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January 31, 2019 00:00
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| "longDescription": "If your client doesn't render the details correctly, use this link to view the same as text file: https://gateway.ipfs.io/ipfs/QmXVAFyJgYzNhte1SL1FbB7CZD2koKyExbxk7BTvyxYLAa\n\nReporter: please skip to below the fold to see the rules of reporting on this market.\n\nTrader: if you are reading this, you may want to check the following article:\n - https://gateway.ipfs.io/ipfs/QmXFkoDgazVvNgwcEmPkEJYWrfM85YYhD4UX8vkUuRy8ha/\nIt explains in more detail what this market is trying to achieve,\nand some advice on how it can be used.\n\nHowever that article is there just for informational purposes\nand is not part of this market, and does not affect market reporting.\nThe rules for how this market is to be reported follow below.\n\n--------------------------------------\n\nDear reporter.\n\nLet me guide you through the procedure of reporting results on this market.\nIt will take just a few minutes.\n\nWe will need to fetch some data for pair ETH/USD from Coinbase Pro.\n\nLooking at the historical prices of ETH/USD between 2018-07-13 00:00:00 UTC,\nand 2019-01-01 00:00:00 UTC, did it ever trade above $600 or below $200?\n\nIf it traded above $600, but not below $200, report 1.0.\nIf it traded below $200, but not above $600, report 0.0.\n\nIf it traded both above $600 and below $200, answer this:\nwhich of those events happened earlier? If it is the former, report 1.0,\notherwise report 0.0.\n\nIf you made it to this step, it means for the whole lifetime of this market\nETH/USD stayed between $200 and $600.\n\nLet's denote as \"Price\" the price of last trading activity on Coinbase Pro for\npair ETH/USD before 2019-01-01 00:00:00 UTC.\n\nTentative market outcome will then be:\n (1.5 * Price - 300) / Price.\n\nNow, round it to the nearest market tick and report.\nIf it lands exactly in the middle between two ticks, round up.", | |
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| "shortDescription": "Will total open interest on Augur (i.e. amount in escrow) be more than 1500 ETH at block 6055000 (~29 July 2018)?", | |
| "longDescription": "Block 6055000 will be mined on or close to 29 July 2018. \n__________________________________________________________________________________________________\nOpen Interest (https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Open_interest) is the amount of unsettled contracts, denominated in ETH, currently outstanding (i.e. in escrow) on the current Augur Universe. This market will determine the total open interest by calling directly to the Augur smart contracts. The information provided there can be checked in the Augur App as well (under the Account >> Universes tab, under TOTAL OPEN INTEREST). \n__________________________________________________________________________________________________\n\nIf you want to call the smart contract yourself, you can connect your Augur node, open the Augur app, open the web console developer tool in your browser, and then input the following command below: \n__________________________________________________________________________________________________\n \naugur.api.Universe.getOpenInterestInAttoEth({ tx: { to: '0xe991247b78f937d7b69cfc00f1a487a293557677' }}, (x, openInterest) => {console.log(openInterest/augur.rpc.constants.ETHER)}) \n__________________________________________________________________________________________________\n\n\nThe above will return the Open Interest currently in escrow.\n__________________________________________________________________________________________________\n\nUnofficial sources where you can also track the current open interest are: predictions.global and augur.casino. These sites may not be perfectly in sync, so the definitive resolution source will be a call directly to the Augur smart contract on the blockchain at block 6055000.", | |
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| "shortDescription": "Will Facebook announce the acquisition of Coinbase anytime during 2018?", | |
| "longDescription": "Acquisition just has to be *announced* during 2018 on Facebook's newsroom page: https://newsroom.fb.com/. This outcome will still by YES even if the acquisition is later cancelled/withdrawn.", | |
