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def backtestStockAndPredict(stock, n_days_lst, training_days_lst, mov_avg_lst, | |
forecast_period_lst, fbp_intervals,stop_early=True, visualize=True): | |
# Printing the stock | |
print(f"\nBacktesting {stock}. . .") | |
# Tuning parameters for stock | |
results = parameterTuning( | |
stock, | |
n_days_lst, | |
training_days_lst, | |
mov_avg_lst, | |
forecast_period_lst, | |
fbp_intervals, | |
stop_early=stop_early | |
) | |
if results['optimumResultFound']==False: | |
print(f"\t***No optimum params found for {stock}***") | |
# Optimum Parameters | |
opt_params = results['optimumParamLst'][-1] | |
# Visualizing last (best) result | |
if visualize: | |
# Getting the performance DF | |
performance = opt_params['bt_performance'] | |
# Visual of the backtest | |
fig = px.line( | |
performance, | |
x=performance.index, | |
y=performance.columns, | |
title=f'FBProphet vs Buy&Hold for {stock}', | |
labels={"value": "Portfolio Balance", | |
"index": "Date"} | |
) | |
fig.show() | |
# Retrieving prices with the given parameters | |
prices, price_history = getStockPrices( | |
stock, | |
n_days=opt_params['n_days'], | |
training_days=opt_params['training_days'], | |
mov_avg=opt_params['mov_avg'] | |
) | |
# Run Prophet for current prediction | |
preds = fbpTrainPredict( | |
prices.tail(opt_params['training_days']), | |
opt_params['forecast_period'], | |
opt_params['interval_width'] | |
).tail(1) | |
preds['Open'] = prices.tail(1)['Open'].values | |
# Getting forecast prophet positions | |
trade_decision = fbpPositions(preds.to_dict('records')[0], short=True) | |
trade_dict = { | |
1 : f"Buy {stock}", | |
0 : f"Exit {stock}/Do nothing", | |
-1: f"Short {stock}" | |
} | |
# Printing trade decision | |
print(trade_dict[trade_decision]) | |
# Printing the optimum params | |
print("Best Optimum Parameters Found:\n", opt_params) | |
return |
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