D IL 25 -17.1 28 -3
Senate Angus S. King Jr. King I ME 44.6 -3 48 -3.4
Senate Christopher A. Coons Coons D DE 30.9 -11.4 34.5 -3.6
Senate Kamala D. Harris Harris D CA 16.1 -30.1 19.7 -3.6
Senate Bob Corker Corker R TN 85.5 26 89.3 -3.8
Senate Christopher Murphy Murphy D CT 27.3 -13.6 31.3 -4
Senate Robert Menendez Menéndez D NJ 24.1 -14.1 28.5 -4.4
Senate Richard J. Durbin Durbin D IL 22.2 -17.1 27.1 -4.9
Senate Jack Reed Reed D RI 23.2 -15.5 29.5 -6.2
Senate Sheldon Whitehouse Whitehouse D RI 23.2 -15.5 29.5 -6.2
Senate Patty Murray Murray D WA 23.2 -15.5 29.5 -6.3
Senate Edward J. Markey Markey D MA 14.5 -27.2 21.5 -6.9
Senate Bernard Sanders Sanders I VT 14.3 -26.4 21.5 -7.3
Senate Rand Paul Paul R KY 83 29.8 90.9 -7.9
Senate Tim Kaine Kaine D VA 33.9 -5.3 43.5 -9.6
Senate Elizabeth Warren Warren D MA 10.7 -27.2 21.1 -10.4
Senate Richard Blumenthal Blumenthal D CT 20 -13.6 31.3 -11.3
Senate Martin Heinrich Heinrich D NM 25 -8.2 38.7 -13.7
Senate Michael F. Bennet Bennet D CO 30.4 -4.9 44.3 -14
Senate Kirsten E. Gillibrand Gillibrand D NY 8.9 -22.5 23.8 -14.9
Senate Catherine Cortez Masto Cortez Masto D NV 33.9 -2.4 49.1 -15.2
Senate Tom Udall Udall D NM 23.2 -8.2 38.7 -15.5
Senate Cory A. Booker Booker D NJ 14.3 -14.1 30.9 -16.6
Senate Ron Wyden Wyden D OR 17.9 -11 34.7 -16.8
Senate Bill Nelson Nelson D FL 37.5 1.2 56.5 -19
Senate Amy Klobuchar Klobuchar D MN 30.4 -1.5 50.9 -20.5
Senate Margaret Wood Hassan Hassan D NH 32.1 -0.4 53.3 -21.1
Senate Jeanne Shaheen Shaheen D NH 32.1 -0.4 53.3 -21.1
Senate Jeff Merkley Merkley D OR 12.5 -11 34.7 -22.2
Senate Gary C. Peters Peters D MI 30.9 0.2 54.4 -23.5
Senate Debbie Stabenow Stabenow D MI 30.4 0.2 54.5 -24.1
Senate Al Franken Franken D MN 24.1 -1.5 49.4 -25.3
Senate Robert P. Casey Jr. Casey D PA 28.6 0.7 55.5 -26.9
Senate Tammy Baldwin Baldwin D WI 21.4 0.8 55.6 -34.2
Senate Joe Donnelly Donnelly D IN 47.3 19.2 84.5 -37.2
Senate Joe Manchin III Manchin D WV 53.6 42.2 93.2 -39.6
Senate Sherrod Brown Brown D OH 30.4 8.1 70.1 -39.7
Senate Claire McCaskill McCaskill D MO 43.6 18.6 84.2 -40.6
Senate Heidi Heitkamp Heitkamp D ND 50 35.7 92.5 -42.5
Senate Jon Tester Tester D MT 39.3 20.4 85.8 -46.5
House David G. Valadao Valadao R CA-21 98.3 -15.5 30.5 67.8
House Erik Paulsen Paulsen R MN-3 98.3 -9.4 42.5 55.8
House Carlos Curbelo Curbelo R FL-26 83.9 -16.1 28.3 55.6
House Barbara Comstock Comstock R VA-10 96.6 -10 41.1 55.5
House Edward R. Royce Royce R CA-39 96.6 -8.6 44.3 52.3
House Mike Coffman Coffman R CO-6 94.9 -8.9 43.6 51.3
House Stephen Knight Knight R CA-25 98.3 -6.7 48.9 49.4
House Ileana Ros-Lehtinen Ros-Lehtinen R FL-27 72.2 -19.7 23.8 48.4
House Darrell E. Issa Issa R CA-49 93.1 -7.5 46.1 47
House Mimi Walters Walters R CA-45 98.3 -5.4 52.1 46.2
House Peter J. Roskam Roskam R IL-6 93.1 -7 48.3 44.8
House Martha McSally McSally R AZ-2 96.6 -4.9 53.4 43.2
House Jeff Denham Denham R CA-10 98.3 -3 58.2 40.1
House Will Hurd Hurd R TX-23 96.6 -3.4 57.2 39.4
House Henry Cuellar Cuellar D TX-28 62.7 -19.8 24.6 38.1
House Pete Sessions Sessions R TX-32 98.3 -1.9 60.6 37.6
House John Abney Culberson Culberson R TX-7 98.3 -1.4 62.1 36.2
House John Katko Katko R NY-24 89.8 -3.6 56.7 33.2
House Karen C. Handel Handel R GA-6 96 1.5 63.6 32.4
House Kevin Yoder Yoder R KS-3 94.9 -1.2 62.6 32.3
House David G. Reichert Reichert R WA-8 87.9 -3 58.3 29.6
House Dana Rohrabacher Rohrabacher R CA-48 89.8 -1.7 61.4 28.4