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| "shortDescription": "Will the American League team beat the National League team at the All-Star Game on July 17 2018?", | |
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| "shortDescription": "Which 'privacy coin' will have the highest USD market cap at the end of 2018?", | |
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| "shortDescription": "Will Zcash price be above $500 USD at the end of 2018?", | |
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| "shortDescription": "Will Zcash (ZEC) price be above $300 USD at the end of Sept '18?", | |
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| "category": "YOUTUBE", | |
| "tag1": "MARKETING", | |
| "tag2": "BLOCKWOLF", | |
| "volume": "153041.346498", | |
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| "shortDescription": "Will BlockWolf's Augur Tutorial YouTube Video Hit 5,000 views by August 6th?", | |
| "longDescription": "Use the video titled \"Augur Tutorial | How To Use Augur + Tips | Will This Get 5,000 Views?\" Published on July 16th, 2018.", | |
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| "tag1": "ETH", | |
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| "shortDescription": "When will the BTC/ETH flippening happen?", | |
| "longDescription": "Flippening is defined as ETH's market cap being higher than BTC's for 30 days in a row.", | |
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| "shortDescription": "Will gold close above $1,200 US$ per fine troy ounce on 10/30/18 on the London Metal Exchange?", | |
| "longDescription": "Based on references prices on the London Metal Exchange", | |
| "scalarDenomination": null, | |
| "designatedReporter": "0x4f50d47d20380172746527bbeaa274940c38efac", | |
| "designatedReportStake": "0.349680582682291667", | |
| "resolutionSource": "https://www.lme.com/en-GB/Metals/Precious-metals/LME-Gold#tabIndex=1", | |
| "numTicks": "10000", | |
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| { | |
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| "tag1": "EOS", | |
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| "shortDescription": "EOS shortable stock/market cap tracker", | |
| "longDescription": "Market cap at market creation date is ~7.1 billion USD (using current number of tokens outstanding) Reporters: this market should just track the current market cap. Please make sure there has not been a major issuance between now and expiration that would increase market cap).", | |
| "scalarDenomination": "billion USD", | |
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| { | |
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| "category": "CRYPTOCURRENCIES", | |
| "tag1": "EOS", | |
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| "volume": "0", | |
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| "marketStateId": 435, | |
| "shortDescription": "EOS Market Cap Tracker Year-End 2019 ", | |
| "longDescription": "Please consult current market cap that includes 5% annual inflation. ", | |
| "scalarDenomination": "billion USD", | |
| "designatedReporter": "0xd1ce6dca191446f3f99b951ad24853074923b101", | |
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| }, | |
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| "longDescription": "Ligue 1's transfer window closes on the 31st of August 2018", | |
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| }, | |
| { | |
| "marketId": "0xa0c26f0e5d45800ed85279c37281b49934f3ecf8", | |
| "universe": "0xe991247b78f937d7b69cfc00f1a487a293557677", | |
| "marketType": "scalar", | |
| "numOutcomes": 2, | |
| "minPrice": "0", | |
| "maxPrice": "1", | |
| "marketCreator": "0x2404a39e447d0c8b417049fc42b468a26990b4cc", | |
| "creationBlockNumber": 5976821, | |
| "creationFee": "0.01", | |
| "reportingFeeRate": "0.0001", | |
| "marketCreatorFeeRate": "0.005", | |
| "marketCreatorFeesBalance": "0", | |
| "marketCreatorMailbox": "0xa31824444b6b452e286a4a7a8f2365cd5ef9a79c", | |
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| "initialReportSize": "349680582682291667", | |
| "category": "CRYPTOCURRENCIES", | |
| "tag1": "ETHEREUM", | |
| "tag2": "ETH", | |
| "volume": "11291.13332", | |
| "sharesOutstanding": "11.33", | |
| "feeWindow": "0x98c85d3682dc20c2cda440cbdcac7520444df35d", | |
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| "shortDescription": "CFD ETH/USD [$400..$600] with margin calls [high leverage; expires 2018-08-01]", | |
