Simulate monero.win winning probability

monerowin.py

# Test how profitable is monero.win

# it's not :/

import random
import time

balance = 0.1
bet_size = 0.01
profit_per_bet = 0.009
losing_digit = 8
iterations = 100
charset = '0123456789abcdef'

w = 0
l = 0
for i in range(1, iterations + 1):
    if balance < bet_size:
        print('can not continue, balance is less than bet size')
        break
    print(f'bet #{i}:\t balance={balance}, win={w} (p={w/i}), loss={l} (p={l/i})')

    guesses = charset
    for _ in range(losing_digit):
        offset = random.randint(0, len(guesses) - 1)
        guesses = guesses[:offset] + guesses[offset+1:]

    last_digit = random.choice(charset)
    if last_digit in guesses:
        balance += profit_per_bet
        w += 1
    else:
        balance -= bet_size
        l += 1

    i += 1