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# Preparing | |
install.packages("Rlab") | |
install.packages("ggplot2") | |
install.packages("actuar") | |
install.packages("plyr") | |
require(plyr) | |
require(actuar) | |
require(ggplot2) | |
require(Rlab) |
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############################################################### | |
# ベルヌーイ分布 | |
############################################################### | |
# ベルヌーイ分布からのサンプリングを実行 | |
# パラメーター | |
p = 0.7 | |
trial_size = 10000 | |
set.seed(71) | |
# ベルヌーイ分布に従う乱数生成 | |
data <- rbern(trial_size, p) | |
# ベルヌーイ分布の確率分布 | |
dens <- data.frame(y=c((1-p),p)*trial_size, x=c(0, 1)) | |
# グラフ描画 | |
ggplot() + | |
layer(data=data.frame(x=data), mapping=aes(x=x), geom="bar", | |
stat="bin", bandwidth=0.1 | |
) + layer(data=dens, mapping=aes(x=x, y=y), geom="bar", | |
stat="identity", width=0.05, fill="#777799", alpha=0.7) |
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############################################################### | |
# 二項分布 | |
############################################################### | |
# ベルヌーイ分布に従う変数をsample_size回行ったときの1の回数を | |
# trial_size分繰り返してベクトルに入れていく。 | |
# パラメーター | |
p = 0.7 | |
trial_size = 10000 | |
sample_size = 30 | |
set.seed(71) | |
# ベルヌーイ分布に従う乱数生成 | |
gen_binom_var <- function() { | |
return(sum(rbern(sample_size, p))) | |
} | |
result <- rdply(trial_size, gen_binom_var()) | |
# 二項分布の密度関数 | |
dens <- data.frame(y=dbinom(seq(sample_size), sample_size, 0.7))*trial_size | |
# グラフ描画 | |
ggplot() + | |
layer(data=result, mapping=aes(x=V1), geom="bar", stat = "bin", | |
binwidth=1, fill="#6666ee", color="gray" | |
) + layer(data=dens, mapping=aes(x=seq(sample_size)+.5, y=y), | |
geom="line", stat="identity", position="identity",colour="red" | |
) + ggtitle("Bernoulli to Binomial.") |
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set.seed(73) | |
# パラメーター | |
n <- 10000 | |
p <- 0.7 | |
trial_size = 30000 | |
width=0.18 | |
# ベルヌーイ分布に従う乱数生成 | |
gen_binom_var <- function() { | |
return(sum(rbern(n, p))) | |
} | |
result <- rdply(trial_size, gen_binom_var()) | |
m <- mean(result$V1) | |
sd <- sd(result$V1) | |
result <- (result - m)/sd | |
# 標準正規分布の密度関数 | |
dens <- data.frame(y=dnorm(seq(-4,4,0.05), mean=0, | |
sd=1)*trial_size*width) | |
# グラフ描画 | |
ggplot() + | |
layer(data=result, mapping=aes(x=V1), geom="bar", stat = "bin", | |
binwidth=width, fill="#6666ee", color="gray" | |
) + layer(data=dens, mapping=aes(x=seq(-4,4,0.05), y=y), | |
geom="line", stat="identity", position="identity", colour="red" | |
) + ggtitle("Bernoulli to Standard Normal.") |
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############################################################### | |
# 正規分布 | |
############################################################### | |
# 二項分布の正規近似 (nを大きくする) | |
set.seed(72) | |
# パラメーター | |
n <- 10000 | |
p <- 0.7 | |
trial_size = 10000 | |
width=10 | |
# ベルヌーイ分布に従う乱数生成 | |
gen_binom_var <- function() { | |
return(sum(rbern(n, p))) | |
} | |
result <- rdply(trial_size, gen_binom_var()) | |
# 正規分布の密度関数 | |
dens <- data.frame(y=dnorm(seq(6800,7200), mean=n*p, | |
sd=sqrt(n*p*(1-p)))*trial_size*width) | |
# グラフ描画 | |
ggplot() + | |
layer(data=result, mapping=aes(x=V1), geom="bar", stat = "bin", | |
binwidth=width, fill="#6666ee", color="gray" | |
) + layer(data=dens, mapping=aes(x=seq(6800,7200), y=y), | |
geom="line", stat="identity", position="identity", colour="red" | |
) + ggtitle("Bernoulli to Normal.") |