House Patrick Meehan Meehan R PA-7 88.1 -2.3 59.9 28.2
House Ryan A. Costello Costello R PA-6 92.9 -0.6 65.4 27.5
House Jason Lewis Lewis R MN-2 94.8 1.2 68.2 26.6
House Don Bacon Bacon R NE-2 96.6 2.2 70.6 26.1
House Scott Taylor Taylor R VA-2 98.2 3.4 73 25.2
House David Young Young R IA-3 98.3 3.5 73.3 25
House Mario Diaz-Balart Diaz-Balart R FL-25 92.9 1.7 69.3 23.6
House Leonard Lance Lance R NJ-7 86.4 -1.1 62.9 23.6
House David A. Trott Trott R MI-11 98.2 4.4 74.9 23.3
House Paul D. Ryan Ryan R WI-1 100 10.3 77.1 22.9
House Kyrsten Sinema Sinema D AZ-9 50 -16.3 27.6 22.4
House Rodney P. Frelinghuysen Frelinghuysen R NJ-11 89.8 0.9 67.6 22.2
House Rod Blum Blum R IA-1 94.9 3.5 73.3 21.6
House Randy Hultgren Hultgren R IL-14 94.9 3.9 74.1 20.8
House Rob Woodall Woodall R GA-7 98.3 6.3 78.6 19.7
House Rodney Davis R. Davis R IL-13 96.6 5.5 77.2 19.4
House Lloyd Smucker Smucker R PA-16 98.3 6.8 79.5 18.9
House Mike Bishop Bishop R MI-8 96.6 6.7 79.3 17.3
House Mia B. Love Love R UT-4 96.6 6.7 79.3 17.3
House John Curtis Curtis R UT-3 100 23.9 83.1 16.9
House Jim Costa Costa D CA-16 37.7 -21.6 21.1 16.7
House Kenny Marchant Marchant R TX-24 94.9 6.2 78.4 16.5
House Fred Upton Upton R MI-6 98.3 8.4 81.8 16.5
House Steve Chabot Chabot R OH-1 94.9 6.6 79.1 15.8
House Pete Olson Olson R TX-22 96.6 7.9 81 15.5
House Michael T. McCaul McCaul R TX-10 98.3 9.1 82.9 15.4
House Brian K. Fitzpatrick Fitzpatrick R PA-8 81.4 0.2 66 15.4
House Devin Nunes Nunes R CA-22 98.2 9.5 83 15.2
House Thomas MacArthur MacArthur R NJ-3 93.2 6.2 78.4 14.8
House Michael R. Turner Turner R OH-10 94.9 7.3 80.3 14.6
House Dave Brat Brat R VA-7 93.1 6.5 78.7 14.4
House J. Luis Correa Correa D CA-46 28.8 -38.4 15 13.8
House Vern Buchanan Buchanan R FL-16 98.2 10.7 84.8 13.4
House Patrick J. Tiberi Tiberi R OH-12 98.2 11.3 85.6 12.6
House Lamar Smith Smith R TX-21 96.5 10 84.3 12.2
House Dennis A. Ross Ross R FL-15 96.4 10 84.3 12.2
House Susan W. Brooks Brooks R IN-5 98.3 11.8 86.2 12.1
House Ken Calvert Calvert R CA-42 98.3 12 86.4 11.9
House Brian J. Mast Mast R FL-18 94.9 9.2 83.1 11.8
House Ted Poe Poe R TX-2 94.6 9.3 82.9 11.7
House Mark E. Amodei Amodei R NV-2 98.3 12.3 86.6 11.7
House John R. Carter Carter R TX-31 98.3 12.7 87.1 11.2
House Jaime Herrera Beutler Herrera Beutler R WA-3 91.5 7.4 80.4 11.1
House Cathy McMorris Rodgers McMorris Rodgers R WA-5 98.3 13.1 87.5 10.8
House Greg Gianforte Gianforte R MT-AL 96 20.4 85.5 10.5
House Charles W. Dent Dent R PA-15 91.4 7.6 80.8 10.5
House Ann Wagner Wagner R MO-2 94.8 10.3 84.4 10.4
House Ted Budd Budd R NC-13 94.8 9.4 84.8 10
House Bruce Poliquin Poliquin R ME-2 94.8 10.3 84.8 10
House Robert Pittenger Pittenger R NC-9 96.4 11.6 86.5 10
House J. French Hill Hill R AR-2 94.8 10.7 85.1 9.7
House Tom Reed Reed R NY-23 98.2 14.8 88.6 9.6
House George Holding Holding R NC-2 93.2 9.6 83.6 9.6
House Mike Bost Bost R IL-12 98.3 14.8 88.9 9.4
House Earl L. "Buddy" Carter Carter R GA-1 98.1 15.5 89 9.2
House Paul Cook Cook R CA-8 98.3 15.1 89.1 9.2
House David Schweikert Schweikert R AZ-6 93.2 10 84.1 9.1
House David P. Joyce Joyce R OH-14 94.9 11.5 85.9 9
House Steve Stivers Stivers R OH-15 98.2 15.4 89.3 9
House Gene Green G. Green D TX-29 23.2 -45.7 14.6 8.6
House Scott R. Tipton Tipton R CO-3 94.9 12 86.4 8.5
House Rick W. Allen Allen R GA-12 98.3 16.2 89.9 8.4
House Scott H. Peters Peters D CA-52 29.3 -22.5 21.2 8.1
