Final Four Pick Strategy

final_four.py

#seeds making it to final four in past ten years
seeds=[3,4,8,11,1,2,5,5,1,1,2,3,1,1,1,1,1,1,2,2,2,3,4,11,1,1,4,5,1,2,2,3,1,2,3,3,1,1,2,5]

# track how many times each seed has made it to final four
data=[]
for i in range(16):
  s=i+1
  data.append([s,len(filter(lambda x:x==s,seeds))])

# compute likelihoods
likelihood=[]
acc=0
for z in data:
  acc+=z[1]
  likelihood.append([z[0],(float(acc)/40/z[0])**4,1/(float(acc)/40/z[0])**4])