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April 13, 2021 13:40
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Napkin math on if those 6.8M people didn't get the J&J vaccine: | |
"During March 1–28, 2020, the overall laboratory-confirmed COVID-19–associated hospitalization rate was 4.6 per 100,000 population." | |
https://www.cdc.gov/mmwr/volumes/69/wr/mm6915e3.htm | |
6,800,000 / 100,000 * 4.6 | |
=> 312.8 hospitalizations. | |
"Of patients in this cohort, 55 593 (28.9%) were admitted to the ICU" | |
https://jamanetwork.com/journals/jamanetworkopen/fullarticle/2777028 | |
312.8 * 0.289 | |
=> 90.3992 in ICU | |
"The 31% incidence of thrombotic complications in ICU patients" | |
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC7146714 | |
90.3992 * 0.31 | |
=> 28.023752 expected blood clots sans vaccine. |
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