House Tim Walberg Walberg R MI-7 98.3 17 90.4 7.9
House Bradley Scott Schneider Schneider D IL-10 25.4 -29.4 17.6 7.8
House Adam Kinzinger Kinzinger R IL-16 98.3 17.2 90.5 7.8
House Bill Flores Flores R TX-17 98.3 17.5 90.6 7.7
House Joe Wilson Wilson R SC-2 98.3 17.7 90.8 7.5
House Beto O’Rourke O’Rourke D TX-16 22 -40.7 14.6 7.4
House Claudia Tenney Tenney R NY-22 96.6 15.5 89.4 7.2
House Stevan Pearce Pearce R NM-2 91.5 10.2 84.4 7.1
House Tom Rice Rice R SC-7 98.3 18.9 91.3 7
House Doug LaMalfa LaMalfa R CA-1 98.3 19.7 91.5 6.7
House Jimmy Panetta Panetta D CA-20 20.3 -47.2 13.8 6.5
House Joe Barton Barton R TX-6 93.1 12.3 86.6 6.5
House Greg Walden Walden R OR-2 98.3 20.1 91.8 6.5
House Bill Huizenga Huizenga R MI-2 96.6 17.6 90.6 6
House Roger Williams Williams R TX-25 94.9 14.9 89 5.9
House Kevin McCarthy McCarthy R CA-23 98.3 22 92.4 5.9
House Albio Sires Sires D NJ-8 19.6 -54.2 14 5.6
House Andy Barr Barr R KY-6 94.9 15.3 89.3 5.6
House Lou Barletta Barletta R PA-11 98.2 23.8 92.7 5.6
House Gerald E. Connolly Connolly D VA-11 20.3 -39.4 14.8 5.5
House Harold Rogers Rogers R KY-5 98.3 62.1 92.8 5.5
House Chris Collins Collins R NY-27 98.2 24.5 92.8 5.5
House Robert B. Aderholt Aderholt R AL-4 98.3 63 92.9 5.4
House Steve Russell Russell R OK-5 93.1 13.4 87.7 5.4
House David Scott D. Scott D GA-13 19.6 -44.4 14.2 5.4
House Michael K. Simpson Simpson R ID-2 98.2 24.7 92.8 5.4
House Gregg Harper Harper R MS-3 98.3 24.5 93 5.3
House Patrick T. McHenry McHenry R NC-10 98.3 24.5 93 5.3
House K. Michael Conaway Conaway R TX-11 98.3 58.7 93.1 5.3
House John R. Moolenaar Moolenaar R MI-4 98.3 24.8 93.1 5.2
House Randy K. Weber Sr. Weber R TX-14 96.4 19.8 91.3 5.1
House Mike Kelly Kelly R PA-3 98.3 26.1 93.2 5.1
House Dan Newhouse Newhouse R WA-4 98.2 22.8 93.1 5.1
House Tom Graves Graves R GA-14 98.3 52.9 93.2 5.1
House Trey Gowdy Gowdy R SC-4 98.3 25.7 93.2 5.1
House Ted S. Yoho Yoho R FL-3 94.6 16 89.6 5.1
House Michael C. Burgess Burgess R TX-26 98.3 26.5 93.2 5.1
House Frank D. Lucas Lucas R OK-3 98.3 52.7 93.3 5
House Kay Granger Granger R TX-12 98.1 30.2 93.2 5
House Gus M. Bilirakis Bilirakis R FL-12 96.6 18.6 91.6 5
House Chris Stewart Stewart R UT-2 92.9 14 87.9 5
House Kevin Brady Brady R TX-8 98.3 48.8 93.5 4.9
House Steve Scalise Scalise R LA-1 100 42 95.2 4.8
House John Shimkus Shimkus R IL-15 98.3 46.2 93.6 4.8
House Glenn Thompson Thompson R PA-5 98.3 28.8 93.6 4.8
House Mike Quigley Quigley D IL-5 18.6 -46.6 13.9 4.7
House Austin Scott A. Scott R GA-8 98.3 28.9 93.6 4.7
House Gregory W. Meeks Meeks D NY-5 17.9 -73 13.1 4.7
House Tom Cole Cole R OK-4 98.2 37.4 93.6 4.7
House Kevin Cramer Cramer R ND-AL 98.2 35.7 93.6 4.6
House Bill Johnson Johnson R OH-6 98.3 42.6 93.7 4.6
House Bill Shuster Shuster R PA-9 98.3 42.5 93.7 4.6
House David B. McKinley McKinley R WV-1 98.3 41.6 93.7 4.6
House Tim Murphy* Murphy* R PA-18 97.9 19.6 93.3 4.6
House Steve Womack Womack R AR-3 98.3 31.4 93.7 4.6
House Glenn Grothman Grothman R WI-6 94.9 16.9 90.3 4.6
House Rick Crawford Crawford R AR-1 98.3 34.8 93.7 4.6
House Clay Higgins Higgins R LA-3 98.3 38.1 93.7 4.6
House Brett Guthrie Guthrie R KY-2 98.3 39.9 93.7 4.6
House Larry Bucshon Bucshon R IN-8 98.3 33.7 93.8 4.5
House Chuck Fleischmann Fleischmann R TN-3 98.3 35.2 93.8 4.5
House John J. Faso Faso R NY-19 84.7 7.3 80.3 4.5
House Jeff Fortenberry Fortenberry R NE-1 96.5 21.3 92 4.5
