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April 11, 2023 13:40
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Simulate (rather, just "write down") the Monty Hall problem.
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function onegame() | |
doors = (1,2,3) | |
# drop(i::Int) = i == 1 ? (2,3) : i == 2 ? (1,3) : (1,2) | |
true_ans = rand(doors) | |
player1_ans = first_ans = rand(doors) | |
if first_ans == 1 | |
if true_ans == 1 | |
# open = rand(drop(1)) | |
# [...] | |
return false # player1 wins | |
elseif true_ans == 2 | |
open = 3 | |
player2_ans = 2 | |
return true # player2 wins | |
else | |
open = 2 | |
player2_ans = 3 | |
return true # player2 wins | |
end | |
elseif first_ans == 2 | |
if true_ans == 1 | |
open = 3 | |
player2_ans = 1 | |
return true # player2 wins | |
elseif true_ans == 2 | |
# open = rand(drop(2)) | |
# [...] | |
return false # player1 wins | |
else | |
open = 1 | |
player2_ans = 3 | |
return true # player2 wins | |
end | |
else | |
if true_ans == 1 | |
open = 2 | |
player2_ans = 1 | |
return true # player2 wins | |
elseif true_ans == 2 | |
open = 1 | |
player2_ans = 2 | |
return true # player2 wins | |
else | |
# open = rand(drop(3)) | |
# [...] | |
return false # player1 wins | |
end | |
end | |
end | |
let n = 1000000 | |
sum(onegame() for i = 1:1000000) / n # => 0.666129 | |
end |
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