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April 20, 2021 14:48
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A/B test simulation
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def simulate_a_b | |
sizes = [1_000, 10_000, 100_000] | |
funded_distribution = [500, 500, 500, 500, 600, 700, 800, 1000, 1500, 2000] | |
convertion_rate = 0.03 | |
results = {} | |
results = { | |
a: {visits: 0, funded: 0, converted: 0}, | |
b: {visits: 0, funded: 0, converted: 0}, | |
} | |
simulate = ->(i) { | |
funded = funded_distribution.sample; | |
converted = rand > (1 - convertion_rate); | |
consumer = (i.even?) ? (:a) : (:b); | |
results[consumer][:visits] = results[consumer][:visits] + 1; | |
results[consumer][:funded] = results[consumer][:funded] + (converted ? funded : 0); | |
results[consumer][:converted] = results[consumer][:converted] + (converted ? 1 : 0) ; | |
} | |
puts 'For A = B (no difference)' | |
1_000_000.times do |i| | |
simulate.call(i) | |
if [1_000, 10_000, 100_000, 1_000_000].include? (i+1) | |
puts "[Total visits (A+B) #{i+1}]" | |
puts "visits A/B: #{results[:a][:visits].to_f/results[:b][:visits]}, converted customers A/B: #{results[:a][:converted].to_f/results[:b][:converted]}, $ funded A/B: #{results[:a][:funded].to_f/results[:b][:funded]}" | |
end | |
end | |
end | |
simulate_a_b |
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