House John H. Rutherford Rutherford R FL-4 98.1 28 93.7 4.4
House Jack Bergman Bergman R MI-1 96.6 21.3 92.2 4.4
House Don Young Young R AK-AL 93.2 14.7 88.9 4.3
House Mark Walker Walker R NC-6 92.6 14.7 88.3 4.3
House Jackie Speier Speier D CA-14 17.2 -58.7 12.9 4.3
House Sam Johnson S. Johnson R TX-3 92.2 14.2 87.9 4.3
House Duncan Hunter Hunter R CA-50 93.2 15 89.1 4.1
House Francis Rooney F. Rooney R FL-19 96.4 22.1 92.3 4.1
House Ron DeSantis DeSantis R FL-6 94.8 17 90.7 4.1
House Richard Hudson Hudson R NC-8 92.5 15 88.5 4
House Lynn Jenkins Jenkins R KS-2 94.7 18.4 90.9 3.9
House Blake Farenthold Farenthold R TX-27 96.6 23.6 92.8 3.8
House Tulsi Gabbard Gabbard D HI-2 20.7 -31.8 16.9 3.7
House Thomas A. Garrett Jr. Garrett R VA-5 89.1 11.1 85.4 3.7
House Mac Thornberry Thornberry R TX-13 96.6 63 92.9 3.7
House Neal P. Dunn Dunn R FL-2 98.3 35.6 94.6 3.7
House Anna G. Eshoo Eshoo D CA-18 15.5 -53.2 11.9 3.6
House Doug Collins Collins R GA-9 96.6 58.5 93.1 3.5
House Robert E. Latta Latta R OH-5 96.6 25.1 93.1 3.5
House C. A. Dutch Ruppersberger Ruppersberger D MD-2 23.7 -24.6 20.2 3.5
House David P. Roe Roe R TN-1 96.6 57 93.1 3.5
House Adrian Smith Smith R NE-3 96.6 54.9 93.1 3.5
House Ralph Norman Norman R SC-5 88 18.5 84.6 3.4
House Brad R. Wenstrup Wenstrup R OH-2 93.2 16.1 89.8 3.4
House Adam B. Schiff Schiff D CA-28 16.9 -49.8 13.6 3.3
House Thomas J. Rooney T. Rooney R FL-17 96.4 27.2 93.2 3.3
House Rob Bishop Bishop R UT-1 96.5 27.3 93.2 3.2
House Eric Swalwell Swalwell D CA-15 17.2 -45.7 14.1 3.2
House Evan H. Jenkins Jenkins R WV-3 96.6 49.2 93.4 3.2
House Jodey C. Arrington Arrington R TX-19 96.6 49 93.4 3.2
House Sam Graves Graves R MO-6 98.2 31.4 95.1 3.1
House Al Lawson Jr. Lawson D FL-5 22.2 -25.4 19.1 3.1
House Brian Babin Babin R TX-36 96.6 46.8 93.5 3.1
House Roger W. Marshall Marshall R KS-1 96.6 45 93.6 3
House Terri A. Sewell Sewell D AL-7 17.2 -41.2 14.2 3
House Bradley Byrne Byrne R AL-1 96.6 29.4 93.6 3
House Mike Thompson Thompson D CA-5 15.8 -44.9 12.8 3
House Robert J. Wittman Wittman R VA-1 89.7 12.4 86.7 2.9
House A. Drew Ferguson IV Ferguson R GA-3 96.6 31.5 93.7 2.9
House Martha Roby Roby R AL-2 96.6 31.9 93.7 2.9
House Blaine Luetkemeyer Luetkemeyer R MO-3 96.6 39 93.8 2.9
House Mike Rogers Rogers R AL-3 96.6 33 93.8 2.9
House Vicky Hartzler Hartzler R MO-4 96.6 36 93.8 2.8
House Brad Sherman Sherman D CA-30 17.2 -43.4 14.5 2.7
House Lucille Roybal-Allard Roybal-Allard D CA-40 15.5 -69.4 12.8 2.7
House Virginia Foxx Foxx R NC-5 93.2 17.5 90.7 2.6
House Stephen F. Lynch Lynch D MA-8 21.1 -26 18.5 2.6
House Mike Gallagher Gallagher R WI-8 93.2 17.6 90.7 2.5
House David Rouzer Rouzer R NC-7 93 17.7 90.6 2.4
House Brenda L. Lawrence Lawrence D MI-14 14 -60.9 11.6 2.4
House Grace Meng Meng D NY-6 19 -33 16.6 2.4
House Norma J. Torres Torres D CA-35 17.2 -40.8 14.9 2.4
House Marc A. Veasey Veasey D TX-33 15.5 -49.2 13.2 2.4
House Daniel Lipinski Lipinski D IL-3 32.8 -15.3 30.4 2.3
House Bill Posey Posey R FL-8 94.6 20.7 92.4 2.2
House Wm. Lacy Clay Clay D MO-1 15.5 -58.2 13.3 2.2
House Tom Marino Marino R PA-10 96.3 35.9 94.1 2.2
House Steven M. Palazzo Palazzo R MS-4 96.5 41.2 94.3 2.2
House James B. Renacci Renacci R OH-16 94.3 16.6 92.1 2.2
House Bill Pascrell Jr. Pascrell D NJ-9 19 -31.2 16.8 2.2
House Jackie Walorski Walorski R IN-2 94.9 23.2 92.7 2.2
House Ron Estes Estes R KS-4 91.2 27.2 89 2.2