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############################################################### | |
# カイ二乗分布 (自由度:1) | |
############################################################### | |
# 正規分布に従う乱数を二乗してヒストグラムにする。 | |
# パラメーター | |
sample_size <- 1000 | |
trial_size <- 100000 | |
width <- 0.3 | |
set.seed(71) | |
# ベルヌーイ分布に従う乱数生成 | |
res <- c() | |
for (i in sequence(trial_size)) { | |
res <- rbind(res, sum(rbern(sample_size, p))) | |
} | |
res <- (res - mean(res))/sd(res) # 標準化 | |
data <- data.frame(x=(res**2)) | |
# カイ二乗分布の密度関数(自由度=1) | |
xx <- seq(0,20,0.1) | |
dens <- data.frame(y=dchisq(x=xx, df=1)*trial_size*width) | |
length(seq(sample_size)) | |
# グラフ描画 | |
ggplot() + | |
layer(data=data, mapping=aes(x=x), geom="bar", stat = "bin", | |
binwidth=width, fill="#6666ee", color="gray" | |
) + layer(data=dens, mapping=aes(x=xx, y=y), | |
geom="line", stat="identity", position="identity", colour="red" | |
) |
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############################################################### | |
# カイ二乗分布 (自由度:3) | |
############################################################### | |
# 正規分布に従う乱数を二乗してヒストグラムにする。 | |
set.seed(71) | |
# パラメーター | |
p <- 0.7 | |
n <- 1000 | |
trial_size <- 100000 | |
width <- 0.3 | |
df <- 3 | |
# ベルヌーイ分布に従う乱数生成(3まわし) | |
gen_binom_var <- function() { | |
return(sum(rbern(n, p))) | |
} | |
gen_chisq_var <- function() { | |
result <- rdply(trial_size, gen_binom_var()) | |
return(((result$V1 - mean(result$V1))/sd(result$V1))**2) | |
} | |
# 自由度dfの分だけ生成する | |
result <- rlply(df, gen_chisq_var(),.progress = "text") | |
res <- result[[1]] + result[[2]] + result[[3]] | |
data <- data.frame(x=res) | |
# カイ二乗分布の密度関数(自由度=3) | |
xx <- seq(0,20,0.1) | |
dens <- data.frame(y=dchisq(x=xx, df=df)*trial_size*width) | |
# グラフ描画 | |
ggplot() + | |
layer(data=data, mapping=aes(x=x), geom="bar", stat = "bin", | |
binwidth=width, fill="#6666ee", color="gray" | |
) + layer(data=dens, mapping=aes(x=xx, y=y), | |
geom="line", stat="identity", position="identity", colour="red" | |
) + ggtitle("Bernoulli to Chisquare") | |
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############################################################### | |
# ポアソン分布 | |
############################################################### | |
trial_size = 5000; width <- 1; | |
# もともとの問題設定 | |
p = 0.7; n = 30; | |
np <- p*n | |
cat("p=",p, ", n=", n, "np=", np) | |
# n→∞、p→0、np=一定 | |
n = 100000; p <- np/n | |
cat("p=",p, ", n=", n) | |
# ベルヌーイ分布に従う乱数生成 | |
gen_binom_var <- function() { | |
return(sum(rbern(n, p))) | |
} | |
result <- rdply(trial_size, gen_binom_var()) | |
# ポアソン分布の密度関数 | |
dens <- data.frame(y=dpois(seq(20), np))*trial_size | |
# グラフ描画 | |
ggplot() + | |
layer(data=result, mapping=aes(x=V1), geom="bar", stat = "bin", | |
binwidth=width, fill="#6666ee", color="gray" | |
) + layer(data=dens, mapping=aes(x=seq(20)+.5, y=y), | |
geom="line", stat="identity", position="identity", colour="red" | |
) + ggtitle("Bernoulli to Poisson.") |
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############################################################### | |
# ポアソン分布 | |
############################################################### | |
trial_size = 100000 | |
width <- 1 | |
# もともとの問題設定 | |
p = 0.7 | |
sample_size = 30 | |
np <- p*sample_size | |
cat("p=",p, ", n=", sample_size, "np=", np) | |
# n→∞、p→0、np=一定 | |
sample_size = 10000 | |
p <- np/sample_size | |
cat("p=",p, ", n=", sample_size) | |
