This briefing document synthesizes key themes and crucial insights from the provided sources regarding the notorious difficulty of software project estimation. It highlights why accurate forecasting is so challenging, common pitfalls, and strategies to improve the process.
A central theme across the sources is the fundamental difference between software development and more traditional, predictable fields like construction or manufacturing. This distinction is the root cause of estimation difficulties.
- Software is a Design Process: "Software development is, fundamentally, a design process." (r/programming) Unlike building a plane, where the design is largely finalized before construction, writing code is more akin to designing the airplane itself.
- Act of Discovery and Invention: "Software development is -- by definition -- an act of discovery and invent