After seeing https://x.com/WEschenbach/status/2075720590984708529
The tweet reply rests on a false distinction: that he presented sourced facts while his critics merely “handwaved.” The problem is not that his post contains no facts. It is that many of those facts do not support the conclusions he draws from them.
Eschenbach repeatedly treats declining disaster mortality as evidence that climate risk is not increasing. But mortality depends on far more than the physical hazard. Forecasting, healthcare, infrastructure, building standards, and emergency response have all reduced vulnerability. Deaths can therefore fall even while climatic hazards intensify. The IPCC synthesis report concludes that human-caused climate change is already affecting weather and climate extremes worldwide and causing widespread losses and damage.
He also relies on selective indicators and mismatched
