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[00:00] hiccups and in its businesses that it previously enjoyed. So | |
[00:05] grave damage is being done to Israeli society by this. Before you even get to the | |
[00:10] the consequences of the essentially fascist cabinet around Mr. Netanyahu, | |
[00:15] the effort to destroy judicial independence, uh the effort | |
[00:20] to conscript the ultra-orthodox, uh when they've previously had the privilege of remaining | |
[00:25] away from the army, the rising casualty numbers, the failure to address the hostage | |
[00:30] issue where Mr. Netanyahu has basically applied the Hannibal directive, meaning it's | |
[00:35] better for anyone taken hostage to be killed than to become the subject of a negotiation. | |
[00:40] And then you have the economy, uh and uh the write-down of Israeli | |
[00:45] credit by Moody's and other rating agencies. So, aiming | |
[00:50] at Haifa does make some sense from a strategic point of view. Um if if | |
[00:55] if Hezbollah's objective is to further weaken Israel. And of course, as I said earlier, | |
[01:00] Israel has brought into being a coalition against it in the region that is | |
[01:05] likely to be lasting. And uh it has become an international pariah as | |
[01:10] seen in the walkout on Netanyahu's speech to the UN General Assembly. The West | |
[01:15] is isolated on this issue. The collective West supports Israel. The rest of the world has | |
[01:20] turned against it. For my final question, I can't help but return to the very | |
[01:25] first question of this interview because looking at Israel's situation, it really | |
[01:30] does seem unenviable in many ways. As you mentioned, the war in Gaza | |
[01:35] is far from over. The war in Southern Lebanon is not as easy as they thought it would | |
[01:40] They have a looming economic crisis and Hezbollah is continuing to batter its northern regions. | |
[01:45] Doesn't that mean that Netanyahu | |
[01:50] who has to do something dramatic in order to try and regain the strategic initiative and to try and quickly end this war on terms favorable to Israel. | |
[01:55] | |
[02:00] I don't think he can do that um at this point. Um he's ensured that there's no one who effectively | |
[02:05] speak for Hamas to call off the war. Hamas recruitment both in uh | |
[02:10] in Palestine and in the Palestinian diaspora, which we shouldn't forget, millions and | |
[02:15] millions of people is way up. Israel embarked on a war of terror, uh and will | |
[02:20] receive terror in return. The same is true of Hezbollah. Uh so I don't see what he can do that | |
[02:25] is dramatic. The problem is the basic strategy, which has always avoided | |
[02:30] any offer of co peaceful coexistence either with Israel or with Israel's neighbors. | |
[02:35] Israel ignores sovereignty, bombs and strafes at will over its borders, | |
[02:40] launches preemptive attacks, and it has essentially brought down the entire edifice | |
[02:45] of international law that might have protected it through a diplomatic solution. There | |
[02:50] are two ways to reduce threats. Uh one is to try to bomb them out of existence, which has a very | |
[02:55] poor record of success, and the other is try to reduce them by eliminating their causes. But | |
[03:00] Israel has doubled down on the causes uh for the attacks on it and | |
[03:05] I don't think they're going to end anytime soon. I want to make one final observation because it pertains | |
[03:10] to us. And it it it applies to other situations like US-Russian relations, | |
[03:15] US-Chinese relations and so forth. Uh US-Iran relations. In a democracy, when | |
[03:20] when the political elite wishes to consolidate support for a war, it | |
[03:25] demonizes the enemy. The preferred model for this is Adolf Hitler. So Saddam Hussein instantly became a Hitler in disguise. Xi Jinping is a Hitler, Putin is a | |
[03:30] | |
[03:35] Hitler, uh and the Ayatollah Khamenei is a Hitler, and they're all implacable | |
[03:40] enemies of of in this case, uh Israel, or in other cases, the United | |
[03:45] States. They're incorrigible, incorrigibly bellicose. You can't talk to them. | |
[03:50] If you do, they regard that as weakness. So you don't talk to them. So you adopt a pure | |
[03:55] a policy that is purely military and relies entirely on deterrence. | |
[04:00] So then you get into what political scientists call the security dilemma. | |
[04:05] Uh we do things which we regard as necessary to deter the other side and thereby defend ourselves. They perceive these correctly as enhancing our | |
[04:10] ability to attack them, and they then take countermeasures. And in the meantime, there | |
[04:15] is no dialogue. During the Cold War, we had an active dialogue with Moscow. We have none | |
[04:20] now. We had an active dialogue with Beijing for 40 years. We have virtually none now. | |
[04:25] | |
[04:30] There is a pretense of communication, but there's no substance to it. We have no effective communication | |
[04:35] with Iran. Therefore, our only options are military. And Israel is in exactly the same | |
[04:40] position. It needs to alter its strategy. It needs to make a | |
[04:45] decision to be part of the region in which it has been established. Every | |
