Parallelism doesn't beat Amdahl's Law. This is the reason simulations requiring a supercomputer never make their way into laptop CAD applications.
Bootstrapping is a sequence of phases, where you use the speed & parallelism of the current phase to fabricate systems that eliminate the current biggest bottleneck.
We need to perform sequential chemical steps:
- Fast (>1 Hz frequency)
- With high yield (>99%)
Yield limits the building block count of systems you can fabricate. A quick estimate is "complexity = 1 / (1 - yield)".
Limiting sequential frequency bottlenecks of atom placement:
Phase I:
- 18–8640 reactions/day, massive margin of uncertainty
- Bottleneck is detecting new pre-charged tips in inverted mode
- Conventional mode mechanosynthesis is a clever attempt to ignore the problem
- Incremental path is a clever attempt to jump to phase III
- Target frequency is ~1 Hz reaction rate, as good as the mammalian ribosome
Phase IV:
- Throughput is (gas molecules per perfectly sealed container) / (UHV bakeout latency)
- Tradeoff: larger containers store more molecules, but require more latency in Phase I to fabricate
- Requires seamless covalent welding to create perfect vacuum seals
- Requires molecule sorting rotors with quick binding/diffusion, 100% purity, no leakage
- To fabricate this, we need "part assembly" techniques from Phase V. To connect gas canister fragments fabricated in parallel on different Phase I workstations.
Phase III:
- Eliminate the latency to take 1 single reading from a macroscale analog sensor (1 Hz – 1 kHz)
- Make reactions that succeed 99.9999% of the time, removing the need to sense which product was built
- Enable the use of minimally compact replicators (like KSRM) in a distant future phase
Phase X:
- Eliminate the bottleneck of 1 UHV bakeout per gas canister refill
- Shrink the entire UHV SPM system from ~1 meter scale to ~1 μm scale, using atomically precise vacuum system parts
- Continuous flow of liquid feedstock from external canister
Somewhere in the timeline:
- Use nanoscale 3DOF actuators made of molecular machine parts
- Higher resonance frequency (MHz) than macroscale piezos (kHz)
- Smaller volume = more workstations can be packed into the same volume
I didn't know that the ribosome speed is ~1 Hz. Then, in phase 1-3, we will reach the level of living cell technology. Next, we will surpass it, which is encouraging.