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May 4, 2020 09:47
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Visualize compartment summaries from odin
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library(data.table) | |
library(tidyverse) | |
path_seirds_model <- system.file("examples/discrete_stochastic_seirds.R", package = "odin") | |
seirds_generator <- odin::odin(path_seirds_model) | |
x <- seirds_generator() | |
x_res <- as.data.frame(replicate(100, x$run(0:365)[, -1])) | |
names(x_res) | |
compartment_name <- "R" | |
x_res <- as.data.table(x_res) | |
x_comp <- x_res[, .SD, .SDcols = patterns(compartment_name)] | |
quantz <- c(.025, .25, .5, .75, .0975) | |
summary_values <- purrr::map_dfc(quantz, | |
~matrixStats::rowQuantiles(as.matrix(x_comp), probs = .x, na.rm = T) ) | |
names(summary_values) <- sprintf("q_%s",gsub(pattern = "\\.", "", quantz)) | |
summary_values <- cbind(summary_values, mu = rowMeans(as.matrix(x_comp))) | |
#' @param dat the data | |
#' @param compartment_name names of one of the compartments | |
#' @param quantz the returned quantiles with x being returned by default | |
summarise_compartments <- function(dat, compartment_name, quantz, market_share = 1){ | |
x_res <- data.table::as.data.table(dat) | |
x_comp <- x_res[, .SD, .SDcols = patterns(compartment_name)] | |
quantz <- c(.025, .25, .5, .75, .975) | |
summary_values <- purrr::map_dfc(quantz, | |
~ceiling(matrixStats::rowQuantiles(as.matrix(x_comp), | |
probs = .x, na.rm = T)*market_share) ) | |
names(summary_values) <- sprintf("q_%s",gsub(pattern = "\\.", "", quantz)) | |
summary_values <- cbind(summary_values, | |
mu = rowMeans(as.matrix(x_comp)), | |
max_obs = matrixStats::rowMaxs(as.matrix(x_comp))) | |
summary_values | |
} | |
out <- summarise_compartments(x_res, compartment_name = "E") | |
cone_colors <- c( | |
`teal` = "#00a2b2", | |
`navy` = "#00205b", | |
`lime` = "#b7d866", | |
`light orange` = "#f1bd51", | |
`cyan` = "#63ccff", | |
`purple` = "#7750a9" | |
) | |
horizon <- 14 # Days | |
first_date <- Sys.Date() | |
find_max <- max(matrixStats::rowMaxs(as.matrix(out[1:horizon,]))) | |
out$date <-seq.Date(first_date, first_date +nrow(out)-1, "day") | |
cone_dark <- "#00A2B2" | |
op <- par(mar = c(1,1,1,1), col.main = cone_colors["navy"]) | |
op | |
plot(NULL, xlim = c(first_date-1,first_date+horizon), | |
ylim = c(-3,ceiling(find_max/5)*5), frame.plot = FALSE,axes = FALSE, | |
xlab = '', ylab = 'Count', | |
main = sprintf("Evolution of %s",compartment_name), adj=0, xpd = NA) | |
lines(out[["date"]], out[[1]], lty = 2) | |
lines(out[["date"]], out[[2]], lty = 2, col = cone_colors["cyan"]) | |
#lines(out[["date"]], out[[3]], lty = 2) | |
lines(out[["date"]], out[[4]], lty = 2, col = cone_colors["cyan"]) | |
lines(out[["date"]], out[[5]], lty = 2) | |
lines(out[["date"]], out[["mu"]], col = cone_colors["teal"]) | |
lines(out[["date"]], out[["max_obs"]], col = "grey90") | |
x_labs <- seq.Date(first_date, first_date +horizon-1, "day") | |
y_labs <- pretty(seq(0,find_max+5,5)) | |
abline(h = y_labs, lty = 3, col = "grey90") | |
text(x = x_labs, | |
y = -2.5, adj=0, | |
labels = format(x_labs, "%d-%B"), srt = 90, col = "grey50") | |
text(x = first_date-1, y = y_labs, adj=1, | |