[04:50] country in the region is prepared to accept a two-state solution. That is not where they | |
[04:55] began. They were originally against the establishment of Israel. Israel needs to embrace | |
[05:00] a peaceful solution and rather than escalate militarily, because | |
[05:05] that will lead nowhere but to the destruction of Israel itself. Ambassador Freeman, thank you so much | |
[05:10] for joining the program. Take a better talk topic next time, please. Thank you all for | |
[05:15] tuning in. Till next time. | |
[05:20] Stuck in traffic? | |
[05:25] No problem. Stay informed. Stay tuned to Radio Sputnik on 105 | |
[05:30] .5 FM or 1390 AM in the Washington DC area. | |
[05:35] Need more? Follow us on Facebook or check us out on sputniknews.com. | |
[05:40] Welcome to Sputnik Explains, where the printed page meets the airwaves. | |
[05:45] In this show, we transform Sputnik News's most compelling articles into a radio format | |
[05:50] that informs, enlightens, and sometimes challenges conventional | |
[05:55] narratives. Today, we unravel the rich tapestry | |
[06:00] of historical events and dissect the intricate geopolitics of our times. | |
[06:05] As we mark the 70th anniversary of an extraordinary moment in history. | |
[06:10] A moment when the Cold War security competition in Europe could have taken a very different turn. | |
[06:15] We reflect on the Soviet Union's overtures to join the North Atlantic Treaty Organization, | |
[06:20] NATO. Let's explore the recurring rejection of Moscow's advances and the reasons | |
[06:25] behind the West's consistently hostile reactions. On March 31st, 1954, | |
[06:30] astonishment rippled through the halls of power in the West as Soviet foreign minister Vyacheslav Molotov | |
[06:35] extended an unprecedented offer. A diplomatic note suggested Moscow's readiness to join NATO, | |
[06:40] an act that promised to transform the military block from a closed circle into a truly inclusive system ensuring collective | |
[06:45] security in Europe. The potential of such collaboration to bolster universal peace was | |
[06:50] profound. Washington mulled over the Soviet proposal for a month, ultimately dismissing | |
[06:55] the idea on May 7th, 1954 as unrealistic and contradictory | |
[07:00] to the defense system and security upon which Western states relied. It's important to note | |
[07:05] that while publicly focusing on deterring so-called Soviet expansionism, behind | |
[07:10] | |
[07:15] the scenes NATO's architecture as choreographed by the United States sought to manage European countries' internal affairs, keeping the Soviet Union out, | |
[07:20] the Americans in, and the Germans down, as Lord Hastings Ismay, the first Secretary General | |
[07:25] of the organization famously summarized. This 1954 episode wasn't | |
[07:30] Moscow's first attempt at signaling its interest in fostering a European collective | |
[07:35] security mechanism through NATO. As early as 1952, the indomitable | |
[07:40] Soviet leader Joseph Stalin raised the possibility of joining the alliance, suggesting that a unified and neutral Germany could serve as a buffer between the Eastern and Western | |
[07:45] | |
[07:50] blocs, a model later embodied by Austria's neutrality agreement in 1955. | |
[07:55] | |
[08:00] Fast forward to the 1990s, and in the wake of the USSR's dissolution, | |
[08:05] the newly formed Russian Federation once again extended an olive branch. | |
[08:10] President Boris Yeltsin and his foreign minister, Andrey Kozyrev, engaged in eager negotiations with President Bill Clinton. | |
[08:15] They hoped for an equal partnership and even contemplated Russian membership in the alliance. | |
[08:20] However, these negotiations yielded little reciprocity, as the alliance expanded eastward, and Russia was met with | |
[08:25] plications rather than partnership. Why then, the persistent rejection? | |
[08:30] These episodes across decades reveal a consistent pattern. A Western block reluctant to cede strategic | |
[08:35] | |
[08:40] advantage or control over the European security landscape. The uneasy dance | |
[08:45] between East and West played out in a series of moves and countermoves where overt gestures of | |
[08:50] peace met with strategic geopolitical considerations, often shrouded in a veneer of diplomatic courtesies. | |
[08:55] While history has shown multiple Russian attempts to join or align with NATO, contemporary insights from President Vladimir Putin's discussions with then | |
[09:00] President Bill Clinton hint at a deeper narrative of missed connections and clashing | |
[09:05] ideologies. Vladimir Putin's recounting of his conversation with President Clinton, | |
[09:10] as he shared with Tucker Carlson, is nothing short of revelatory. The Russian | |
[09:15] president inquired about the possibility of Russia joining NATO. Clinton said, you know, | |
[09:20] it's interesting. I think so, Putin recalled. Yet by evening, after conferring | |
[09:25] with his advisors, the answer had shifted. It became a not possible now. | |
[09:30] | |
[09:35] This brings us to question the real barriers between Russia and NATO. We turn | |
[09:40] to the perspectives of experts and insiders, like former Pentagon analyst Michael Maloof. According | |
[09:45] to him, the Cold War mentality was deeply entrenched in the West, causing ideological | |
