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Created July 2, 2025 13:23
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EP Tropical Storm Report - 20250702 - Compare XML and RSS
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ep-report-20250702-1200ET.rss
here are the arguments:
- basin: Eastern Pacific
<?xml version="1.0" encoding="UTF-8"?>
<rss version="2.0"
xmlns:dc="http://purl.org/dc/elements/1.1/"
xmlns:georss="http://www.georss.org/georss"
xmlns:gml="http://www.opengis.net/gml"
xmlns:nhc="https://www.nhc.noaa.gov">
<channel>
<pubDate>Wed, 02 Jul 2025 13:10:09 GMT</pubDate>
<title>NHC Eastern North Pacific</title>
<description>Active tropical cyclones in the Eastern North Pacific</description>
<link>https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/</link>
<copyright>none</copyright>
<managingEditor>[email protected] (NHC Webmaster)</managingEditor>
<language>en-us</language>
<webMaster>[email protected] (NHC Webmaster)</webMaster>
<image>
<url>https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/gifs/xml_logo_nhc.gif</url>
<link>https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/</link>
<title>NHC Eastern North Pacific</title>
<description>NOAA logo</description>
<width>95</width>
<height>45</height>
</image>
<item>
<title>Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook</title>
<description>
<![CDATA[000<br />ABPZ20 KNHC 021134<br />TWOEP <br /><br />Tropical Weather Outlook<br />NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL<br />500 AM PDT Wed Jul 2 2025<br /><br />For the eastern and central North Pacific east of 180 longitude:<br /><br />Active Systems:<br />The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane <br />Flossie, located in the eastern Pacific basin, a few hundred miles <br />south of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula. <br /><br />South of Southwestern Mexico:<br />An area of low pressure is forecast to develop several hundred miles <br />offshore of southwestern Mexico in a few days. Environmental <br />conditions appear conducive for some gradual development of this <br />system thereafter, and a tropical depression could form over the <br />weekend or early next week while it moves generally <br />west-northwestward.<br />* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.<br />* Formation chance through 7 days...medium...50 percent. <br /><br />$$<br />Forecaster Kelly]]>
</description>
<pubDate>Wed, 02 Jul 2025 11:34:19 GMT</pubDate>
<link>https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/gtwo.php?basin=epac</link>
<guid>https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/gtwo.php?basin=epac&amp;202507021134</guid>
<author>[email protected] (NHC Webmaster)</author>
</item>
<item>
<title>Summary for Hurricane Flossie (EP1/EP062025)</title>
<guid isPermaLink="false">summary-ep062025-202507020834</guid>
<pubDate>Wed, 02 Jul 2025 08:34:48 GMT</pubDate>
<author>[email protected] (NHC Webmaster)</author>
<link>https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/refresh/MIATCPEP1+shtml/020834.shtml</link>
<description>...TROPICAL STORM WATCHES DISCONTINUED FOR ALL OF SOUTHWESTERN MEXICO... As of 2:00 AM MST Wed Jul 02 the center of Flossie was located near 18.6, -108.3 with movement WNW at 10 mph. The minimum central pressure was 962 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 115 mph.</description>
<nhc:Cyclone>
<nhc:center>18.6, -108.3</nhc:center>
<nhc:type>Hurricane</nhc:type>
<nhc:name>Flossie</nhc:name>
<nhc:wallet>EP1</nhc:wallet>
<nhc:atcf>EP062025</nhc:atcf>
<nhc:datetime>2:00 AM MST Wed Jul 02</nhc:datetime>
<nhc:movement>WNW at 10 mph</nhc:movement>
<nhc:pressure>962 mb</nhc:pressure>
<nhc:wind>115 mph</nhc:wind>
<nhc:headline>...TROPICAL STORM WATCHES DISCONTINUED FOR ALL OF SOUTHWESTERN MEXICO...</nhc:headline>
</nhc:Cyclone>
</item>
<item>
<title>Hurricane Flossie Public Advisory Number 13</title>
<description>Issued at 200 AM MST Wed Jul 02 2025 <![CDATA[<pre>834
WTPZ31 KNHC 020834
TCPEP1
BULLETIN
Hurricane Flossie Advisory Number 13
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP062025
200 AM MST Wed Jul 02 2025
...TROPICAL STORM WATCHES DISCONTINUED FOR ALL OF SOUTHWESTERN
MEXICO...
