The twelve prisoners, shorter version

prisoners2.js

var _ = require('lodash');

function run() {
    var piles = _.chunk(_.shuffle(_.range(52).map(i => Math.floor(i/4))), 4);
    return iterate(piles[0].shift(), piles);
}
        
function iterate(hold, piles) {
    if (_.range(1, 13).every(i => piles[i].length === 0)) return true;
    if (piles[0].length == 0 && hold === 0) return false;
    return iterate(piles[hold].shift(), piles);
}

var data = _.range(100000000).reduce(i => run() ? [i[0] + 1, i[1]] : [i[0], i[1] + 1], [0, 0]);
console.log(`W: ${data[0]}\nL: ${data[1]}\n%: ${(data[0] / (data[0] + data[1]) * 100).toFixed(2)}%`);