Skip to content

Instantly share code, notes, and snippets.

@morganmcg1
Created February 5, 2025 21:36
Show Gist options
  • Save morganmcg1/9e3067bada69254dd6f6e9a594dd065c to your computer and use it in GitHub Desktop.
Save morganmcg1/9e3067bada69254dd6f6e9a594dd065c to your computer and use it in GitHub Desktop.
German language market analysis

Market Analysis: Adult German Learners in the EU and USA (2014–2024)

Market Size and Modality (Online vs. In-Person)

Overall Scale: The German language learning market is substantial. Globally, an estimated 15.4 million people were learning German as a foreign language in formal settings as of 2020 (15.4 million people are learning German – DW – 06/04/2020) Europe accounts for the majority: around 11.2 million German learners in Europe (formal education and courses) according to a 2020 survey (German as a foreign language: Growing numbers learning German in Africa and Asia - Federal Foreign Office ) The United States has a much smaller German-learning population and even saw a decline in the last decade – 15% fewer people in the US were learning German in 2020 compared to 2015 (German as a foreign language: Growing numbers learning German in Africa and Asia - Federal Foreign Office ) (This drop is largely due to decreasing German class enrollments in schools and universities.) By contrast, interest in German grew in some European countries over the decade (German as a foreign language: Growing numbers learning German in Africa and Asia - Federal Foreign Office )

Market Value: In financial terms, German learning is a significant segment of the booming language education industry. For context, the global language learning market (all languages) was about $61.5 billion in 2023 (Language Learning Market Size & Share | Growth Trends, 2024-2032) propelled by demand for languages like English, Spanish, and German. German consistently ranks among the top 5 most-studied languages worldwide (alongside Mandarin Chinese, Spanish, French, etc.) (Language Learning Statistics: 40 Facts to Expose Language Revolution - Lingomelo) underscoring its economic and cultural importance in Europe and beyond. While specific revenue for German-only learning is not isolated, its popularity in Europe (Germany being the EU’s largest economy) makes it a significant portion of Europe’s language training market. Notably, German was recently identified as the second most sought-after language globally in terms of learning interest (topping the list of “most desired to learn” in 16 countries) (Mapped: The Most Popular Languages to Learn by Country) – likely reflecting Germany’s economic influence and migration pull.

Online vs In-Person: Ten years ago, in-person classes dominated adult language learning. Traditional classroom-based learning was the norm – one source noted roughly 80% of language learners historically opted for classroom instruction (Language Learning Statistics: 40 Facts to Expose Language Revolution - Lingomelo) However, the 2014–2024 period saw a major shift toward online learning. By 2020, digital platforms had become mainstream supplements or alternatives to in-person courses. A German government survey in 2020 (conducted just before the pandemic) observed that online options were already growing in significance for German learners (German as a foreign language: Growing numbers learning German in Africa and Asia - Federal Foreign Office ) The trend exploded in 2020: COVID-19 lockdowns forced classes onto Zoom and pushed learners to apps. The popularity of online German learning resources skyrocketed – for example, the Goethe-Institut’s own online learning platform saw monthly visits jump from about 326,000 in May 2019 to over 1.2 million in May 2020 (German as a foreign language: Growing numbers learning German in Africa and Asia - Federal Foreign Office ) and Deutsche Welle’s free online German courses saw usage double to 4.2 million visits in that period (German as a foreign language: Growing numbers learning German in Africa and Asia - Federal Foreign Office ) This sudden surge accelerated a longer-term trend of moving from physical classrooms to online and hybrid models.

By 2024, the market has clearly pivoted toward online modalities. Learners now commonly use mobile apps, self-paced e-courses, or video tutoring instead of (or in addition to) enrolling in local language schools. The online language learning segment alone was valued around $29.5 billion in 2024 (Online Language Learning Market Size Share and Analysis 2034) – nearly half the total market – indicating how much learning activity has shifted online. In Europe, online language learning is on a fast growth track (projected to reach ~$8 billion in the next decade in Europe alone) (Europe Online Language Learning Market by Size, Share, Forecasts ...) That said, in-person learning hasn’t disappeared: universities, Goethe-Institut centers, private tutors, and community adult education classes still serve millions of adults (e.g. the Goethe-Institut taught 309,000 German learners in person in 2019 through its global centers (German as a foreign language: Growing numbers learning German in Africa and Asia - Federal Foreign Office ) . But online channels now capture a huge share of adult learners, especially in the US where geography and limited local class availability make online options attractive. In summary, over the past decade the market expanded overall, with online learning growing from a niche to a major (if not dominant) portion of the German-learning market by 2024.

