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duzzonku.md

๋‘๋ฐ”์ด์ซ€๋“์ฟ ํ‚ค ํŠธ๋ Œ๋“œ ๋ถ„์„ ๋ฆฌํฌํŠธ

๋ถ„์„ ๊ธฐ๊ฐ„: 2025๋…„ 10์›” 1์ผ ~ 2026๋…„ 1์›” 6์ผ
๋ฐ์ดํ„ฐ ์†Œ์Šค: [redacted] ๋ถ„์„ ์ผ์ž: 2026๋…„ 1์›” 7์ผ
์ด ๋ถ„์„ ํฌ์ŠคํŠธ: 3,646,244๊ฑด ์ค‘ 4,478๊ฑด ๊ด€๋ จ

1. Executive Summary

ํ•ญ๋ชฉ ๊ฒฐ๊ณผ
ํ˜„์žฌ ์ƒํƒœ ๐Ÿ“ˆ STRONG GROWTH (์„ฑ์žฅ ์ค‘์ด๋‚˜ ์†๋„ ๋‘”ํ™”)
์ „์ฒด ๋น„์ค‘ 0.123% (4,478 / 3,646,244)
์ตœ๊ทผ ๋น„์ค‘ 0.49% (W01 ๊ธฐ์ค€)
Velocity Peak 2025-W52 (12์›” ๋งˆ์ง€๋ง‰ ์ฃผ) - ์ด๋ฏธ ์ง€๋‚จ
Value Peak ์˜ˆ์ƒ 2026-W02~W03 (1์›” ์ค‘์ˆœ) - 1~2์ฃผ ํ›„
Signal Growth ๐ŸŸข / Momentum ๐ŸŸก / Peak Status ๐ŸŸก

ํ•ต์‹ฌ ์ธ์‚ฌ์ดํŠธ: "์„ฑ์žฅ๋ฅ (Velocity)์˜ ํ”ผํฌ๋Š” W52์— ์ง€๋‚ฌ์œผ๋‚˜, ๋น„์ค‘(Share) ์ž์ฒด์˜ ํ”ผํฌ๋Š” 1~2์ฃผ ํ›„๋กœ ์˜ˆ์ƒ"

2. ๋ฐ์ดํ„ฐ ์ˆ˜์ง‘ ๋ฐฉ๋ฒ•๋ก 

2.1 ๊ฒ€์ƒ‰ ์ฟผ๋ฆฌ

[redacted]

2.2 ๊ฒ€์ƒ‰ ํ‚ค์›Œ๋“œ

ํ‚ค์›Œ๋“œ ์œ ํ˜• ์„ค๋ช…
๋‘๋ฐ”์ด์ซ€๋“์ฟ ํ‚ค ์ •์‹ ๋ช…์นญ ์›๋ž˜ ๋ช…์นญ, ์ดˆ๊ธฐ ์‚ฌ์šฉ
๋‘์ซ€์ฟ  ์•ฝ์–ด ๋ฐ”์ด๋Ÿด ํ›„ ํ™•์‚ฐ๋œ ์ค„์ž„๋ง
๋‘๋ฐ”์ด ์ซ€๋“์ฟ ํ‚ค ๋„์–ด์“ฐ๊ธฐ ๋ณ€ํ˜• ๋„์–ด์“ฐ๊ธฐ ํฌํ•จ ๋ฒ„์ „
๋‘๋ฐ”์ด ์ซ€๋“ ์ฟ ํ‚ค ๋„์–ด์“ฐ๊ธฐ ๋ณ€ํ˜• ์™„์ „ ๋ถ„๋ฆฌ ๋ฒ„์ „

