gistfile1.java

package com.sampullara.survivor;

import java.security.SecureRandom;
import java.util.Random;

public class Simulator {
  public static void main(String[] args) {
    Random r = new SecureRandom();
    double[] correct = new double[] {
            .9525,
            .7288,
            .9316,
            .9817,
            .9466,
            .5567,
            .9617,
            .8616,
            .8333,
            .5647,
            .9734,
            .8266,
            .9163,
            .6430,
            .7719,
            .4723
    };
    byte[] players = new byte[1000000];
    for (double c : correct) {
      for (int i = 0; i < players.length; i++) {
        byte misses = players[i];
        if (misses == 3) continue;
        if (r.nextDouble() > c) {
          players[i]++;
        }
      }
    }
    int total = 0;
    for (byte misses : players) {
      if (misses == 0) total++;
    }
    System.out.println(((double)total)/1000000d);
  }
}