Online Learning Formats: One-on-One vs. Group Lessons

Within the online segment, adult learners typically choose between one-on-one tutoring or group classes, each appealing to different needs. One-on-one lessons have become extremely popular for German learners seeking personalized instruction. Platforms like italki, Preply, and Verbling exploded in the past 10 years, connecting learners with private German tutors via video chat. This format offers customized pacing, individualized feedback, and flexible scheduling, which many adults prefer. Indeed, several leading online platforms center almost entirely on 1:1 tutoring – for example, Preply focuses on one-student-at-a-time lessons, essentially private tutoring (Preply vs. Lingoda: The ultimate comparison for learners) The convenience and personalization of one-on-one online lessons have attracted a large share of serious learners (particularly professionals and those with specific goals).

Group online lessons have also grown, though often in a modified form compared to traditional classes. Many e-learning companies offer small-group classes via video conference, which try to replicate classroom interaction but keep groups intimate. For instance, Lingoda (a Berlin-based online language school) offers live small group classes capped at 5 students as well as private lessons (Preply vs. Lingoda: The ultimate comparison for learners) These small online groups give a balance of interaction and cost-sharing – students can practice conversation with peers but still receive attention from the teacher. Traditional language schools, including Goethe-Institut, also moved group courses online (often 8–15 students per class over Zoom) during the pandemic, and many continue to offer those virtual group options.

Breakdown: Precise breakdown data (what percentage of online German learners choose 1-on-1 vs group) is not widely published, but industry observers suggest one-on-one tutoring now constitutes a large portion of the online market. The popularity of tutor marketplaces (hosting tens of thousands of teachers) points toward high uptake of private lessons. Group classes remain common, especially where they’re more affordable – e.g. an online school might charge ~$10–$20 per group class vs a higher rate for private. Some platforms report that even when group lessons are offered, many students gravitate to smaller groups or effectively end up one-on-one. (In Lingoda’s experience, it’s not uncommon for a “group” session to only have 1–2 students attending (My Experience Learning a Language Online with Lingoda - Medium) ) In summary, adult online learners skew toward individualized learning, but small-group formats are still significant, catering to those who enjoy group dynamics or lower costs.

Conversation-Focused vs. Structured Courses

Adult learners’ learning preferences have shifted toward communication and speaking practice over the past decade. Traditionally, “structured” German courses (following a set curriculum, focusing on grammar drills, writing, and tests aligned with CEFR levels) were the standard. Now, there is a notable increase in learners seeking conversation-focused learning. Many adults cite the ability to speak and hold real conversations as their top priority, rather than just completing textbook chapters. This is reflected in the types of courses and services in demand: for example, conversation clubs, informal discussion classes, and tutor sessions devoted to free-talk have proliferated.

Data and trends support this shift. The rise of language exchange apps and communities is one indicator – the app Tandem, which connects learners for conversational practice, surpassed 10 million users by 2021 (Language Learning Statistics: 40 Facts to Expose Language Revolution - Lingomelo) showing how many people prioritize practicing speaking. Likewise, many tutoring students use their 1:1 lessons primarily for conversational German. Providers have adapted by offering specialized “conversation classes” (often marketed as German speaking practice or Stammtisch-style sessions) in addition to general German courses.

Meanwhile, traditional structured courses (covering grammar systematically, following a textbook from A1 to C1 level) are still widely available (Goethe-Institut and university extension programs continue to run them). However, enrollment in purely academic-style courses has been flat or declining in some areas, as learners opt for more flexible or practical alternatives. Even within structured courses, there’s more emphasis now on communicative methods than a decade ago.

