Created
June 23, 2021 13:19
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Medium "How to actually forecast COVID-19" embed
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| model = BarebonesSEIR() | |
| model.params = model.get_fit_params() | |
| train_initial_conditions = model.get_initial_conditions(train_subset) | |
| train_t = np.arange(len(train_subset)) | |
| (S, E, I, R, D) = model.predict(train_t, train_initial_conditions) | |
| plt.figure(figsize=(10, 7)) | |
| plt.plot(train_subset.date, train_subset['total_dead'], label='ground truth') | |
| plt.plot(train_subset.date, D, label='predicted', color='black', linestyle='dashed' ) | |
| plt.legend() | |
| plt.title('Total deaths') | |
| plt.show() |
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