House Hank Johnson Jr. Johnson D GA-4 15.5 -53.1 13.6 1.9
House Donald S. Beyer Jr. Beyer D VA-8 15.8 -52.6 13.9 1.9
House Zoe Lofgren Lofgren D CA-19 15.3 -51.4 13.5 1.8
House G. K. Butterfield Butterfield D NC-1 17.2 -37 15.6 1.7
House Earl Blumenauer Blumenauer D OR-3 16.1 -48.2 14.5 1.6
House Steve King King R IA-4 94.6 27.4 93.1 1.6
House Val Butler Demings Demings D FL-10 20.3 -26.9 18.8 1.5
House Elijah E. Cummings Cummings D MD-7 13 -55 11.5 1.5
House Darin LaHood LaHood R IL-18 94.9 27.3 93.4 1.5
House James Comer Comer R KY-1 94.9 48.5 93.5 1.5
House Jeb Hensarling Hensarling R TX-5 94.9 28.4 93.5 1.4
House Liz Cheney Cheney R WY-AL 94.9 46.3 93.5 1.4
House Jason Chaffetz* Chaffetz* R UT-3 100 23.9 98.6 1.4
House Ro Khanna Khanna D CA-17 13.8 -53.4 12.4 1.3
House Nancy Pelosi Pelosi D CA-12 14.5 -77.5 13.2 1.3
House Bob Gibbs Gibbs R OH-7 94.9 29.7 93.6 1.3
House Susan A. Davis Davis D CA-53 16.9 -34.9 15.8 1.2
House Paul Mitchell Mitchell R MI-10 94.9 32.2 93.7 1.2
House Doris O. Matsui Matsui D CA-6 15.3 -44.8 14.1 1.2
House Bruce Westerman Westerman R AR-4 94.9 32.9 93.8 1.2
House Keith J. Rothfus Rothfus R PA-12 93.2 20.8 92.1 1.2
House Sean P. Duffy Duffy R WI-7 93.1 20.5 92 1.1
House Michael E. Capuano Capuano D MA-7 13.8 -72.2 12.7 1.1
House Eddie Bernice Johnson E. Johnson D TX-30 14.8 -60.8 13.7 1.1
House Hakeem S. Jeffries Jeffries D NY-8 13.6 -71.1 12.5 1
House Carolyn B. Maloney C. Maloney D NY-12 13.8 -69.8 12.8 1
House Tom McClintock McClintock R CA-4 89.8 14.7 88.9 1
House Jim Cooper Cooper D TN-5 27.1 -18.4 26.3 0.8
House Jimmy Gomez Gomez D CA-34 18.2 -72.9 17.4 0.8
House Trent Franks* Franks* R AZ-8 92.9 21.1 92.1 0.8
House Frank A. LoBiondo LoBiondo R NJ-2 76.3 4.6 75.5 0.8
House Robert A. Brady Brady D PA-1 13.6 -61.3 12.9 0.7
House Al Green A. Green D TX-9 13.6 -61.3 12.9 0.7
House Tony Cárdenas Cárdenas D CA-29 13.6 -60.9 12.9 0.6
House Ted Lieu Lieu D CA-33 14.3 -41.3 13.7 0.6
House Jerrold Nadler Nadler D NY-10 14.3 -59.5 13.7 0.6
House Diane Black Black R TN-6 94.7 48.9 94.2 0.6
House Billy Long Long R MO-7 94.2 45.7 93.7 0.6
House Ryan K. Zinke* Zinke* R MT-AL 100 20.4 99.4 0.6
House Anthony G. Brown Brown D MD-4 13.8 -58.5 13.3 0.5
House David E. Price Price D NC-4 15.3 -40 14.7 0.5
House Joseph Crowley Crowley D NY-14 14 -57.9 13.5 0.5
House Steve Cohen Cohen D TN-9 13.6 -57.7 13.1 0.5
House Donald M. Payne Jr. Payne D NJ-10 11.1 -72.4 10.6 0.5
House Sheila Jackson Lee Jackson Lee D TX-18 13.8 -56.5 13.4 0.4
House Daniel Webster Webster R FL-11 94.6 32.3 94.3 0.3
House Linda T. Sánchez Sánchez D CA-38 13.8 -39.6 13.5 0.3
House Doug Lamborn Lamborn R CO-5 93.2 24 92.9 0.3
House Joyce Beatty Beatty D OH-3 15.3 -38.4 15 0.2
House Mike Johnson Johnson R LA-4 93 24 92.8 0.2
House Eliot L. Engel Engel D NY-16 14 -52.6 13.9 0.2
House Bob Goodlatte Goodlatte R VA-6 93.2 24.8 93.1 0.2
House Jody B. Hice Hice R GA-10 93.2 25.5 93.2 0
House Barry Loudermilk Loudermilk R GA-11 92.9 25 92.8 0
House Mick Mulvaney* Mulvaney* R SC-5 NA 18.5 0 NA
House Mike Pompeo* Pompeo* R KS-4 NA 27.2 0 NA
House Tom Price* Price* R GA-6 NA 1.5 0 NA
House Xavier Becerra* Becerra* D CA-34 0 -72.9 0 0
House Jason Smith Smith R MO-8 93.2 54.4 93.2 0
House John Conyers Jr.* Conyers* D MI-13 13.2 -60.7 13.3 -0.1
House Ruben Gallego Gallego D AZ-7 13.8 -49.2 13.9 -0.1
House José E. Serrano Serrano D NY-15 11.9 -88.9 12 -0.1
