Created
May 11, 2020 18:38
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Test memory leak
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# Packages ----------------------------------------------------------------- | |
require(data.table, quietly = TRUE) | |
require(future, quietly = TRUE) | |
## Require for data and nowcasting | |
# require(EpiNow, quietly = TRUE) | |
# require(NCoVUtils, quietly = TRUE) | |
## Required for forecasting | |
# require(future.apply, quietly = TRUE) | |
# require(fable, quietly = TRUE) | |
# require(fabletools, quietly = TRUE) | |
# require(feasts, quietly = TRUE) | |
# require(urca, quietly = TRUE) | |
# Get cases --------------------------------------------------------------- | |
NCoVUtils::reset_cache() | |
cases <- NCoVUtils::get_ecdc_cases() | |
cases <- NCoVUtils::format_ecdc_data(cases) | |
cases <- data.table::setDT(cases)[!is.na(region)][, | |
`:=`(local = cases, imported = 0)][, cases := NULL] | |
cases <- data.table::melt(cases, measure.vars = c("local", "imported"), | |
variable.name = "import_status", | |
value.name = "confirm") | |
## Remove regions with data issues | |
cases <- cases[!region %in% c("Faroe Islands", "Sao Tome and Principe", "Tajikistan")] | |
cases <- cases[1:2000] | |
# Get linelist ------------------------------------------------------------ | |
linelist <- | |
data.table::fread("https://raw.githubusercontent.com/epiforecasts/NCoVUtils/master/data-raw/linelist.csv") | |
delays <- linelist[!is.na(date_onset_symptoms)][, | |
.(report_delay = as.numeric(lubridate::dmy(date_confirmation) - | |
as.Date(lubridate::dmy(date_onset_symptoms))))] | |
delays <- delays$report_delay | |
# Set up cores ----------------------------------------------------- | |
if (!interactive()){ | |
options(future.fork.enable = TRUE) | |
} | |
future::plan("multiprocess", | |
gc = TRUE, earlySignal = TRUE) | |
# Fit the reporting delay ------------------------------------------------- | |
delay_defs <- EpiNow::get_dist_def(delays, | |
bootstraps = 10, | |
samples = 50) | |
# Fit the incubation period ----------------------------------------------- | |
## Mean delay | |
exp(EpiNow::covid_incubation_period[1, ]$mean) | |
## Get incubation defs | |
incubation_defs <- EpiNow::lognorm_dist_def(mean = EpiNow::covid_incubation_period[1, ]$mean, | |
mean_sd = EpiNow::covid_incubation_period[1, ]$mean_sd, | |
sd = EpiNow::covid_incubation_period[1, ]$sd, | |
sd_sd = EpiNow::covid_incubation_period[1, ]$sd_sd, | |
max_value = 30, samples = 50) | |
# future::plan("multiprocess", workers = future::availableCores(), | |
# gc = TRUE, earlySignal = TRUE) | |
future::plan("sequential", earlySignal = TRUE, gc = TRUE) | |
# Run pipeline ---------------------------------------------------- | |
EpiNow::regional_rt_pipeline( | |
cases = cases, | |
delay_defs = delay_defs, | |
incubation_defs = incubation_defs, | |
target_folder = "national", | |
case_limit = 60, | |
horizon = 14, | |
nowcast_lag = 8, | |
approx_delay = TRUE, | |
report_forecast = TRUE, | |
forecast_model = function(...) { | |
EpiSoon::fable_model(model = fabletools::combination_model(fable::RW(y ~ drift()), fable::ETS(y), | |
fable::NAIVE(y), | |
cmbn_args = list(weights = "inv_var")), ...) | |
} | |
) | |
future::plan("sequential") | |
# Summarise results ------------------------------------------------------- | |
EpiNow::regional_summary(results_dir = "national", | |
summary_dir = "national-summary", | |
target_date = "latest", | |
region_scale = "Country", | |
csv_region_label = "country", | |
log_cases = TRUE) | |
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New issue detailing progress: epiforecasts/covid#56