Created
March 17, 2020 02:57
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COVID-19 Case Fatality Rate (CFR) by age
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--- | |
title: "COVID-19 Case Fatality Rate (CFR) by age" | |
output: html_document | |
--- | |
```{r setup, include=FALSE} | |
knitr::opts_chunk$set(echo = TRUE) | |
library(tidyverse) | |
``` | |
Seasonal influenza 1997 to 2007 CFR (taken from https://github.com/jbloom/CoV_vs_flu_CFR/blob/master/cfr_stats.ipynb, original source Table 1 of https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC3873104/ assuming a 10% incidence rate) | |
COVID-19 CFR data taken from Table 1 from https://www.imperial.ac.uk/media/imperial-college/medicine/sph/ide/gida-fellowships/Imperial-College-COVID19-NPI-modelling-16-03-2020.pdf | |
```{r} | |
flu <- read_csv(file = | |
"label,age,CFR | |
<18,9,0.0041 | |
18-49,33,0.0103 | |
50-64,57,0.0718 | |
65-74,70,0.2637 | |
>=75,80,1.4115") | |
flu$disease = "seasonal influenza" | |
covid19 <- read_csv(file = | |
"label,age,CFR | |
0-9,5,0.002 | |
10-19,15,0.006 | |
20-29,25,0.03 | |
30-39,35,0.08 | |
40-49,45,0.15 | |
50-59,55,0.6 | |
60-69,65,2.2 | |
70-79,75,5.1 | |
>=80,85,9.3") | |
covid19$disease = "COVID-19" | |
``` | |
The plot. | |
```{r} | |
df <- rbind(flu, covid19) | |
ggplot(df, aes(age, CFR, color = disease)) + | |
geom_line() + | |
scale_y_log10( | |
name = "Case Fatality Rate" | |
) | |
``` |
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