Percentage split: It’s hard to pin an exact percentage of how many learners favor conversation classes vs structured courses, since many do both (or start with structured learning then later focus on conversation). But anecdotally, a large share of adult learners seek out conversation practice at some stage. For instance, after acquiring basics via apps or classes, learners often turn to conversation partners or tutors to build fluency. Surveys consistently find that speaking and listening are the most challenging skills in language learning, which drives demand for conversation-focused practice. (One study found 68% of language learners struggle with grammar, but 42% say pronunciation/speaking is the most challenging aspect (Language Learning Statistics: 40 Facts to Expose Language Revolution - Lingomelo) (Language Learning Statistics: 40 Facts to Expose Language Revolution - Lingomelo) – suggesting that while grammar is hard, practicing speaking is a key pain point and thus a priority for many.) Over the decade, “conversation classes” grew from a small niche into a mainstream offering, signaling a notable preference shift toward practical speaking ability. In the EU and US, meetup groups for German conversation, online conversation circles, and speaking-focused courses have all become common, underlining that adults don’t just want to pass exams – they want to use German in real life.

Spending Trends and Lifetime Expenditure

Spending habits in the German-learning industry have evolved, influenced by the abundance of free resources and the premiumization of advanced services. On one end, the proliferation of free or freemium tools (Duolingo, YouTube lessons, podcasts, etc.) means an adult can start learning German with little to no money spent upfront. Many casual learners stick to free apps or content, spending $0 for months or years. This has likely lowered the average spending of the large base of beginner learners compared to a decade ago (when one might have bought a phrasebook or paid for a class to get started). Indeed, a Eurobarometer survey found 65% of Europeans learning languages do so independently (i.e. self-study) (Language Learning Statistics: 40 Facts to Expose Language Revolution - Lingomelo) which often entails using low-cost or free materials.

On the other end, committed learners are still investing significant funds in quality instruction. Traditional courses at institutes or colleges cost hundreds of dollars per term, and private tutoring can range from ~$20 to $50+ per hour. It’s not uncommon for an adult learner aiming for fluency to spend a few thousand dollars per year on classes, tutors, or software. Over a “lifetime” of learning German (which for many adults might be a multi-year journey to proficiency), the total spending can be substantial. Industry experts often discuss the lifetime customer value of a language learner – for example, a major education company noted the goal of capturing more of a learner’s “lifetime spend on language learning” by offering extended services ([PDF] An integrated strategy - Pearson plc) This implies that a serious learner might subscribe to apps, buy textbooks, and take lessons over many years, cumulatively spending quite a bit.

To put it in perspective, consider the estimated instructional hours needed for German. The U.S. Foreign Service Institute (FSI) estimates approximately 750 class hours to reach a B2/upper-intermediate level in German (since German is moderately difficult for English speakers). If those hours were taken via paid courses or tutoring, the cost adds up dramatically. One analysis pegs the cost of 600 hours of Spanish classes at around $13,000 (Cost of Learning Languages | Grammarly) since German requires even more hours, reaching a similar level might cost on the order of $15,000–$20,000 in tuition if relying purely on paid instruction. In practice, many learners mix paid and free learning – for example, doing 2 years of weekly classes (perhaps $1,000+ per year), plus a tutor before an exam, plus a subscription to a grammar app. Surveys of language learners suggest that those who pursue language for career or relocation purposes are willing to invest heavily: **72% of language learners cite career improvement as motivation (Language Learning Statistics: 40 Facts to Expose Language Revolution - Lingomelo) *, which often justifies higher spending (e.g. an intensive course or immersion program). On the other hand, hobby learners often budget more modestly.

Typical lifetime spend: A “typical” adult German learner in the EU/US might spend a few hundred dollars on beginner courses or materials, and if they continue, possibly a few thousand more on intermediate/advanced training. For instance, someone might buy a $200 online course package, subscribe to an app at $10/month for a year ($120), then later take a $500 intensive course – totaling around $800 for that phase of learning. Another learner might take weekly private lessons for a year at $30/hour – that alone is ~$1,500 annually. Thus, while there is no single number for lifetime spending, it’s clear serious learners often invest multiple thousands of dollars over time. At the extreme high end, immersion programs or university courses (or studying in Germany) can push individual spending far higher. But thanks to today’s freemium model, it’s also possible to learn on a shoestring budget until one decides to pay. This bifurcation – many spending very little, while a minority spend quite a lot – is a defining feature of the last decade’s spending trends.