# ベルヌーイ分布に従う乱数生成 | |
gen_rand <- function(){ | |
res <- c() | |
for (i in sequence(trial_size)) { | |
res <- rbind(res, sum(rbern(sample_size, p))) | |
} | |
return(res) | |
} | |
system.time(res <- gen_rand()) | |
data <- data.frame(x=res) | |
# 正規分布の密度関数 | |
dens <- data.frame(y=dpois(seq(30), np))*trial_size | |
# グラフ描画 | |
ggplot() + | |
layer(data=data, mapping=aes(x=x), geom="bar", stat = "bin", | |
binwidth=width, fill="#6666ee", color="gray" | |
) + layer(data=dens, mapping=aes(x=seq(30)+.5, y=y), | |
geom="line", stat="identity", position="identity", colour="blue" | |
) | |
######################## | |
trial_size = 100000 | |
width <- 1 | |
# もともとの問題設定 | |
p = 0.7 | |
sample_size = 30 | |
np <- p*sample_size | |
cat("p=",p, ", n=", sample_size, "np=", np) | |
# n→∞、p→0、np=一定 | |
sample_size = 10000 | |
p <- np/sample_size | |
cat("p=",p, ", n=", sample_size) | |
# ベルヌーイ分布に従う乱数生成 | |
gen_rand <- function(){ | |
res <- c() | |
for (i in sequence(trial_size)) { | |
res <- rbind(res, sum(rbern(sample_size, p))) | |
} | |
return(res) | |
} | |
system.time(res <- gen_rand()) | |
data <- data.frame(x=res) | |
# ポアソン分布の密度関数 | |
dens <- data.frame(y=dpois(seq(20), np))*trial_size | |
# グラフ描画 | |
ggplot() + | |
layer(data=data, mapping=aes(x=x), geom="bar", stat = "bin", | |
binwidth=width, fill="#6666ee", color="gray" | |
) + layer(data=dens, mapping=aes(x=seq(20)+.5, y=y), | |
geom="line", stat="identity", position="identity", colour="blue" | |
) |
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############################################################### | |
# 指数分布 | |
############################################################### | |
trial_size = 7000; width <- .01; | |
# もともとの問題設定 | |
p = 0.7; n = 10; | |
np <- p*n | |
cat("p=",p, ", n=", n, "np=", np) | |
p | |
# n→∞、p→0、np=一定 | |
n = 10000; p <- np/n | |
cat("p=",p, ", n=", n) | |
# ベルヌーイ分布に従う乱数生成 | |
gen_exp_var <- function() { | |
cnt <- 0 | |
while (TRUE) { | |
cnt <- cnt + 1 | |
if (rbern(1, p)==1){ | |
return(cnt) # 1が出たら何回目かを返す | |
} | |
} | |
} | |
data <- data.frame(x=rdply(trial_size, gen_exp_var())/n) | |
names(data) <- c("n", "x") | |
# 指数分布の密度関数 | |
dens <- data.frame(y=dexp(seq(0, 1.5, 0.1), np)*trial_size*width) | |
ggplot() + | |
layer(data=data, mapping=aes(x=x), geom="bar", stat = "bin", | |
binwidth=width, fill="#6666ee", color="gray" | |
) + layer(data=dens, mapping=aes(x=seq(0, 1.5, 0.1), y=y), | |
geom="line", stat="identity", position="identity", colour="red" | |
) + ggtitle("Bernoulli to Exponential.") | |
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############################################################### | |
# ガンマ分布 | |
############################################################### | |
trial_size = 7000; width <- .035; | |
# もともとの問題設定 | |
p = 0.7; n = 10; | |
np <- p*n | |
cat("p=",p, ", n=", n, "np=", np) | |
# n→∞、p→0、np=一定 | |
n = 10000; p <- np/n | |
cat("p=",p, ", n=", n) | |
alpha <- 5 | |
# ベルヌーイ分布に従う乱数生成 | |
get_interval <- function(){ | |
cnt <- 0 | |
while (TRUE) { | |
cnt <- cnt + 1 | |
if (rbern(1, p)==1){ | |
return(cnt) # 1が出たら何回目かを返す | |
} | |
} | |
} | |
gen_exp_var <- function() { | |
data <- data.frame(x=rdply(trial_size, get_interval())/n) | |
names(data) <- c("n", "x") | |
return(data) | |
} | |
result <- rlply(alpha, gen_exp_var()) | |
data <- data.frame(x=result[[1]]$x + result[[2]]$x + result[[3]]$x + result[[4]]$x + result[[5]]$x) | |
# ガンマ分布の密度関数 | |
dens <- data.frame(y=dgamma(seq(0, 3,.01), shape=alpha, rate=np)*trial_size*width) | |
ggplot() + | |