House Peter T. King King R NY-2 82.5 9.1 82.7 -0.3
House Michael F. Doyle Doyle D PA-14 15.3 -35.9 15.5 -0.3
House Markwayne Mullin Mullin R OK-2 93.1 50.1 93.4 -0.3
House Lee M. Zeldin Zeldin R NY-1 86.4 12.3 86.7 -0.3
House Dwight Evans Evans D PA-2 12.1 -82.8 12.4 -0.3
House Gary J. Palmer Palmer R AL-6 94.7 44.7 95.1 -0.4
House Mark Meadows Meadows R NC-11 94.6 29.4 95 -0.4
House Ralph Lee Abraham Abraham R LA-5 93.2 29.4 93.6 -0.4
House Kristi L. Noem Noem R SD-AL 93.2 29.8 93.6 -0.4
House Salud O. Carbajal Carbajal D CA-24 23.7 -20.2 24.1 -0.4
House Diana DeGette DeGette D CO-1 10.5 -45.8 11 -0.4
House Jared Huffman Huffman D CA-2 12.1 -45.7 12.5 -0.4
House Cedric L. Richmond Richmond D LA-2 10.9 -52.4 11.4 -0.5
House Danny K. Davis D. Davis D IL-7 10.9 -78.2 11.4 -0.5
House Trent Kelly Kelly R MS-1 93.2 33 93.8 -0.5
House Marsha Blackburn Blackburn R TN-7 93.1 39.3 93.6 -0.5
House Jeff Duncan Duncan R SC-3 93.2 38 93.8 -0.6
House Todd Rokita Rokita R IN-4 93.2 34.1 93.8 -0.6
House Jim Banks Banks R IN-3 93.2 35 93.8 -0.6
House Frederica S. Wilson Wilson D FL-24 13.5 -67.7 14.1 -0.6
House Nanette Diaz Barragán Barragán D CA-44 12.1 -70.7 12.8 -0.7
House Brendan F. Boyle Boyle D PA-13 15.3 -33.6 16.1 -0.9
House Lloyd Doggett Doggett D TX-35 15.3 -33.6 16.1 -0.9
House Robin L. Kelly Kelly D IL-2 11.9 -58.9 13 -1.2
House Alma S. Adams Adams D NC-12 13.6 -40 14.7 -1.2
House Julia Brownley Brownley D CA-26 21.4 -21.9 22.8 -1.4
House Bobby Scott Scott D VA-3 15.3 -31.7 16.7 -1.4
House Alan S. Lowenthal Lowenthal D CA-47 15.5 -31.6 17 -1.5
House Karen Bass Bass D CA-37 10.9 -76.1 12.4 -1.5
House Gwen Moore Moore D WI-4 12.1 -52.2 13.7 -1.6
House Judy Chu Chu D CA-27 13.6 -37.6 15.2 -1.6
House Tom Emmer Emmer R MN-6 91.5 25.7 93.2 -1.7
House John Ratcliffe Ratcliffe R TX-4 91.5 53.6 93.3 -1.7
House John P. Sarbanes Sarbanes D MD-3 15.3 -30.8 17 -1.8
House Elise M. Stefanik Stefanik R NY-21 86.4 13.9 88.2 -1.8
House Juan Vargas Vargas D CA-51 11.9 -49 13.7 -1.8
House F. James Sensenbrenner Jr. Sensenbrenner R WI-5 89.8 20.1 91.8 -2
House Andy Harris Harris R MD-1 91.4 28.4 93.4 -2
House Adam Smith Smith D WA-9 12.5 -47.2 14.6 -2.1
House Bobby L. Rush Rush D IL-1 14.6 -54 16.8 -2.1
House Scott DesJarlais DesJarlais R TN-4 91.5 41.2 93.7 -2.2
House Nydia M. Velázquez Velázquez D NY-7 10.3 -76.5 12.6 -2.2
House Luke Messer Messer R IN-6 91.4 40.3 93.6 -2.2
House Garret Graves Graves R LA-6 91.5 33.8 93.8 -2.2
House David Kustoff Kustoff R TN-8 91.5 35.6 93.8 -2.3
House Raja Krishnamoorthi Krishnamoorthi D IL-8 20.3 -21.7 22.6 -2.3
House Warren Davidson Davidson R OH-8 91.4 34.5 93.7 -2.3
House Jim Jordan Jordan R OH-4 91.2 33.6 93.6 -2.3
House Pramila Jayapal Jayapal D WA-7 10.2 -69.9 12.6 -2.4
House Scott Perry Perry R PA-4 89.8 21.5 92.3 -2.5
House Yvette D. Clarke Clarke D NY-9 10.3 -69.1 12.8 -2.5
House Daniel M. Donovan Jr. Donovan R NY-11 81.4 9.8 83.9 -2.5
House Katherine M. Clark Clark D MA-5 13 -43.6 15.5 -2.6
House Marcia L. Fudge Fudge D OH-11 10.2 -63.5 12.8 -2.6
House Jim Bridenstine Bridenstine R OK-1 93.3 28.7 96 -2.7
House John B. Larson Larson D CT-1 17.9 -23.1 20.6 -2.8
House James A. Himes Himes D CT-4 19 -23 21.8 -2.8
House Colleen Hanabusa Hanabusa D HI-1 13.6 -32.6 16.4 -2.8
House Dina Titus Titus D NV-1 14 -29 16.9 -2.9
House Donald Norcross Norcross D NJ-1 17.2 -24.5 20.1 -2.9
House Luis V. Gutiérrez Gutiérrez D IL-4 9.1 -68.9 12.3 -3.2