SUMMARY OF 200 AM MST...0900 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...18.6N 108.3W
ABOUT 315 MI...505 KM SSE OF CABO SAN LUCAS MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...115 MPH...185 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 300 DEGREES AT 10 MPH...17 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...962 MB...28.41 INCHES
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:
The government of Mexico has discontinued the Tropical Storm
Warning from Punta San Telmo to Playa Perula.
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:
There are no coastal watches and warnings in effect.
For storm information specific to your area, please monitor
products issued by your national meteorological service.
DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 200 AM MST (0900 UTC), the center of Hurricane Flossie was
located near latitude 18.6 North, longitude 108.3 West. Flossie is
moving toward the west-northwest near 10 mph (17 km/h). This
general motion is expected to continue during the next couple of
days.
Maximum sustained winds are near 115 mph (185 km/h) with higher
gusts. Flossie is a category 3 hurricane on the Saffir-Simpson
Hurricane Wind Scale. Little change in strength is forecast this
morning, with rapid weakening expected to begin by the end of the
day.
Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 25 miles (35 km) from the
center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 90 miles
(150 km).
The estimated minimum central pressure is 962 mb (28.41 inches).
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
Key messages for Hurricane Flossie can be found in the Tropical
Cyclone Discussion under AWIPS header MIATCDEP1 and WMO header
WTPZ41 KNHC.
RAINFALL: Hurricane Flossie should produce additional rainfall
totals of 1 to 2 inches, with isolated maximum totals of 3 inches,
across coastal portions of the Mexican states of Michoacán, Colima,
and Jalisco through today. This rainfall could lead to localized
flash flooding.
For a complete depiction of forecast rainfall associated with
Hurricane Flossie, please see the National Weather Service Storm
Total Rainfall Graphic available at
hurricanes.gov/graphics_ep1.shtml?rainqpf
SURF: Swells generated by Flossie will affect portions of the coast
of southwestern Mexico, and the Baja California peninsula during the
next few days. These swells are likely to cause life-threatening
surf and rip current conditions. Please consult products from your
local weather office.
NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 800 AM MST.
$$
Forecaster Jelsema</pre>]]></description>
<pubDate>Wed, 02 Jul 2025 08:34:48 GMT</pubDate>
<link>https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/refresh/MIATCPEP1+shtml/020834.shtml</link>
<guid>https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/refresh/MIATCPEP1+shtml/020834.shtml</guid>
<author>[email protected] (NHC Webmaster)</author>
</item>
<item>
<title>Hurricane Flossie Forecast Advisory Number 13</title>
<description>Issued at 0900 UTC WED JUL 02 2025 <![CDATA[<pre>922
WTPZ21 KNHC 020834
TCMEP1
HURRICANE FLOSSIE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 13
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP062025
0900 UTC WED JUL 02 2025
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.6N 108.3W AT 02/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 300 DEGREES AT 9 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 962 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 100 KT WITH GUSTS TO 120 KT.
64 KT....... 20NE 20SE 10SW 15NW.
50 KT....... 40NE 40SE 20SW 30NW.
34 KT....... 80NE 60SE 50SW 60NW.
4 M SEAS....120NE 90SE 90SW 120NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.6N 108.3W AT 02/0900Z
AT 02/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.4N 107.9W
FORECAST VALID 02/1800Z 19.3N 109.4W
MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
64 KT... 20NE 20SE 10SW 15NW.
50 KT... 35NE 35SE 20SW 30NW.
34 KT... 80NE 60SE 50SW 60NW.
FORECAST VALID 03/0600Z 20.2N 110.9W
MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT.
64 KT... 15NE 10SE 0SW 10NW.
50 KT... 30NE 20SE 15SW 20NW.
34 KT... 60NE 50SE 40SW 50NW.
FORECAST VALID 03/1800Z 21.0N 112.3W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 20NE 15SE 0SW 15NW.
34 KT... 40NE 30SE 30SW 40NW.
FORECAST VALID 04/0600Z 22.1N 113.9W...POST-TROPICAL
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 20NE 20SE 10SW 10NW.
FORECAST VALID 04/1800Z 23.0N 115.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.
