Skip to content

Instantly share code, notes, and snippets.

@kutschenator
Created May 1, 2026 19:22
Show Gist options
  • Select an option

  • Save kutschenator/62f31b46b2d74e76b75cd82a3d75d3fa to your computer and use it in GitHub Desktop.

Select an option

Save kutschenator/62f31b46b2d74e76b75cd82a3d75d3fa to your computer and use it in GitHub Desktop.
{"question":"Will US BTC spot ETFs have net positive inflows on May 5, 2026 per Farside Investors?","outcomes":["Yes","No"],"model":{"model_identifier":"Qwen/Qwen3-32B","prompt_context":"You are a prediction market settlement judge. Determine the outcome using ONLY the evidence provided below. Do not use outside knowledge. Do not guess.\n\nQUESTION: Will US BTC spot ETFs have net positive inflows on May 5, 2026 per Farside Investors\n\nDATA SOURCES:\n- Farside Investors BTC ETF flow table (https://farside.co.uk/btc/)\n\nSETTLEMENT RULES:\n- Use ONLY the evidence appended below.\n- Locate the Total net flow value (USD millions) for trading date Tuesday, May 5, 2026.\n- Output \"Yes\" if: the Total net flow is strictly greater than zero (positive inflows)\n- Output \"No\" if: the Total net flow is zero or negative (zero inflows or net outflows)\n\nVALID OUTCOMES — output exactly one and nothing else:\nYes\nNo\n\nSource data below:\n"},"initial_liquidity":"1000000","initial_pool":"707107","refund":"292893","market_creation_fee":"1000000","version":"1.0.0"}
Sign up for free to join this conversation on GitHub. Already have an account? Sign in to comment