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November 6, 2020 11:32
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R Code to generate plot for uncalled races (as of 4pm EST on Thursday)
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# Based on snippet by @charlie7whiskey https://gist.github.com/cgrilson7/86737d3b07c2a0806f8aaeaaedf2fd7c | |
# Via unofficial NYT api at https://github.com/alex/nyt-2020-election-scraper | |
#updated 11/6 after api change | |
library(tidyverse) | |
library(rvest) | |
library(lubridate) | |
url <- "https://alex.github.io/nyt-2020-election-scraper/battleground-state-changes.html" | |
tables_raw <- read_html(url) %>% | |
html_nodes("table") %>% | |
html_table(fill = TRUE) | |
tables <- tables_raw %>% | |
map(function(t){ | |
state <- t[1,1] %>% str_match("(^.*)\\s\\(") %>% .[,2] | |
new_names <- unlist(t[2,]) | |
t %>% set_names(new_names) %>% select(-9) %>% slice(-c(1,2)) %>% mutate(State = state) %>% as_tibble | |
}) %>% | |
bind_rows() %>% | |
as_tibble() %>% | |
select(State, Timestamp, Leader = `In The Lead`, Lead = `Vote Differential`, Remaining = `Votes Remaining (est.)`) %>% | |
mutate(Timestamp = as.POSIXct(Timestamp, tz = "UTC")) %>% | |
mutate(across(c(Lead, Remaining), ~as.numeric(gsub(',', '', .)))) %>% | |
# add features | |
mutate(trump_lead = ifelse(Leader == "Trump", Lead, -Lead)) %>% | |
# manually determine order of facets | |
#mutate(State = factor(State, levels = c("Pennsylvania", "North Carolina", "Alaska", "Georgia", "Nevada", "Arizona"))) %>% | |
filter( | |
State %in% c("Pennsylvania", "Georgia", "Arizona", "Nevada"), | |
Timestamp >= as_datetime("2020-11-05 06:00:00") | |
) | |
tables %>% | |
ggplot(aes(x = Remaining, y = trump_lead, group=State)) + | |
geom_path(color = "gray", size = 0.5) + | |
geom_point(aes(col = Timestamp), fill = "#041E42", size = 1) + | |
geom_text( | |
data = tables %>% | |
group_by(State) %>% | |
filter(row_number() %% 15 == 0 | Timestamp == max(Timestamp) | Timestamp == min(Timestamp)) %>% | |
ungroup(), | |
aes(label = format(Timestamp, "%a %H:%M", tz = "EST")), angle = 45, color = '#041E42', hjust = -0.1) + | |
facet_wrap(~State, scales='free', ncol = 2) + | |
scale_x_continuous(labels = scales::number, trans = 'reverse', limits = c(NA, 0)) + | |
scale_color_viridis_c(trans = "time") + | |
geom_hline(yintercept = 0, color = '#041E42') + | |
geom_vline(xintercept = 0, color = 'red') + | |
theme_minimal()+ | |
xlab("NYT Estimated Votes Remaining") + | |
ylab("Trump Vote Lead") + | |
geom_hline(yintercept = 0, color = '#041E42') + | |
ggtitle("Uncalled Races", subtitle = paste0( | |
"Source: Unofficial NYTimes Votes Remaining API\nCreator: @hdkrgr based on code by @charlie7whiskey\nUpdated: ", format(Sys.time(), tz = "EST", '%H:%M EST')) | |
) + | |
theme_minimal() + | |
theme(text = element_text(), | |
#legend.position = 'none', | |
axis.title = element_text(size = 18), | |
strip.text = element_text(face = 'bold', size = 12), | |
plot.title = element_text(face = 'bold', size = 18, color = '#041E42') | |
) | |
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