FORECAST VALID 05/0600Z 23.7N 117.3W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 125 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
OUTLOOK VALID 06/0600Z...DISSIPATED
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 18.6N 108.3W
NEXT ADVISORY AT 02/1500Z
$$
FORECASTER JELSEMA</pre>]]></description>
<pubDate>Wed, 02 Jul 2025 08:34:30 GMT</pubDate>
<link>https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/refresh/MIATCMEP1+shtml/020834.shtml</link>
<guid>https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/refresh/MIATCMEP1+shtml/020834.shtml</guid>
<author>[email protected] (NHC Webmaster)</author>
</item>
<item>
<title>Hurricane Flossie Forecast Discussion Number 13</title>
<description>Issued at 200 AM MST Wed Jul 02 2025 <![CDATA[<pre>974
WTPZ41 KNHC 020835
TCDEP1
Hurricane Flossie Discussion Number 13
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP062025
200 AM MST Wed Jul 02 2025
Flossie remains an impressive hurricane early this morning, although
the well-defined eye evident earlier tonight has become less
distinct and somewhat cloud filled in recent satellite images. The
latest subjective Dvorak intensity estimates were T5.5/102 knots
from TAFB and T5.0/90 knots from SAB. Meanwhile, the objective
intensity estimates ranged from 96 to 107 knots at 06z. Based on a
blend of these data, the initial intensity will be held at 100 knots
for this advisory.
Flossie is heading toward the west-northwest or 300/9 knots. This
general motion is expected to continue during the next several days
as the cyclone is steered into a weakness in the mid-level ridge to
the northwest of the system. A turn more to the west is expected
beyond 48 hours as the increasingly shallow system becomes steered
by the low-level trade wind flow. The track forecast has been
shifted slightly to the left of the previous advisory to align with
the latest consensus guidance trends, and closely follows a blend of
the latest GDMI, FSSE and TVCE consensus aids.
The window for additional strengthening appears to be closing
quickly, as Flossie begins to move over slightly less conducive
waters for intensification with sea surface temperatures now around
27C. Wind shear remains light and mid-level moisture remains high
during the next 12 hours, so with the system remaining over
adequately warm water, the intensity should change little. Flossie
will move over much cooler water between 12 and 24 hours, and into a
drier mid-level environment. This should result in rather rapid
weakening of the system, with Flossie expected to become a
post-tropical low by 48 hours, with dissipation following by 96
hours. The intensity forecast has been adjusted to show a bit faster
weakening of the system which is in line with the latest intensity
consensus aids.
KEY MESSAGES:
1. Outer bands of Hurricane Flossie continue to bring locally heavy
rainfall to coastal portions of the Mexican states of Michoacán,
Colima, and Jalisco into Wednesday. Localized flash flooding is
possible.
2. Large swells generated by Flossie will cause life-threatening
surf and rip current conditions along portions of the coast of
southwestern Mexico, and the Baja California peninsula during the
next few days.
FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
INIT 02/0900Z 18.6N 108.3W 100 KT 115 MPH
12H 02/1800Z 19.3N 109.4W 95 KT 110 MPH
24H 03/0600Z 20.2N 110.9W 75 KT 85 MPH
36H 03/1800Z 21.0N 112.3W 55 KT 65 MPH
48H 04/0600Z 22.1N 113.9W 40 KT 45 MPH...POST-TROPICAL
60H 04/1800Z 23.0N 115.5W 30 KT 35 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
72H 05/0600Z 23.7N 117.3W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
96H 06/0600Z...DISSIPATED
$$
Forecaster Jelsema</pre>]]></description>
<pubDate>Wed, 02 Jul 2025 08:35:17 GMT</pubDate>
<link>https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/refresh/MIATCDEP1+shtml/020835.shtml</link>
<guid>https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/refresh/MIATCDEP1+shtml/020835.shtml</guid>
<author>[email protected] (NHC Webmaster)</author>
</item>
<item>
<title>Hurricane Flossie Wind Speed Probabilities Number 13</title>
<description>Issued at 0900 UTC WED JUL 02 2025 <![CDATA[<pre>839
FOPZ11 KNHC 020834
PWSEP1
HURRICANE FLOSSIE WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 13
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP062025
0900 UTC WED JUL 02 2025
AT 0900Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE FLOSSIE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE
18.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 108.3 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR
100 KTS...115 MPH...185 KM/H.
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME
HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME
WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...
...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...
...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE
OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)
(CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
06Z WED AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.
PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY
64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 06Z WED 18Z WED 06Z THU 18Z THU 06Z FRI 06Z SAT 06Z SUN
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
18Z WED 06Z THU 18Z THU 06Z FRI 06Z SAT 06Z SUN 06Z MON
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION KT
CABO SAN LUCAS 34 1 3( 4) 2( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6)
SAN JOSE CABO 34 1 2( 3) 2( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5)
LA PAZ 34 X 2( 2) 2( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
ISLAS MARIAS 34 1 2( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
20N 110W 34 72 27(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
20N 110W 50 12 70(82) 1(83) X(83) X(83) X(83) X(83)
20N 110W 64 2 48(50) 1(51) X(51) X(51) X(51) X(51)
ISLA SOCORRO 34 7 33(40) 2(42) X(42) X(42) X(42) X(42)
ISLA SOCORRO 50 X 5( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5)
ISLA SOCORRO 64 X 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1)
ISLA CLARION 34 X 2( 2) 2( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
20N 115W 34 X 2( 2) 2( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5)
25N 115W 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 2( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
$$
FORECASTER JELSEMA</pre>]]></description>
<pubDate>Wed, 02 Jul 2025 08:34:48 GMT</pubDate>
<link>https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/refresh/MIAPWSEP1+shtml/020834.shtml</link>
<guid>https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/refresh/MIAPWSEP1+shtml/020834.shtml</guid>
<author>[email protected] (NHC Webmaster)</author>
</item>
<item>
<title>Hurricane Flossie Graphics</title>
<description>
<![CDATA[
<a href="https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/refresh/graphics_ep1+shtml/092148.shtml?cone">
<img src="https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/storm_graphics/EP06/EP062025_5day_cone_with_line_and_wind_sm2.png"
alt="Hurricane Flossie 5-Day Uncertainty Track Image" width="500" height="400" /></a>
<br />5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Wed, 02 Jul 2025 08:36:47 GMT
<br />
<br /><a href="https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/refresh/graphics_ep1+shtml/092148.shtml?tswind120">
<img src="https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/storm_graphics/EP06/EP062025_wind_probs_34_F120_sm2.png"
alt="Hurricane Flossie 34-Knot Wind Speed Probabilities" width="500" height="400" /> </a>
<br />Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Wed, 02 Jul 2025 09:21:48 GMT
]]>
</description>
<pubDate>Wed, 02 Jul 2025 09:21:48 GMT</pubDate>
<link>https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/refresh/graphics_ep1+shtml/092148.shtml?cone</link>
<guid>https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/refresh/graphics_ep1+shtml/092148.shtml?cone</guid>
<author>[email protected] (NHC Webmaster)</author>
</item>
</channel>
</rss>
Raw
gistfile1.txt
<?xml version="1.0" encoding="UTF-8"?>
<rss version="2.0" xmlns:dc="https://purl.org/dc/elements/1.1/">
<channel>
<pubDate>Wed, 02 Jul 2025 13:10:09 +0000</pubDate>
<lastBuildDate>Wed, 02 Jul 2025 13:10:09 +0000</lastBuildDate>
<title>Eastern Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook</title>
<description>National Hurricane Center - Eastern Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook</description>
<link>https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/</link>
<copyright>none</copyright>
<managingEditor>[email protected] (nhcwebmaster)</managingEditor>
<language>en-us</language>
<webMaster>[email protected] (nhcwebmaster)</webMaster>
<image>
<url>https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/gifs/xml_logo_nhc.gif</url>
<link>https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/</link>
<description>NOAA logo</description>
<title>Eastern Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook</title>
<width>95</width>
<height>45</height>
</image>
<item>
<title>Eastern Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook</title>
<description>
<![CDATA[000<br />ABPZ20 KNHC 021134<br />TWOEP <br /><br />Tropical Weather Outlook<br />NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL<br />500 AM PDT Wed Jul 2 2025<br /><br />For the eastern and central North Pacific east of 180 longitude:<br /><br />Active Systems:<br />The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane <br />Flossie, located in the eastern Pacific basin, a few hundred miles <br />south of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula. <br /><br />South of Southwestern Mexico:<br />An area of low pressure is forecast to develop several hundred miles <br />offshore of southwestern Mexico in a few days. Environmental <br />conditions appear conducive for some gradual development of this <br />system thereafter, and a tropical depression could form over the <br />weekend or early next week while it moves generally <br />west-northwestward.<br />* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.<br />* Formation chance through 7 days...medium...50 percent. <br /><br />$$<br />Forecaster Kelly]]>
</description>
<pubDate>Wed, 02 Jul 2025 11:34:19 +0000</pubDate>
<link>https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/MIATWOEP.shtml</link>
<guid>202507021134</guid>
<author>[email protected] (nhcwebmaster)</author>
</item>
</channel>
</rss>
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