2.3 ๊ฒ€์ƒ‰ ํ•„๋“œ

ํ•„๋“œ ํƒ€์ž… ์šฉ๋„
caption.keyword wildcard ๋ณธ๋ฌธ ์ •๋ฐ€ ๊ฒ€์ƒ‰
transcription_text match_phrase ์˜์ƒ ์ž๋ง‰/์Œ์„ฑ ๊ฒ€์ƒ‰
hashtags terms ํ•ด์‹œํƒœ๊ทธ ์ •ํ™• ๋งค์นญ

3. ์ฃผ์ฐจ๋ณ„ ์ถœํ˜„ ๋นˆ๋„

3.1 Raw Count + Normalized (%)

Week Dubai Total % Caption Trans Hashtag Full Name Abbrev
2025-W40 63 191,144 0.033% 57 4 34 58 5
2025-W41 93 244,220 0.038% 86 7 33 89 4
2025-W42 107 304,154 0.035% 95 5 55 94 5
2025-W43 144 318,551 0.045% 112 9 76 113 8
2025-W44 133 329,406 0.040% 126 3 64 126 4
2025-W45 125 268,197 0.047% 120 0 53 116 11
2025-W46 147 265,351 0.055% 138 0 57 134 14
2025-W47 170 265,162 0.064% 166 0 55 156 21
2025-W48 225 256,494 0.088% 221 0 84 197 45
2025-W49 254 259,729 0.098% 251 0 86 217 85
2025-W50 370 257,348 0.144% 366 0 95 276 159
2025-W51 727 256,074 0.284% 725 0 167 479 400
2025-W52 1,081 249,540 0.433% 1,079 0 243 621 759
2026-W01 793 174,516 0.454% 792 0 82 387 631
2026-W02* 46 6,358 0.723% 46 0 6 15 42

*W02๋Š” ๋ถ„์„ ์‹œ์  ๊ธฐ์ค€ ์ง„ํ–‰ ์ค‘ (1์›” 6์ผ๊นŒ์ง€ ๋ฐ์ดํ„ฐ)

3.2 ์„ฑ์žฅ ์ถ”์ด ์‹œ๊ฐํ™”

2025-W40: โ–ˆ                                               0.033%
2025-W41: โ–ˆ                                               0.038%
2025-W42: โ–ˆ                                               0.035%
2025-W43: โ–ˆ                                               0.045%
2025-W44: โ–ˆ                                               0.040%
2025-W45: โ–ˆ                                               0.047%
2025-W46: โ–ˆ                                               0.055%
2025-W47: โ–ˆโ–ˆ                                              0.064%
2025-W48: โ–ˆโ–ˆ                                              0.088%
2025-W49: โ–ˆโ–ˆ                                              0.098%
2025-W50: โ–ˆโ–ˆโ–ˆโ–ˆ                                            0.144%
2025-W51: โ–ˆโ–ˆโ–ˆโ–ˆโ–ˆโ–ˆโ–ˆ                                         0.284%
2025-W52: โ–ˆโ–ˆโ–ˆโ–ˆโ–ˆโ–ˆโ–ˆโ–ˆโ–ˆโ–ˆโ–ˆ                                     0.433%  โ† PEAK VELOCITY
2026-W01: โ–ˆโ–ˆโ–ˆโ–ˆโ–ˆโ–ˆโ–ˆโ–ˆโ–ˆโ–ˆโ–ˆโ–ˆ                                    0.454%
2026-W02: โ–ˆโ–ˆโ–ˆโ–ˆโ–ˆโ–ˆโ–ˆโ–ˆโ–ˆโ–ˆโ–ˆโ–ˆโ–ˆโ–ˆโ–ˆโ–ˆโ–ˆโ–ˆ                              0.723%  (์ง„ํ–‰์ค‘)