Pricing Models: Subscriptions, One-Time Purchases, and Others

The German language learning industry has experimented with and adopted various pricing models in the past 10 years, mirroring broader EdTech trends. The key models include:

  • Subscription Plans: Recurring subscriptions have become the dominant model for online platforms. Many services charge a monthly or annual fee for access to lessons or content. For example, Babbel (a popular language app with a strong German course) offers subscription plans (e.g. ~$10–$15 per month, with discounts for longer plans). Duolingo, while free for basic use, sells “Duolingo Plus” as a subscription to unlock premium features. Even traditional software like Rosetta Stone shifted from selling CD-ROMs to a subscription-based online product (The Digital Transformation of Rosetta Stone: How President Matt ...) (Digital & Business Model Transformation at Rosetta Stone - InnoLead) Subscriptions provide ongoing revenue and often come with unlimited or tiered access. Some online class providers also use subscriptions: Lingoda, for instance, lets students subscribe to a set number of classes per month (e.g. 12 classes for ~$359/month) which renews monthly (My Lingoda Review: Is it Worth The Money? - The Barefoot Nomad) The subscription model’s rise shows learners’ willingness to pay in smaller ongoing amounts rather than one large upfront sum.

  • One-Time Purchases: This includes one-off payments for courses or content. Traditional in-person courses usually work on a one-time (or per term) payment – e.g. paying $300 for an 8-week evening German course. Similarly, some online offerings are sold as a one-time purchase: for instance, a downloadable video course or a lifetime access license. In the past, products like Pimsleur or Rosetta Stone were commonly bought outright. Today, one-time purchases are less common for software (due to the shift to subscription), but they still exist in forms like purchasing a textbook+CD, paying for a single level of an online course, or buying a lifetime membership (Rosetta Stone now markets a “Lifetime” access for a higher one-off fee). Private tutoring can also be seen as a pay-as-you-go model – e.g. paying per lesson or buying a package of hours (which is essentially a bulk one-time purchase to be used over time).

  • Freemium and In-App Purchases: A very prevalent model is freemium, where basic learning content is free and users can optionally pay for upgrades or extra features. Duolingo’s massive user base (over 74 million monthly active users globally on all languages (Vehicle Helpline App Development - Freelancer) (Duolingo Revenue and Usage Statistics (2025) - Business of Apps) was built on a free model, with a small percentage paying for ad-free access or bonus content. Other apps like Memrise and HelloTalk similarly offer free core functionality and then sell premium features (such as offline mode, extra exercises, or vocabulary packages). This model has lowered the barrier to entry – millions start learning German at no cost – and then monetizes the more engaged learners. From a market perspective, freemium has been hugely influential in the 2014–2024 period, effectively expanding the market by drawing in learners who might not have paid at all initially.

  • Subscription + Tutoring Hybrid: Some services blend models – for example, credits or class packages on a subscription. Lingoda’s model is a good example: students subscribe for a number of classes per month (say 20 classes for $499) (My Lingoda Review: Is it Worth The Money? - The Barefoot Nomad) which is essentially a recurring package. Similarly, platforms like iTalki let learners buy credit packages that can be spent on 1:1 lessons; while not a “subscription” in the strict sense, it encourages continuous purchase. We’ve also seen all-you-can-learn memberships: some schools offer unlimited group classes for a fixed monthly fee. These innovative models have emerged to cater to different budgets and commitment levels.

  • Corporate/Institutional payment: Although the question focuses on adult learners paying out-of-pocket, it’s worth noting that in some cases employers or institutions pay. For instance, a company might purchase a bulk subscription to an online platform for its staff (corporate language training), or a government integration course might be funded for immigrants in the EU. These arrangements often use volume-discounted pricing or licenses (e.g., a business buying 100 Babbel licenses). This hasn’t been the majority of the market, but it’s a notable segment (especially in the EU, where integration courses for German have public funding).