House Vicente Gonzalez Gonzalez D TX-15 25.4 -16.7 28.6 -3.2
House Steny H. Hoyer Hoyer D MD-5 13.6 -31 16.9 -3.4
House Joaquin Castro Castro D TX-20 15.5 -26.7 18.9 -3.4
House Betty McCollum McCollum D MN-4 13.6 -30.9 17 -3.4
House Mark DeSaulnier DeSaulnier D CA-11 10.2 -48.8 13.7 -3.5
House Adriano Espaillat Espaillat D NY-13 8.5 -86.9 12.1 -3.6
House Raúl R. Labrador Labrador R ID-1 90.7 38.3 94.3 -3.6
House James E. Clyburn Clyburn D SC-6 11.5 -36.5 15.2 -3.7
House Trey Hollingsworth Hollingsworth R IN-9 89.5 26.9 93.2 -3.7
House Barbara Lee Lee D CA-13 8.5 -80.6 12.2 -3.8
House Janice D. Schakowsky Schakowsky D IL-9 10.2 -45.2 14 -3.9
House Bill Foster Foster D IL-11 17.2 -23.5 21.1 -3.9
House Filemon Vela Vela D TX-34 17.5 -21.5 21.4 -3.9
House Debbie Dingell Dingell D MI-12 15.3 -26.3 19.1 -3.9
House Grace F. Napolitano Napolitano D CA-32 13.3 -38.9 17.2 -3.9
House Alexander X. Mooney Mooney R WV-2 89.8 36.4 93.8 -4
House H. Morgan Griffith Griffith R VA-9 89.5 41.5 93.5 -4
House John Lewis Lewis D GA-5 8.6 -73.1 12.7 -4
House Mark Pocan Pocan D WI-2 12 -36.8 16.2 -4.2
House Paul A. Gosar Gosar R AZ-4 88.9 40.2 93.2 -4.3
House David N. Cicilline Cicilline D RI-1 15.3 -25.6 19.6 -4.3
House Maxine Waters Waters D CA-43 8.5 -61.7 12.9 -4.4
House Pete Aguilar Aguilar D CA-31 19 -21.1 23.5 -4.5
House Bennie G. Thompson Thompson D MS-2 14 -28.5 18.6 -4.5
House Ken Buck Buck R CO-4 88.1 23.1 92.7 -4.6
House Alcee L. Hastings Hastings D FL-20 8.9 -62.1 13.6 -4.6
House Keith Ellison Ellison D MN-5 8.5 -55.2 13.2 -4.8
House Mark Takano Takano D CA-41 13.8 -27.9 18.6 -4.8
House Sanford D. Bishop Jr. Bishop D GA-2 32.8 -11.7 37.8 -5
House Debbie Wasserman Schultz Wasserman Schultz D FL-23 12.3 -26.1 17.8 -5.5
House Peter Welch Welch D VT-AL 13.6 -26.4 19.1 -5.5
House Marcy Kaptur Kaptur D OH-9 15.8 -22.2 21.4 -5.6
House Louie Gohmert Gohmert R TX-1 87.7 46.9 93.3 -5.6
House Jamie Raskin Raskin D MD-8 10.2 -33.7 16.1 -5.9
House Brian Higgins Higgins D NY-26 19 -19.6 25.1 -6.1
House Mo Brooks Brooks R AL-5 87.3 33.4 93.4 -6.1
House Suzanne Bonamici Bonamici D OR-1 15.3 -22.8 21.6 -6.4
House Niki Tsongas Tsongas D MA-3 14 -22.8 20.6 -6.6
House Rick Larsen Larsen D WA-2 15.3 -22.1 22.2 -7
House Matt Gaetz Gaetz R FL-1 86.4 39.3 93.8 -7.3
House John K. Delaney Delaney D MD-6 22.4 -16.1 29.8 -7.4
House Bonnie Watson Coleman Watson Coleman D NJ-12 8.5 -33.2 16.2 -7.8
House Mark Sanford Sanford R SC-1 79.7 13.1 87.5 -7.8
House A. Donald McEachin McEachin D VA-4 14.3 -21.6 22.3 -8
House Seth Moulton Moulton D MA-6 18.6 -17.9 26.9 -8.3
House Richard E. Neal Neal D MA-1 15.3 -20.7 23.6 -8.4
House Joseph P. Kennedy III Kennedy D MA-4 13.2 -24.2 21.6 -8.4
House Lois Frankel Frankel D FL-21 17.3 -19.5 26.1 -8.8
House Nita M. Lowey Lowey D NY-17 15.3 -20.2 24.1 -8.9
House Raúl M. Grijalva Grijalva D AZ-3 8.5 -29.9 17.4 -8.9
House Jerry McNerney McNerney D CA-9 16.9 -18.6 26 -9.1
House Andy Biggs Biggs R AZ-5 83.1 21.1 92.2 -9.1
House John J. Duncan Jr. Duncan R TN-2 84.5 35.4 93.7 -9.2
House Kathy Castor Castor D FL-14 17.2 -18.2 26.9 -9.6
House André Carson Carson D IN-7 12.5 -22.8 22.6 -10.1
House Stephanie N. Murphy Murphy D FL-7 36.2 -7.3 46.7 -10.5
House Jared Polis Polis D CO-2 11.9 -21.3 23 -11.1
House Michelle Lujan Grisham Lujan Grisham D NM-1 16.9 -16.5 28.9 -12
House James P. McGovern McGovern D MA-2 12.1 -19.4 25 -13