4. ํ•„๋“œ๋ณ„ ๋ถ„ํฌ ๋ถ„์„

4.1 ๊ฒ€์ƒ‰ ํ•„๋“œ๋ณ„ Hit Count

Week Caption (%) Transcription (%) Hashtag (%)
2025-W40 90.5% 6.3% 54.0%
2025-W41 92.5% 7.5% 35.5%
2025-W42 88.8% 4.7% 51.4%
2025-W43 77.8% 6.3% 52.8%
2025-W44 94.7% 2.3% 48.1%
2025-W45 96.0% 0.0% 42.4%
2025-W46 93.9% 0.0% 38.8%
2025-W47 97.6% 0.0% 32.4%
2025-W48 98.2% 0.0% 37.3%
2025-W49 98.8% 0.0% 33.9%
2025-W50 98.9% 0.0% 25.7%
2025-W51 99.7% 0.0% 23.0%
2025-W52 99.8% 0.0% 22.5%

์ธ์‚ฌ์ดํŠธ:

  • Caption์ด ์••๋„์  (95%+ ์ดํ›„ ์ฃผ์ฐจ)
  • Transcription์€ ์ดˆ๊ธฐ์—๋งŒ ์กด์žฌ (W40-W44)
  • Hashtag ๋น„์ค‘์€ ๊ฐ์†Œ ์ถ”์„ธ (54% โ†’ 22%)

5. ํ‚ค์›Œ๋“œ๋ณ„ ๋ถ„ํฌ ๋ถ„์„

5.1 ์ •์‹๋ช…์นญ vs ์•ฝ์–ด ์ถ”์ด

Week Full Name Abbrev Abbrev Ratio
2025-W40 58 5 7.9%
2025-W41 89 4 4.3%
2025-W42 94 5 4.7%
2025-W43 113 8 5.6%
2025-W44 126 4 3.0%
2025-W45 116 11 8.8%
2025-W46 134 14 9.5%
2025-W47 156 21 11.9%
2025-W48 197 45 18.6%
2025-W49 217 85 28.1%
2025-W50 276 159 36.6%
2025-W51 479 400 45.5%
2025-W52 621 759 55.0% โ† ์—ญ์ „
2026-W01 387 631 62.0%

5.2 ์•ฝ์–ด ํ™•์‚ฐ ์‹œ๊ฐํ™”