layer(data=data, mapping=aes(x=x), geom="bar", stat = "bin", | |
binwidth=width, fill="#6666ee", color="gray" | |
) + layer(data=dens, mapping=aes(x=seq(0,3,.01), y=y), | |
geom="line", stat="identity", position="identity", colour="red" | |
) + ggtitle("Bernoulli to Gamma") | |
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############################################################### | |
# 逆ガンマ分布 | |
############################################################### | |
trial_size = 7000; width <- .1; | |
# もともとの問題設定 | |
p = 0.7; n = 10; | |
np <- p*n | |
cat("p=",p, ", n=", n, "np=", np) | |
# n→∞、p→0、np=一定 | |
n = 10000; p <- np/n | |
cat("p=",p, ", n=", n) | |
alpha <- 5 | |
# ベルヌーイ分布に従う乱数生成 | |
get_interval <- function(){ | |
cnt <- 0 | |
while (TRUE) { | |
cnt <- cnt + 1 | |
if (rbern(1, p)==1){ | |
return(cnt) # 1が出たら何回目かを返す | |
} | |
} | |
} | |
gen_exp_var <- function() { | |
data <- data.frame(x=rdply(trial_size, get_interval())/n) | |
names(data) <- c("n", "x") | |
return(data) | |
} | |
result <- rlply(alpha, gen_exp_var()) | |
data <- data.frame(x=1/(result[[1]]$x + result[[2]]$x + | |
result[[3]]$x + result[[4]]$x + result[[5]]$x)) | |
# ガンマ分布の密度関数 | |
dens <- data.frame(y=dinvgamma(seq(0, 23,.01), shape=5, rate=1/np)*trial_size*width) | |
ggplot() + | |
layer(data=data, mapping=aes(x=x), geom="bar", stat = "bin", | |
binwidth=width, fill="#6666ee", color="gray" | |
) + layer(data=dens, mapping=aes(x=seq(0,23,.01), y=y), | |
geom="line", stat="identity", position="identity", colour="red" | |
) + ggtitle("Bernoulli to Inversegamma") | |
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a <- 5; b <- 8; | |
width <- 0.05; p <- 0.5 | |
sample_size <- 1000; trial_size <- 500000 | |
gen_unif_rand <- function() { | |
# sample_size桁の2進少数をベルヌーイ分布に従う乱数から生成 | |
return (sum(rbern(sample_size, p) * (rep(1/2, sample_size) ** seq(sample_size)))) | |
} | |
gen_rand <- function(){ | |
return( rdply(trial_size, gen_unif_rand()) ) | |
} | |
system.time(res <- gen_rand()) | |
res$V1 <- res$V1 * (b-a) + a | |
ggplot() + | |
layer(data=res, mapping=aes(x=V1), geom="bar", stat = "bin", | |
binwidth=width, fill="#6666ee", color="gray" | |
) + ggtitle("Bernoulli to Uniform") + xlim(4,9) | |
# 自己相関チェック | |
acf(res$V1) | |
small_data <- data.frame(x=res$V1[1:300]) | |
ggplot(data=small_data) + geom_point(aes(x=seq(300), y=x)) |
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############################################################### | |
# 一様分布 | |
############################################################### | |
width <- 0.02; p <- 0.5 | |
sample_size <- 1000; trial_size <- 100000 | |
gen_unif_rand <- function() { | |
# sample_size桁の2進少数をベルヌーイ分布に従う乱数から生成 | |
return (sum(rbern(sample_size, p) * (rep(1/2, sample_size) ** seq(sample_size)))) | |
} | |
gen_rand <- function(){ | |
return( rdply(trial_size, gen_unif_rand()) ) | |
} | |
system.time(res <- gen_rand()) | |
ggplot() + | |
layer(data=res, mapping=aes(x=V1), geom="bar", stat = "bin", | |
binwidth=width, fill="#6666ee", color="gray" | |
) + ggtitle("Bernoulli to Standard Uniform") | |
# 自己相関チェック | |
acf(res$V1) | |
small_data <- data.frame(x=res$V1[1:300]) | |
ggplot(data=small_data) + geom_point(aes(x=seq(300), y=x)) |
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############################################################### | |
# ベータ分布 | |
############################################################### | |
