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@artpar
Created November 9, 2017 12:09
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Prophet parameters
  • Coupon day data improves the MSE
  • MSE for lower/upper uncertainity interval improves if we reduce the interval width (to 0.5 vs 0.8 default)
  • Need a lot more data for using 'logistic' growth (with current data, predictions are much higher)
  • The predictions MSE improves in general with more data
  • The lower/upper MSE are not deterministic (they keep changing slightly with every run, with no change in anything else)
  • lower/upper CAP doesnt affect any predictions yet (since we are using high limits)

TODO

  • Channel/stream API - End point which consumes the time series points -

{"ds": "<time stamp>", "value": "X"}

  • Channel/stream API requires auth token or secret, these token/secrets will be stored in db
  • A page to login:
    • list channels
    • see channel data + predictions
    • create/delete a channel
    • create/delete a token/secret
  • Data for each channel stored in redis
  • cron script to send predictions to emails ?
  • query predictions from slack by channel name ?
  • python and flask
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