                   Full Name              Abbrev
2025-W40: โ–ˆโ–ˆโ–ˆโ–ˆโ–ˆโ–ˆโ–ˆโ–ˆโ–ˆโ–ˆโ–ˆโ–ˆโ–ˆโ–ˆโ–ˆโ–ˆโ–ˆโ–ˆโ–ˆโ–ˆโ–ˆโ–ˆโ–ˆโ–ˆโ–ˆโ–ˆโ–ˆโ–ˆโ–ˆโ–ˆโ–ˆโ–ˆโ–‘โ–‘โ–‘โ–‘โ–‘โ–‘  92.1%  |  7.9%
2025-W45: โ–ˆโ–ˆโ–ˆโ–ˆโ–ˆโ–ˆโ–ˆโ–ˆโ–ˆโ–ˆโ–ˆโ–ˆโ–ˆโ–ˆโ–ˆโ–ˆโ–ˆโ–ˆโ–ˆโ–ˆโ–ˆโ–ˆโ–ˆโ–ˆโ–ˆโ–ˆโ–ˆโ–ˆโ–ˆโ–ˆโ–ˆโ–ˆโ–ˆโ–‘โ–‘โ–‘โ–‘โ–‘  91.2%  |  8.8%
2025-W48: โ–ˆโ–ˆโ–ˆโ–ˆโ–ˆโ–ˆโ–ˆโ–ˆโ–ˆโ–ˆโ–ˆโ–ˆโ–ˆโ–ˆโ–ˆโ–ˆโ–ˆโ–ˆโ–ˆโ–ˆโ–ˆโ–ˆโ–ˆโ–ˆโ–ˆโ–ˆโ–ˆโ–ˆโ–ˆโ–‘โ–‘โ–‘โ–‘โ–‘โ–‘โ–‘โ–‘โ–‘  81.4%  | 18.6%
2025-W50: โ–ˆโ–ˆโ–ˆโ–ˆโ–ˆโ–ˆโ–ˆโ–ˆโ–ˆโ–ˆโ–ˆโ–ˆโ–ˆโ–ˆโ–ˆโ–ˆโ–ˆโ–ˆโ–ˆโ–ˆโ–ˆโ–ˆโ–ˆโ–ˆโ–ˆโ–ˆโ–‘โ–‘โ–‘โ–‘โ–‘โ–‘โ–‘โ–‘โ–‘โ–‘โ–‘โ–‘  63.4%  | 36.6%
2025-W51: โ–ˆโ–ˆโ–ˆโ–ˆโ–ˆโ–ˆโ–ˆโ–ˆโ–ˆโ–ˆโ–ˆโ–ˆโ–ˆโ–ˆโ–ˆโ–ˆโ–ˆโ–ˆโ–ˆโ–ˆโ–ˆโ–ˆโ–‘โ–‘โ–‘โ–‘โ–‘โ–‘โ–‘โ–‘โ–‘โ–‘โ–‘โ–‘โ–‘โ–‘โ–‘โ–‘  54.5%  | 45.5%
2025-W52: โ–ˆโ–ˆโ–ˆโ–ˆโ–ˆโ–ˆโ–ˆโ–ˆโ–ˆโ–ˆโ–ˆโ–ˆโ–ˆโ–ˆโ–ˆโ–ˆโ–ˆโ–ˆโ–‘โ–‘โ–‘โ–‘โ–‘โ–‘โ–‘โ–‘โ–‘โ–‘โ–‘โ–‘โ–‘โ–‘โ–‘โ–‘โ–‘โ–‘โ–‘โ–‘  45.0%  | 55.0%  โ† CROSSOVER
2026-W01: โ–ˆโ–ˆโ–ˆโ–ˆโ–ˆโ–ˆโ–ˆโ–ˆโ–ˆโ–ˆโ–ˆโ–ˆโ–ˆโ–ˆโ–ˆโ–ˆโ–ˆโ–‘โ–‘โ–‘โ–‘โ–‘โ–‘โ–‘โ–‘โ–‘โ–‘โ–‘โ–‘โ–‘โ–‘โ–‘โ–‘โ–‘โ–‘โ–‘โ–‘โ–‘  38.0%  | 62.0%

์ธ์‚ฌ์ดํŠธ: W52์—์„œ ์•ฝ์–ด(๋‘์ซ€์ฟ )๊ฐ€ ์ •์‹๋ช…์นญ(๋‘๋ฐ”์ด์ซ€๋“์ฟ ํ‚ค)์„ ์ถ”์›” โ†’ ๋ฐ”์ด๋Ÿด ํ™•์‚ฐ์˜ ํ•ต์‹ฌ ์ง€ํ‘œ

6. ์š”์ผ๋ณ„ ๋ถ„ํฌ

์š”์ผ Dubai Total %
Mon 669 547,350 0.122%
Tue 652 538,492 0.121%
Wed 714 599,341 0.119%
Thu 619 567,275 0.109%
Fri 651 537,132 0.121%
Sat 592 404,980 0.146%
Sun 581 451,674 0.129%

์ธ์‚ฌ์ดํŠธ:

  • ์ฃผ๋ง(ํ† /์ผ)์— ๋น„์ค‘ ๋†’์Œ (0.129~0.146% vs ํ‰์ผ 0.109~0.122%)
  • ํ† ์š”์ผ์ด ๊ฐ€์žฅ ๋†’์€ ๋น„์ค‘ (0.146%)
  • ๋ชฉ์š”์ผ์ด ๊ฐ€์žฅ ๋‚ฎ์€ ๋น„์ค‘ (0.109%)

