Created
April 20, 2020 12:33
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Yatzy probability counter
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function factorial(k) { | |
return (k === 0) ? 1 : k * factorial(k - 1); | |
} | |
function binomial(n, k) { | |
return factorial(n) / factorial(k) / factorial(n - k); | |
} | |
// Probability of k sixes from n dice | |
function prob(n, k) { | |
return Math.pow(1 / 6, k) * Math.pow(5 / 6, n - k) * binomial(n, k); | |
} | |
// Probability of getting Yatzy with n dice and t turns | |
function probSixesYatzy(n, t) { | |
if (n === 0) { | |
return 1; | |
} | |
if (t === 0) { | |
return 0; | |
} | |
let sum = 0; | |
// If last turn, no need to look at any other case than getting all the remaining sixes | |
for (let k = (t === 1 ? n : 0); k <= n; k++) { | |
sum += prob(n, k) * probSixesYatzy(n - k, t - 1); | |
} | |
return sum; | |
} | |
const [nbrDice, nbrTurns] = process.argv.slice(2).map(x => parseInt(x)); | |
const p = probSixesYatzy(nbrDice, nbrTurns); | |
console.log(`Sum: ${p} (${p * 100} %)`); |
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