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mebusw/Monte-Carlo-estimation.py

Created December 18, 2016 14:08
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given a team can finish 1~6 feature of same size per day, then how many days can you commit to finish 20 features?
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Monte-Carlo-estimation.py
import random
TIMES = 10000
def once(acc=0, days=0):
return days if acc >= 20 else once(acc + random.choice(xrange(1,7)), days + 1)
s1 = [once() for i in xrange(TIMES)]
s1.sort()
### 90% percentile
print s1[int(TIMES * 0.9)]
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