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Law of the Iterated Logarithm
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limsup <- function(x){ | |
z = rep(0,length(x)) | |
for(i in 1:length(x)){ | |
z[i] = max(x[i:length(x)]) | |
} | |
return(z) | |
} | |
set.seed(2) | |
LIL <- function( iter = 50000, | |
mu = 0, | |
sigma = 1){ | |
require(TeachingDemos) | |
x <- rnorm(iter, mean = mu, sd = sigma) | |
n <- 10:iter | |
m <- sigma*sqrt(2*log(log(n))/n) | |
plot( n, cumsum(x)[n]/n, | |
log = "x", | |
type = "n", | |
ylab = expression(paste("Sample Mean ", bar(italic(X[n])))), | |
xlab = "Cumulative Trials", | |
xlim = c(10,iter), | |
ylim = mu + c(-1,1)) | |
lines( n, m, lty = 2) | |
lines( n, -1*m, lty = 2) | |
xx <- c(n,rev(n)) | |
yy <- mu + c(m, -rev(m)) | |
polygon(xx, yy, col=grey(0.95), border = NA) | |
abline( h = mu, lty = 2, lwd = 2, col="blue") | |
lines(n, cumsum(x)[n]/n) | |
mtext(expression(mu), adj = 1, side=4,cex=2, at = mu, col="blue") | |
text( iter^0.75, mu+m[round(iter^0.75)], pos=3,labels = expression(mu %+-% sqrt( frac(2*sigma^2~plain(log)~plain(log)~n, n)))) | |
plot.refresh <- function(...){ | |
iter <- slider(no = 1) | |
mu <- slider(no = 2) | |
sigma <- slider(no = 3) | |
x <- rnorm(iter, mean = mu, sd = sigma) | |
n <- 10:iter | |
m <- sigma*sqrt(2*log(log(n))/n) | |
plot( n, cumsum(x)[n]/n, | |
log = "x", | |
type = "n", | |
main = "Law of the Iterated Logarithm", | |
ylab = expression(paste("Sample Mean ", bar(italic(X))[n])), | |
xlab = expression(paste("sample size ", italic(n), ", (log scale)", sep="")), | |
xlim = c(10,iter), | |
ylim = 0.5*c(-1,1)) | |
lines( n, mu + m, lty = 2) | |
lines( n, mu - m, lty = 2) | |
xx <- c(n,rev(n)) | |
yy <- mu+c(m, -rev(m)) | |
polygon(xx, yy, col=grey(0.95), border = NA) | |
abline( h = mu, lty = 2, lwd = 2, col="blue") | |
lines(n, cumsum(x)[n]/n) | |
mtext(expression(mu), adj = 1, side=4,cex=2, at = mu, col="blue") | |
text( iter^0.75, mu+m[round(iter^0.75)], pos=3,labels = expression( mu %+-% sqrt( frac(2*sigma^2~plain(log)~plain(log)~n, n)))) | |
} | |
slider( plot.refresh, | |
c("Sample size n", | |
"Population mean", | |
"Population standard deviation"), | |
c(1000, -0.4, 0.5), | |
c(100000, 0.4, 1.5), | |
c(1, 0.1, 0.1), | |
c(50000, 0, 1), | |
title = "LIL Demo") | |
} |
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