| "longDescription": "If your client doesn't render the details correctly, use this link to view the same as text file: https://gateway.ipfs.io/ipfs/QmUTRagpcTbJbEgHpEtX3HxwgkmdLmZL9y8ycEpW2qQ6zF\n\nThis is not a standard scalar market, read the rules carefully.\n\nReporter: please skip to below the fold to see the rules of reporting on this market.\n\nTrader: if you are reading this, you may want to check the following article:\n - https://gateway.ipfs.io/ipfs/QmZkxwjpWkT6FL2mBKfbpiYu4hqpdUL11bbPLdTZZfqkyh/#/market/ethusdvolatile\nIt explains in more detail what this market is trying to achieve,\nand some advice on how it can be used.\n\nHowever that article is there just for informational purposes\nand is not part of this market, and does not affect market reporting.\nThe rules for how this market is to be reported follow below.\n\n--------------------------------------\n\nDear reporter.\n\nLet me guide you through the procedure of reporting results on this market.\nIt will take just a few minutes.\n\nWe will need to fetch some data for pair ETH/USD from Coinbase Pro.\n\nLooking at the historical prices of ETH/USD between 2018-07-16 00:00:00 UTC,\nand 2018-08-01 00:00:00 UTC, did it ever trade above $600 or below $400?\n\nIf it traded above $600, but not below $400, report 1.0.\nIf it traded below $400, but not above $600, report 0.0.\n\nIf it traded both above $600 and below $400, answer this:\nwhich of those events happened earlier? If it is the former, report 1.0,\notherwise report 0.0.\n\nIf you made it to this step, it means for the whole lifetime of this market\nETH/USD stayed between $400 and $600.\n\nLet's denote as \"Price\" the price of last trading activity on Coinbase Pro for\npair ETH/USD before 2018-08-01 00:00:00 UTC.\n\nTentative market outcome will then be:\n (3 * Price - 1200) / Price.\n\nNow, round it to the nearest market tick and report.\nIf it lands exactly in the middle between two ticks, round up.", | |
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| "category": "CRYPTOCURRENCY", | |
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| "tag2": "ETH-USD", | |
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| "shortDescription": "Will the price of Ethereum exceed $480 at the end of August 31st, 2018?", | |
| "longDescription": "According to pro.coinbase.com last trade data for August 31st, 2018", | |
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| "shortDescription": "Will the Ravens defeat the Bears on August 2, 2018?", | |
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| "shortDescription": "Will Serena Williams win 2018 US Open Tennis Women's Singles Champion?", | |
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| "shortDescription": "Augur Open Interest Scalar Market (expires 2018-9-30)", | |
| "longDescription": "Reporters will need to track down the open interest and verify the correct open interest amount", | |
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| "shortDescription": "Will the combined run count of the 2018 MLB All Star Game be greater than 5.5?", | |
| "longDescription": "Add the NL and AL final score together. If you think it will be 6 or greater, buy YES. If you think it will be 5 or less, buy NO.", | |
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| "shortDescription": "The release date for The Elder Scrolls VI will be announced for which year?", | |
| "longDescription": "The first announced official release date from Bethesda Softworks.", | |
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| "shortDescription": "Will The Price of Binance Coin (BNB) Surpass $30 At Any Point From August 1 Through December 31 of 2018?", | |
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| "shortDescription": "Will The Price of VeChain Surpass $5 At Any Point From August 1 Through December 31 of 2018?", | |
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| "shortDescription": "Cryptocurrency Future Contract: ETH/BTC Trading Pair Closing Price on 9/30/2018 according to etherchain.org/charts/priceBTC 15x leveraged w/o margin call", | |
