Created
December 14, 2012 09:25
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run simulation for monty hall problem
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| import random, pylab | |
| #set line width | |
| pylab.rcParams['lines.linewidth'] = 6 | |
| #set font size for titles | |
| pylab.rcParams['axes.titlesize'] = 20 | |
| #set font size for labels on axes | |
| pylab.rcParams['axes.labelsize'] = 20 | |
| #set size of numbers on x-axis | |
| pylab.rcParams['xtick.major.size'] = 5 | |
| #set size of numbers on y-axis | |
| pylab.rcParams['ytick.major.size'] = 5 | |
| #set font size for text | |
| pylab.rcParams['legend.fontsize'] = 20 | |
| def montyChoose(guessDoor, prizeDoor): | |
| if 1 != guessDoor and 1 != prizeDoor: | |
| return 1 | |
| if 2 != guessDoor and 2 != prizeDoor: | |
| return 2 | |
| return 3 | |
| def randomChoose(guessDoor, prizeDoor): | |
| if guessDoor == 1: | |
| return random.choice([2,3]) | |
| if guessDoor == 2: | |
| return random.choice([1,3]) | |
| return random.choice([1,2]) | |
| def simMontyHall(numTrials, chooseFcn): | |
| stickWins, switchWins, noWin = (0, 0, 0) | |
| prizeDoorChoices = [1,2,3] | |
| guessChoices = [1,2,3] | |
| for t in range(numTrials): | |
| prizeDoor = random.choice([1, 2, 3]) | |
| guess = random.choice([1, 2, 3]) | |
| toOpen = chooseFcn(guess, prizeDoor) | |
| if toOpen == prizeDoor: | |
| noWin += 1 | |
| elif guess == prizeDoor: | |
| stickWins += 1 | |
| else: | |
| switchWins += 1 | |
| return (stickWins, switchWins) | |
| def displayMHSim(simResults, title): | |
| stickWins, switchWins = simResults | |
| pylab.pie([stickWins, switchWins], | |
| colors = ['r', 'c'], | |
| labels = ['stick', 'change'], | |
| autopct = '%.2f%%') | |
| pylab.title(title) | |
| simResults = simMontyHall(100000, montyChoose) | |
| displayMHSim(simResults, 'Monty Chooses a Door') | |
| pylab.figure() | |
| simResults = simMontyHall(100000, randomChoose) | |
| displayMHSim(simResults, 'Door Chosen at Random') | |
| pylab.show() |
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