# 独立に一様分布 U(0,1) に従う p+q-1 個の確率変数を大きさの順に並べ替えたとき, | |
# 小さい方から p 番め(大きい方からは q 番目)の確率変数 X の分布がベータ分布 B(p,q) となります。 | |
# http://www.kwansei.ac.jp/hs/z90010/sugakuc/toukei/beta/beta.htm | |
install.packages("Rlab") | |
install.packages("ggplot2") | |
install.packages("actuar") | |
require(actuar) | |
require(ggplot2) | |
require(Rlab) | |
############################################################### | |
# 一様分布 | |
############################################################### | |
width <- 0.03 | |
p <- 0.5 | |
digits_length <- 30 | |
set_size <- 3 | |
trial_size <- 30000 | |
gen_unif_rand <- function() { | |
# digits_length桁の2進少数をベルヌーイ分布に従う乱数から生成 | |
return (sum(rbern(digits_length, p) * (rep(1/2, digits_length) ** seq(digits_length)))) | |
} | |
gen_rand <- function(){ | |
return( rdply(set_size, gen_unif_rand())$V1 ) | |
} | |
unif_dataset <- rlply(trial_size, gen_rand, .progress='text') | |
# 独立に一様分布 U(0,1) に従う p+q-1 個の確率変数を大きさの順に並べ替えたとき, | |
# 小さい方から p 番め(大きい方からは q 番目)の確率変数 X の分布がベータ分布 B(p,q) となります。 | |
# 800個サンプルがあるので、400番目、後ろから399番目 | |
p <- ceiling(set_size * 0.5) | |
q <- set_size - p + 1 | |
cat("p:", p, ", q:",q) | |
get_nth_data <- function(a){ | |
return(a[order(a)][p]) | |
} | |
disp_data <- data.frame(lapply(unif_dataset, get_nth_data)) | |
names(disp_data) <- seq(length(disp_data)) | |
disp_data <- data.frame(t(disp_data)) | |
names(disp_data) <- "V1" | |
x_range <- seq(0, 1, 0.001) | |
dens <- data.frame(y=dbeta(x_range, p, q)*trial_size*width) | |
ggplot() + | |
layer(data=disp_data, mapping=aes(x=V1), geom="bar", stat = "bin", | |
binwidth=width, fill="#6666ee", color="gray" | |
) + layer(data=dens, mapping=aes(x=x_range, y=y), | |
geom="line", stat="identity", position="identity", colour="red" | |
) + ggtitle("Bernoulli to Beta") | |
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############################################################### | |
# 超幾何分布 | |
############################################################### | |
# 非復元抽出 | |
# 全部でN個から n個取り出す | |
# 1がM個、0がL個(N-M個)ある状況。 | |
require(plyr) | |
N <- 50 # 全部でN個 | |
M <- 12 # 1がM個 | |
L <- N-M # 0がL個 | |
n <- 15 # n個取り出す | |
# 試行するセット回数 | |
trial_size = 10000 | |
# 標本空間の生成 | |
sample_space <- append(rep(1, M), rep(0, L)) | |
# 1セット実行した結果を返す | |
gen_hypergeo_var <- function() { | |
return(sum(sample_space[sample.int(N)[seq(n)]])) | |
} | |
result <- rdply(trial_size, gen_hypergeo_var()) | |
x_range <- seq(0,n) | |
dens <- data.frame(dhyper(x_range, M, L, n)) * trial_size | |
names(dens) <- c("p") | |
#### グラフ描画 | |
ggplot() + | |
layer(data=result, mapping=aes(x=V1), geom="bar", stat = "bin", | |
binwidth=width, fill="#6666ee", color="gray" | |
) + layer(data=dens, mapping=aes(x=x_range+.5, y=p), | |
geom="line", stat="identity", position="identity", colour="red" | |
) + ggtitle("Uniform to Hypergeometric") | |
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mu <- 5 | |
n <- 5 | |
sigma <- 3 | |
trial_size <- 10000 | |
width <- 0.2 | |
gen_t_val <- function(){ | |
sample <- rnorm(n, mean=mu, sd=sigma) | |
t <- (mean(sample)-mu)/(sd(sample)/sqrt(n)) | |
} | |
result <- rdply(trial_size, gen_t_val()) | |
# ベルヌーイ分布の確率分布 | |
dens <- data.frame(y=dt(seq(-15,15, width), n))*trial_size*width | |
# グラフ描画 | |
ggplot() + | |
layer(data=result, mapping=aes(x=V1), geom="bar", stat = "bin", | |
binwidth=width, fill="#6666ee", color="gray" | |
) + layer(data=dens, mapping=aes(x=seq(-15,15, width), y=y), | |
geom="line", stat="identity", position="identity", colour="red" | |
) + ggtitle("Normal to t.") + xlim(-8, 8) |
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