| "longDescription": "Trader: With good liquidity, derivative’s current price should reflect spot price on major exchanges w/ Black Scholes Model Adjustment (Intrinsic + Time Value). Buy if bullish; sell if bearish. Create Calendar spread for hedge/rollover.\nOrder Placement e.g.: IF 1 ETH = .007 BTC THEN enter .007 ETH in Limit Price and number of Shares to buy/sell in Quantity.\nReporter: 1) Download CSV file from Source URL. 2) Find Expiration Date in file. 3) Choose the LATEST Price Quoted on Expiration Date as Actual Closing Price, aka ACP. 4) IF ACP >= Future Contract Upper Limit Price, THEN Report the Upper Limit Price as Final Reported Closing Price, aka FRCP; IF ACP <= Future Contract Lower Limit Price, THEN Report the Lower Limit Price as FRCP; ELSE, ACP is within the Future Contract Price Range, just Report ACP as FRCP. 5) Ensure FRCP has 6 decimals.\nSettlement: FRCP, see Reporter Section for details. IF (FRCP - Purchase Price) * Long Shares > 0 OR (Sale Price - FRCP) * Short Shares > 0, THEN you have profit; ELSE you have loss.", | |
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| "shortDescription": "Will BCH (Bitcoin Cash) be trading above $1250 at the end of 2018?", | |
| "longDescription": "As reported by Coinbase.pro (last trade in 2018) Time zone: (UTC)", | |
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| "creationFee": "0.01", | |
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| "marketCreatorMailbox": "0x791c872e594f33643e891c30b76b2bb5856e67e6", | |
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| "category": "FINANCE", | |
| "tag1": "CRYPTOCURRENCY", | |
| "tag2": "INDEX", | |
| "volume": "0.0003", | |
| "sharesOutstanding": "0", | |
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| "marketStateId": 2109, | |
| "shortDescription": "What will CoinMarketCap's Total Market Capitalization chart show on August 1st 2018 00:02:00 UTC", | |
| "longDescription": "Brief: If we consider CoinMarketCap's \"Total Market Capitalization\" graph as an index of the overall crypto economy, this market provides levered exposure to that economy. \n\nReporting instructions: If between July 18th and August 1st 2018 00:02:00 UTC the Total Market Capitalization graph exceeds lower boundary of 200 Billion USD or upper boundary of 500 Billion USD, report the value of the boundary that was exceeded first. If neither boundary was exceeded during the time period, report the value of the Total Market Capitalization graph at the market expiration time by zooming into 1 day range. If the specific matching market expiration timestamp can not be found on the zoomed in Total Market Capitalization graph, take the Arithmetic Mean of the two nearest temporal values to the expiration timestamp. (Where one value is just before, and one just after the expiration timestamp)", | |
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| "shortDescription": "Will Bitcoin be trading above $10,000 at the end of 2018?", | |
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| "shortDescription": "Cryptocurrency Future Contract: ETH/BTC Trading Pair Closing Price on 10/31/2018 according to etherchain.org/charts/priceBTC 15x leveraged w/o margin call", | |
| "longDescription": "Trader: With good liquidity, derivative’s current price should reflect exchanges’ spot price w/ Black Scholes Model Adjustment (Intrinsic + Time Value). Buy if Bullish; Sell if Bearish. Create Calendar Spread for Hedge/Rollover. Order Placement e.g.: IF 1 ETH = .07 BTC THEN enter .07 ETH in Limit Price and number of Shares to buy/sell in Quantity. Settlement: Real-World Outcome, aka RWO, determination steps in Reporter part. IF (RWO - Purchase Price) * Long Shares > 0 OR (Sale Price - RWO) * Short Shares > 0, THEN you have gain; ELSE you have loss. Reporter: 1) Download CSV file from Source URL. 2) Find Expiration Date in file. 3) Choose the LATEST Price Quoted on Expiration Date as RWO. 4) IF RWO is within the Future Contract Price Range, THEN Report RWO w/ 6 decimals; ELSE,", | |
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| "shortDescription": "Will one doge (dogecoin) be worth of 0.03 dollar in 2018?", | |
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| "shortDescription": "What will CoinMarketCap's Total Market Capitalization chart show on January 1st 2019 00:02:00 UTC in Billions of USD", | |