Pricing trends: Over the past decade, there’s been a clear shift from one-time, large purchases to flexible, pay-as-you-go models. In 2014, a learner might have been expected to buy a $500 software package or pay a semester’s tuition upfront. By 2024, that same learner is more likely to pay $10 this month, try an app, then maybe pay $40 for a one-time private lesson, then pause, then resume with a $30/month subscription – in other words, more flexibility and micro-payments. Providers favor subscriptions for their steady revenue, and learners appreciate the lower upfront cost and the ability to cancel when needed. However, this also means if a learner sticks with it long-term, they may end up paying more in total (which ties back to the idea of lifetime spend). Overall, subscription and freemium models dominate the online space, while in-person classes and tutoring remain largely pay-per-course or per-hour. This diversification of pricing structures has made German learning more accessible to a wider range of learners and budgets than ever before.

Notable Shifts in Learning Preferences (2014–2024)

Over the past decade, the preferences and behaviors of adult German learners in the EU and USA have shifted markedly:

  • From Classroom to Digital: Perhaps the biggest change has been the move from traditional classrooms to digital learning. In 2014, an adult learner might enroll in a local evening class; in 2024, they are more likely to download an app, join an online class, or find a Skype tutor. The convenience of online learning, combined with necessity during the pandemic, has made digital the default choice for many. By 2024, more people in the US learn languages on Duolingo than in the entire US public school system (for all languages) (The United States of Languages: An analysis of Duolingo usage ...) highlighting how apps have opened language study to the masses. This shift is pronounced in the USA, where school language study isn’t ubiquitous – Americans flocked to apps and online tools. In Europe, where classroom language education has always been strong, online learning has become a critical supplement: for example, many Europeans now use apps to reinforce what they learned in school or to pick up a new language independently. The net effect is a hybrid learning preference – adults mix self-study, apps, and periodic formal instruction in a way that was far less common a decade ago.

  • Self-Paced and Independent Learning: Modern learners show a stronger preference for self-directed learning. The Eurobarometer finding that **65% of European language learners study independently (Language Learning Statistics: 40 Facts to Expose Language Revolution - Lingomelo) * reflects a cultural shift. Adults increasingly prefer to “learn on my own time, at my own pace” rather than adhere to a strict classroom schedule. The growth of on-demand resources (like pre-recorded video courses, podcasts, etc.) caters to this. In 2024, an employed adult in, say, the UK or Germany might choose an on-demand online course or YouTube grammar channel because it fits their busy schedule – a flexibility they wouldn’t have had in 2014 (when options were more limited).

  • Focus on Practical Skills: As noted, there’s a greater emphasis on speaking and practical communication now. Adult learners today often express preferences for “learning to speak with confidence” over, say, passing written exams. This is partly due to the goals many have: career advancement, relocating to German-speaking countries, or communicating with German colleagues/family – all of which require speaking skills. Providers responded by shifting teaching methods to be more communicative. Over the decade, teaching German has moved away from rote grammar translation to more interactive, real-life scenarios. The popularity of conversation meetups and exchange tandems in both the EU and USA shows that learners actively seek out venues to practice speaking, which was not always a standard part of traditional courses. In short, preference has shifted toward learning that is immediately useful (ordering food, chatting with friends, doing job interviews in German), as opposed to the more academic, structure-first approach of the past.

  • Microlearning and Gamification: Modern learners also show a preference for gamified, bite-sized learning. Duolingo’s gamification and short lesson model set the trend – keeping users engaged with daily streaks and levels. This aligns with adult learners’ busy lifestyles; they prefer short, frequent learning sessions over long lectures. In 2014, one might attend a 2-hour weekly class; in 2024, many learners do 15 minutes a day on an app. This microlearning trend is a notable shift in preference, essentially redefining how language study is incorporated into daily life (more frequent, less intense sessions).