labels = y_labs, srt = 0, col = "grey50") | |
mtext(text = "CONE HEALTH", | |
side = 1, | |
adj = 0, | |
col = "black", padj = -.5) | |
mtext(text = "CONE", | |
side = 1, | |
adj =0, col = cone_colors[1], padj = -.5) | |
mtext(text = "Count", side = 2, col = "grey50") | |
points(x = history[["date"]][!violations], | |
y = history[["cases"]][!violations], pch = 19, col = cone_colors["light orange"]) | |
points(x = history[["date"]][violations], | |
y = history[["cases"]][violations], pch = 19, col = "red") | |
history <- data.frame( | |
date = seq.Date(Sys.Date(), Sys.Date()+4, "day"), | |
cases = c(1,1,1,3,4) | |
) | |
violations <- history$cases>out$q_0975[1:nrow(history)] | |
plot_compartment_summary <- function(out, horizon = 14, first_date = Sys.Date(), history = NULL){ | |
cone_colors <- c( | |
`teal` = "#00a2b2", | |
`navy` = "#00205b", | |
`lime` = "#b7d866", | |
`light orange` = "#f1bd51", | |
`cyan` = "#63ccff", | |
`purple` = "#7750a9" | |
) | |
find_max <- max(matrixStats::rowMaxs(as.matrix(out[1:horizon,]))) | |
out$date <-seq.Date(first_date, first_date +nrow(out)-1, "day") | |
op <- par(mar = c(1,1,1,1), col.main = cone_colors["navy"]) | |
op | |
plot(NULL, xlim = c(first_date-1,first_date+horizon), | |
ylim = c(-3,ceiling(find_max/5)*5), frame.plot = FALSE,axes = FALSE, | |
xlab = '', ylab = 'Count', | |
main = sprintf("Evolution of %s",compartment_name), adj=0, xpd = NA) | |
polygon(c(out$date[1:horizon],rev(out$date[1:horizon])), | |
c(out[[1]][1:horizon],rev(out[[5]][1:horizon])), | |
col=ggplot2::alpha("grey90",.5), border = FALSE) | |
lines(out[["date"]], out[[1]], lty = 2) | |
lines(out[["date"]], out[[2]], lty = 2, col = cone_colors["cyan"]) | |
#lines(out[["date"]], out[[3]], lty = 2) | |
lines(out[["date"]], out[[4]], lty = 2, col = cone_colors["cyan"]) | |
lines(out[["date"]], out[[5]], lty = 2) | |
lines(out[["date"]], out[["mu"]], col = cone_colors["teal"]) | |
lines(out[["date"]], out[["max_obs"]], col = "grey90") | |
x_labs <- seq.Date(first_date, first_date +horizon-1, "day") | |
y_labs <- pretty(seq(0,find_max+5,5)) | |
abline(h = y_labs, lty = 3, col = "grey90") | |
text(x = x_labs, | |
y = -2.5, adj=0, | |
labels = format(x_labs, "%d-%B"), srt = 90, col = "grey50") | |
text(x = first_date-1, y = y_labs, adj=1, | |
labels = y_labs, srt = 0, col = "grey50") | |
mtext(text = "CONE HEALTH", | |
side = 1, | |
adj = 0, | |
col = "black", padj = -.5) | |
mtext(text = "CONE", | |
side = 1, | |
adj =0, col = cone_colors[1], padj = -.5) | |
mtext(text = "Count", side = 2, col = "grey50") | |
if(!is.null(history)){ | |
violations <- history$cases>out$q_0975[1:nrow(history)] | |
points(x = history[["date"]][!violations], | |
y = history[["cases"]][!violations], pch = 19, col = cone_colors["light orange"]) | |
points(x = history[["date"]][violations], | |
y = history[["cases"]][violations], pch = 19, col = "red") | |
} | |
} | |
history <- data.frame( | |
date = seq.Date(Sys.Date(), Sys.Date()+4, "day"), | |
cases = c(1,1,1,3,4) | |
) | |
out <- summarise_compartments(x_res, compartment_name = "E") | |
plot_compartment_summary(out) | |
plot_compartment_summary(out, history = history) | |
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