Created
June 25, 2025 19:11
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bitcoiner conviction over time
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import matplotlib.pyplot as plt | |
import numpy as np | |
# Sigmoid and its derivative | |
def sigmoid(x): | |
return 1 / (1 + np.exp(-x)) | |
def sigmoid_derivative(x): | |
s = sigmoid(x) | |
return s * (1 - s) | |
# Data | |
x = np.linspace(-6, 6, 500) | |
dy = sigmoid_derivative(x) | |
# Plot | |
plt.figure(figsize=(10, 6)) | |
plt.plot(x, dy, color='black', linewidth=2) | |
# Annotations | |
plt.text(-4, 0.02, 'Early Belief\n“Bitcoin is hope”', fontsize=12, color='blue') | |
plt.text(0, 0.25, 'Peak Conviction\n“Bitcoin is destiny”', fontsize=12, ha='center', color='darkred') | |
plt.text(3.5, 0.05, 'Collapse or Clarity\n“Bitcoin is a tool,\nnot a prophecy”', fontsize=12, color='darkgreen') | |
# Labels and title | |
plt.xlabel('Time / Exposure to Bitcoin Ideology') | |
plt.ylabel('Rate of Change in Perceived Certainty') | |
plt.title('The Myth of Inevitability Curve (Derivative)') | |
# Clean styling | |
plt.xticks([]) | |
plt.yticks([]) | |
plt.axhline(0, color='gray', linestyle='--') | |
plt.axvline(0, color='gray', linestyle='--') | |
plt.tight_layout() | |
plt.show() |
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