  • Broader Motivation and Demographics: Another shift is in who is learning and why. In Europe, the past decade saw more migration-driven learners – e.g., adults moving to Germany/Austria for work and thus learning German out of necessity. Germany’s 2020 Skilled Immigration Act, for example, has increased demand for German language qualifications among foreign professionals (German as a foreign language: Growing numbers learning German in Africa and Asia - Federal Foreign Office ) So in the EU we see more adults learning German for employment and integration. In the US, while German remains a less commonly needed language, there’s a steady interest from heritage learners and students – but also an uptick in people learning for career or travel, as global connectivity grows. Surveys show career improvement is a major motivator for learners globally (over 70% cited career reasons in one British Council study (Language Learning Statistics: 40 Facts to Expose Language Revolution - Lingomelo) , which is a shift from a decade ago when hobby or cultural interest might have been relatively more common. This has driven preferences toward efficient learning – adults want results (certificates, proficiency for jobs) and thus look for effective, sometimes intensive, courses.

  • Spending and Value Expectations: Today’s learners are also savvier consumers. With so many free resources available, adult learners are more price-sensitive and value-conscious. They will gravitate to free options unless they clearly see the value in paying. This has forced paid providers to improve quality and outcomes. Over the decade, the willingness to pay for language learning may have shifted to a “barbell” distribution – newbies expect to pay little or nothing (using free apps), whereas serious learners will pay a premium for high-quality instruction (like immersion programs or specialist tutors). This is a change from earlier, when mid-range products (like a $200 software CD) were common – now it’s often either free/cheap or quite expensive high-touch services, with less in the middle. In essence, learners prefer to either learn cheaply on their own, or invest in top-notch instruction; the mediocre middle-tier products have struggled.

In summary, the past ten years have transformed how and why adults learn German. The EU and USA markets both saw a swing toward online, self-paced, and conversation-oriented learning, though the trends manifest differently (Europe’s strong institutional learning culture augmented by digital tools, vs. the US’s more independent, app-driven approach due to fewer formal learning opportunities). Spending has polarized, and subscription models have become normal. By 2024, an adult German learner in Boston or Berlin is likely juggling a mix of methods – a smartphone app during the commute, an online tutor on weekends, perhaps a local conversation group – a far cry from the textbook-and-classroom approach of a decade ago. The market has responded to these preferences by diversifying offerings and pricing, leading to more choices and a generally more learner-centric, flexible learning ecosystem for German. Each of these shifts is backed by data and trends, painting a picture of a dynamic market that has evolved significantly from 2014 to 2024.

Sources: German Foreign Office / Goethe-Institut surveys (German as a foreign language: Growing numbers learning German in Africa and Asia - Federal Foreign Office ) (German as a foreign language: Growing numbers learning German in Africa and Asia - Federal Foreign Office ) (German as a foreign language: Growing numbers learning German in Africa and Asia - Federal Foreign Office ) (German as a foreign language: Growing numbers learning German in Africa and Asia - Federal Foreign Office ) Deutsche Welle (15.4 million people are learning German – DW – 06/04/2020) (15.4 million people are learning German – DW – 06/04/2020) Eurobarometer via Lingomelo (Language Learning Statistics: 40 Facts to Expose Language Revolution - Lingomelo) Duolingo and industry reports (Duolingo Revenue and Usage Statistics (2025) - Business of Apps) (Vehicle Helpline App Development - Freelancer) Visual Capitalist (Mapped: The Most Popular Languages to Learn by Country) Lingoda/Lingoda reviews (Preply vs. Lingoda: The ultimate comparison for learners) Lingomelo (compilation of language stats) (Language Learning Statistics: 40 Facts to Expose Language Revolution - Lingomelo) (Language Learning Statistics: 40 Facts to Expose Language Revolution - Lingomelo) (Language Learning Statistics: 40 Facts to Expose Language Revolution - Lingomelo) Grammarly analysis (Cost of Learning Languages | Grammarly) Market research data (Language Learning Market Size & Share | Growth Trends, 2024-2032) (Online Language Learning Market Size Share and Analysis 2034) and others.

Sign up for free to join this conversation on GitHub. Already have an account? Sign in to comment