| "longDescription": "Brief: If we consider CoinMarketCap's \"Total Market Capitalization\" graph as an index of the overall crypto economy, this market provides levered exposure to that economy. Reporting instructions: If at anytime between July 18th and January 1st 2019 00:02:00 UTC the Total Market Capitalization graph exceeds lower boundary of 200 Billion USD or upper boundary of 3,000 Billion USD, report the value of the boundary that was exceeded first. If neither boundary was exceeded during the time period, report the value of the Total Market Capitalization graph at the market expiration time by zooming into 1 day range. If the specific matching market expiration timestamp can not be found on the zoomed in Total Market Capitalization graph, take the Arithmetic Mean of the two nearest temporal values to the expiration timestamp. (Where one value is just before, and one just after the expiration timestamp)", | |
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| "shortDescription": "Will the Ethereum (ETH) marketcap be higher than the Bitcoin (BTC) marketcap on December 31, 2019 at 24:00 UTC ?", | |
| "longDescription": "Even though the Ethereum (ETH) marketcap exceed the Bitcoin (BTC) marketcap before the end of 2019, the only valid result is at midnight UTC on December 31, 2019. \n\nIn the event the website \"coinmarketcap\" has disappeared, the reporters will be able to use any other websites to make a consensus on the final outcome.", | |
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| "shortDescription": "What will CoinMarketCap's Total Market Capitalization chart show on January 1st 2019 00:02:00 UTC in Billions of USD", | |
| "longDescription": "Brief: If we consider CoinMarketCap's \"Total Market Capitalization\" graph as an index of the overall crypto economy, this market provides levered exposure to that economy. Reporting instructions: If at anytime between July 18th and January 1st 2019 00:02:00 UTC the Total Market Capitalization graph exceeds lower boundary of 200 Billion USD or upper boundary of 3,000 Billion USD, report the value of the boundary that was exceeded first. If neither boundary was exceeded during the time period, report the value of the Total Market Capitalization graph at the market expiration time by zooming into 1 day range. If the specific matching market expiration timestamp can not be found on the zoomed in Total Market Capitalization graph, take the Arithmetic Mean of the two nearest temporal values to the expiration timestamp. (Where one value is just before, and one just after the expiration timestamp)\nIf the real-world outcome for this market is above this market's maximum value, the maximum value (3000 Billions of USD) should be reported. If the real-world outcome for this market is below this market's minimum value, the minimum value (200 Billions of USD) should be reported.", | |
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| "category": "ETHEREUM BITCOIN FUTURE", | |
| "tag1": "CRYPTOCURRENCIES EXCHANGE", | |
| "tag2": "DECEMBER", | |
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| "shortDescription": "Cryptocurrency Future Contract: ETH/BTC Trading Pair Closing Price on 12/31/2018 according to etherchain.org/charts/priceBTC 15x leveraged w/o margin call", | |
| "longDescription": "Trader: With good liquidity, derivative’s current price should reflect exchanges’ spot price w/ Black Scholes Model Adjustment (Intrinsic + Time Value). Buy if Bullish; Sell if Bearish. Create Calendar Spread for Hedge/Rollover. Order Placement e.g.: IF 1 ETH = .07 BTC THEN enter .07 ETH in Limit Price and number of Shares to buy/sell in Quantity. Settlement: Real-World Outcome, aka RWO, determination steps in Reporter part. IF (RWO - Purchase Price) * Long Shares > 0 OR (Sale Price - RWO) * Short Shares > 0, THEN you have gain; ELSE you have loss. Reporter: 1) Download CSV file from Source URL. 2) Find Expiration Date in file. 3) Choose the LATEST Price Quoted on Expiration Date as RWO. 4) IF RWO is within the Future Contract Price Range, THEN Report RWO w/ 6 decimals; ELSE,", | |
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| "shortDescription": "Will Dustin Johnson win the British Open?", | |
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| "shortDescription": "Will Bitcoin trade above $10,000 at the end of 2018?", | |
| "longDescription": "Market price on Coinbase Pro will be used to determine outcome.", | |
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| "category": "ETHEREUM BITCOIN FUTURE", | |
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