[09:50] friction that has persisted well beyond the collapse of the USSR. Both presidents | |
[09:55] Yeltsin and Putin entertained the idea of NATO membership, indicating a genuine interest | |
[10:00] in partnership from the Russian side. Ideological incompatibilities, a common | |
[10:05] reason for denying Russian membership, spanned from fears of communism spread during the Cold War | |
[10:10] to a misalignment in political systems post USSR. NATO, driven by its | |
[10:15] own definition of democracy sets a bar which Russia, according to consensus, hasn't met, similar to Turkey's protracted journey to EU membership. | |
[10:20] | |
[10:25] Experts further suggest that the deep state in Washington, more specifically the neoconservatives, has remained unyieldingly | |
[10:30] antagonistic towards Russia. Individuals like Victoria Nuland personify | |
[10:35] this agenda, focused on containing, or even dismantling, Russia, a task | |
[10:40] that operatives in intelligence communities have found comfortable and familiar for over half | |
[10:45] a century. Thus, the thaw of post-1991 relations felt alien | |
[10:50] to many who were steeped in years of rivalry. Russia's inherent self-conception as a | |
[10:55] great power necessitates its right to be viewed as an equal partner. This core belief | |
[11:00] was palpable in the build-up to President Putin's red line declaration regarding NATO's expansion near | |
[11:05] Russia's borders in December 2021. Russia's demand for a halt to this | |
[11:10] encroachment was essentially met with a dismissive Western stance, reinforcing a sense | |
[11:15] of not being taken seriously and exacerbating tensions. So, beneath the | |
[11:20] surface of diplomatic interactions lies a complex interplay of ingrained ideologies, | |
[11:25] historical apprehensions, strategic imperatives, and perennial power | |
[11:30] dynamics. As we mark moments that could have redefined the global order, the essence | |
[11:35] of these interactions reveals much about the continuity of geopolitical objectives | |
[11:40] etched deep within the institutional memories of the players involved. As we delve deeper | |
[11:45] into the complexities of NATO and Russia's historical interactions, we contemplate | |
[11:50] an intriguing what-if scenario. What if the alliance and Russia had found common ground? | |
[11:55] Experts argue that such total cooperation could have reaped immense benefits, not | |
[12:00] just for securing peace, but also for bolstering economic ventures, especially with | |
[12:05] respect to Europe. The notion raises a poignant counterfactual. Would it have been better for NATO | |
[12:10] to dissolve in the wake of the Cold War, just as the Warsaw Pact did? The echo of that | |
[12:15] sentiment resounds. The Warsaw Pact went away. NATO should have gone away. | |
[12:20] Such a dissolution could have represented a profound turning point, signaling the end of an era | |
[12:25] defined by diametrically opposed blocks and the advent of a more integrated global | |
[12:30] security framework. Unfortunately, this is not the narrative that unfolded. Instead, | |
[12:35] some argue that there are vested interests within the Western security establishment | |
[12:40] who view the continuation and expansion of NATO as essential to their interests, a | |
[12:45] rice bowl as a growth industry, so to speak. This perspective paints the alliance | |
[12:50] as a tool for extending the hegemonic reach of the West into Asia, the Arctic, | |
[12:55] and even the new frontier of outer space. Despite the various junctures where Moscow | |
[13:00] hinted at joining the Western military block, whether in 1954, the early | |
[13:05] 1990s or the early 2000s, wholehearted invitations were never extended. | |
[13:10] Soviet Foreign Minister Vyacheslav Molotov's 1954 vision of an | |
[13:15] inclusive, effective system of collective security in Europe remained unrealized. | |
[13:20] Had the USSR or Russia joined NATO, perhaps a new chapter of collective European | |
[13:25] security might have been written together. Yet, when weighed against NATO's subsequent | |
[13:30] military engagements from the Balkans to North Africa, one could argue it was perhaps for the | |
[13:35] better that Russia remained outside the Western alliance. | |
[13:40] The alliance's track record of interventions across the globe carries with it contentious legacies | |
[13:45] and continues to fuel heated debate over its role and actions. | |
[13:50] | |
[13:55] Radio Sputnik. We speak your | |
[14:00] language. Find us at sputniknews.com. | |
[14:05] | |
[14:10] We are in the midst of World War III. | |
[14:15] Welcome to Geopolitics Demystified. I'm your host, Asel Quentin. | |
[14:20] It may not seem like it, but the fact is we are in the midst of a World | |
[14:25] War III. We're kind of sleepwalking into a gradual | |
[14:30] World War III, step by step in different areas. And | |
[14:35] actually, when you look back at say World War II, the same thing | |
[14:40] happened. So for example, Hitler invaded Poland in 19 | |
[14:45] 39, but the US, UK, and France did | |
[14:50] not immediately start attacking Germany. It took many years. | |
[14:55] And it wasn't until 1944 |
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