House Theodore E. Deutch Deutch D FL-22 14.3 -15.8 27.9 -13.6
House Suzan K. DelBene DelBene D WA-1 15.3 -16.3 29.2 -14
House John A. Yarmuth Yarmuth D KY-3 16.9 -15 31.3 -14.4
House Ami Bera Bera D CA-7 23.7 -11.4 38.1 -14.4
House Darren Soto Soto D FL-9 20.3 -12.9 35.1 -14.8
House Rosa L. DeLauro DeLauro D CT-3 14.3 -15.5 29.8 -15.5
House Ben Ray Luján Luján D NM-3 15.3 -15.1 31.1 -15.9
House Louise McIntosh Slaughter Slaughter D NY-25 11.5 -16.4 27.9 -16.4
House Christopher H. Smith Smith R NJ-4 72.4 14.8 88.8 -16.4
House Ed Perlmutter Perlmutter D CO-7 20.3 -12 36.9 -16.5
House Raul Ruiz Ruiz D CA-36 27.1 -8.8 43.9 -16.8
House William R. Keating Keating D MA-9 22 -10.7 39.6 -17.6
House Derek Kilmer Kilmer D WA-6 18.6 -12.3 36.3 -17.6
House Chellie Pingree Pingree D ME-1 13.8 -14.8 31.9 -18.1
House Emanuel Cleaver Cleaver D MO-5 15.1 -13.5 33.4 -18.4
House Paul Tonko Tonko D NY-20 15.8 -13.5 34.5 -18.7
House John Garamendi Garamendi D CA-3 16.9 -12.6 35.7 -18.7
House Frank Pallone Jr. Pallone D NJ-6 10.2 -15.6 30.3 -20.2
House Lisa Blunt Rochester Blunt Rochester D DE-AL 17.2 -11.4 37.6 -20.4
House Peter J. Visclosky Visclosky D IN-1 15.3 -12.6 35.7 -20.4
House Justin Amash Amash R MI-3 62.7 9.4 83.4 -20.6
House Denny Heck Heck D WA-10 16.9 -11.4 38.1 -21.2
House Thomas Massie Massie R KY-4 71.2 35.9 93.8 -22.6
House Charlie Crist Crist D FL-13 32.1 -3.2 57.3 -25.2
House Tom O’Halleran O’Halleran D AZ-1 42.4 1.1 68.1 -25.7
House Thomas R. Suozzi Suozzi D NY-3 23.2 -6.1 49.2 -26
House Kathleen M. Rice Rice D NY-4 15.3 -9.6 42 -26.8
House Josh Gottheimer Gottheimer D NJ-5 40.7 1.1 68.1 -27.4
House Kurt Schrader Schrader D OR-5 27.6 -4.2 55.2 -27.6
House Collin C. Peterson Peterson D MN-7 63.2 30.8 93.5 -30.3
House James R. Langevin Langevin D RI-2 16.9 -7.1 47.9 -31
House Ruben J. Kihuen Kihuen D NV-4 22.4 -4.9 53.5 -31.1
House Tim Ryan Ryan D OH-13 16.9 -6.5 49.4 -32.5
House Sander M. Levin Levin D MI-9 13.6 -7.8 46.2 -32.7
House Elizabeth H. Esty Esty D CT-5 20.3 -4.1 55.4 -35.1
House Jacky Rosen Rosen D NV-3 31 1 67.8 -36.8
House Walter B. Jones Jones R NC-3 55.8 23.6 92.8 -37
House Ann M. Kuster Kuster D NH-2 22 -2.4 59.7 -37.6
House Joe Courtney Courtney D CT-2 20.3 -2.9 58.4 -38.1
House Daniel T. Kildee Kildee D MI-5 15.8 -4.2 55.4 -39.6
House Cheri Bustos Bustos D IL-17 25.4 0.7 67.2 -41.7
House Peter A. DeFazio DeFazio D OR-4 20.7 -0.1 65.4 -44.7
House Sean Patrick Maloney S. Maloney D NY-18 23.7 1.9 69.9 -46.2
House Ron Kind Kind D WI-3 25.4 4.5 75.3 -49.9
House Carol Shea-Porter Shea-Porter D NH-1 19 1.6 70.4 -51.4
House David Loebsack Loebsack D IA-2 22 4.1 74.5 -52.5
House Matt Cartwright Cartwright D PA-17 22.4 10.1 84.2 -61.8
House Richard M. Nolan Nolan D MN-8 20.3 15.6 89.5 -69.2
House Timothy J. Walz Walz D MN-1 19.3 14.9 88.8 -69.5
Raw
trump-score.R
library(rvest)
library(tidyverse)
h <- read_html('https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/congress-trump-score/house/')
trump_score <- h %>%
html_nodes('table.member-list') %>%
map(html_table, fill = TRUE) %>%
set_names(c('Senate', 'House')) %>%
map(set_names,
c('member', 'member_short', 'party', 'district', 'trump_score',
'trump_margin', 'predicted_score', 'trump_plus_minus')) %>%
map(mutate_all, na_if, '—') %>%
map_df(mutate_at, vars(trump_score:trump_plus_minus), parse_number,
.id = 'chamber')
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