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Determine Minimum Sample Size for A/B test
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import scipy.stats as scs | |
def min_sample_size(bcr, mde, power=0.8, sig_level=0.05): | |
"""Returns the minimum sample size to set up a split test | |
Arguments: | |
bcr (float): probability of success for control, sometimes | |
referred to as baseline conversion rate | |
mde (float): minimum change in measurement between control | |
group and test group if alternative hypothesis is true, sometimes | |
referred to as minimum detectable effect | |
power (float): probability of rejecting the null hypothesis when the | |
null hypothesis is false, typically 0.8 | |
sig_level (float): significance level often denoted as alpha, | |
typically 0.05 | |
Returns: | |
min_N: minimum sample size (float) | |
References: | |
Stanford lecture on sample sizes | |
http://statweb.stanford.edu/~susan/courses/s141/hopower.pdf | |
""" | |
# standard normal distribution to determine z-values | |
standard_norm = scs.norm(0, 1) | |
# find Z_beta from desired power | |
Z_beta = standard_norm.ppf(power) | |
# find Z_alpha | |
Z_alpha = standard_norm.ppf(1-sig_level/2) | |
# average of probabilities from both groups | |
pooled_prob = (bcr + bcr+mde) / 2 | |
min_N = (2 * pooled_prob * (1 - pooled_prob) * (Z_beta + Z_alpha)**2 | |
/ mde**2) | |
return min_N |
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