7. Week-over-Week DoD ๋ถ„์„

7.1 ์ฃผ๊ฐ„ ํ‰๊ท  DoD ๋ณ€ํ™”์œจ

Week Avg DoD (%) Visual
2025-W41 +7.7% โ–ˆ
2025-W42 -3.0% โ–‘
2025-W43 +34.1% โ–ˆโ–ˆโ–ˆโ–ˆ
2025-W44 -1.4% โ–‘
2025-W45 +16.1% โ–ˆโ–ˆ
2025-W46 +22.3% โ–ˆโ–ˆ
2025-W47 +18.5% โ–ˆโ–ˆ
2025-W48 +39.4% โ–ˆโ–ˆโ–ˆโ–ˆ
2025-W49 +17.8% โ–ˆโ–ˆ
2025-W50 +49.9% โ–ˆโ–ˆโ–ˆโ–ˆโ–ˆ
2025-W51 +101.7% โ–ˆโ–ˆโ–ˆโ–ˆโ–ˆโ–ˆโ–ˆโ–ˆโ–ˆโ–ˆ โ† PEAK DoD
2025-W52 +54.9% โ–ˆโ–ˆโ–ˆโ–ˆโ–ˆ
2026-W01 +13.9% โ–ˆ

8. Growth Rate Slope Analysis (3๋‹จ ๋ฏธ๋ถ„ ๋ถ„์„)

8.1 ์šฉ์–ด ์ •์˜

Term ์ •์˜ ์ˆ˜์‹ ์˜๋ฏธ
Value ์›๋ณธ ๋น„์ค‘ V(t) ํ˜„์žฌ Share of Voice
Velocity 1์ฐจ ๋ฏธ๋ถ„ dV/dt = V(t) - V(t-1) ์„ฑ์žฅ๋ฅ 
Acceleration 2์ฐจ ๋ฏธ๋ถ„ dยฒV/dtยฒ = Vel(t) - Vel(t-1) ์„ฑ์žฅ๋ฅ ์˜ ๋ณ€ํ™”
Jerk 3์ฐจ ๋ฏธ๋ถ„ dยณV/dtยณ = Acc(t) - Acc(t-1) ๊ฐ€์†๋„์˜ ๋ณ€ํ™”

8.2 ํ˜„์žฌ ์ƒํƒœ (W01 ๊ธฐ์ค€)

โ”Œโ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”
โ”‚  ๐Ÿ“Š CURRENT STATE (as of 2026-W01)                               โ”‚
โ”œโ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”ค
โ”‚  Value (Share):     0.490%                                       โ”‚
โ”‚  Velocity:          +0.0140 (์–‘์ˆ˜ = ์„ฑ์žฅ ์ค‘)                      โ”‚
โ”‚  Acceleration:      -0.0019 (์Œ์ˆ˜ = ๋‘”ํ™” ์‹œ์ž‘)                    โ”‚
โ”œโ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”ค
โ”‚  STATUS: ๐Ÿ“ˆ STRONG GROWTH                                        โ”‚
โ”‚  "Velocity ์–‘์ˆ˜, Acceleration ์•ฝํ•œ ์Œ์ˆ˜"                          โ”‚
โ””โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”˜

8.3 ์ฃผ๊ฐ„ Metrics ์ถ”์ด

Week % Velocity Acceleration Phase
2025-W40 0.032% +0.0003 +0.0011 INCUBATION
2025-W41 0.038% +0.0003 -0.0006 INCUBATION
2025-W42 0.034% -0.0001 +0.0006 INCUBATION
2025-W43 0.043% +0.0013 -0.0003 INCUBATION
2025-W44 0.041% -0.0006 +0.0002 INCUBATION
2025-W45 0.044% +0.0013 +0.0002 INCUBATION
2025-W46 0.055% +0.0009 -0.0004 INCUBATION
2025-W47 0.060% +0.0013 +0.0002 ACCELERATION
2025-W48 0.074% +0.0039 +0.0005 ACCELERATION
2025-W49 0.097% +0.0016 +0.0001 ACCELERATION
2025-W50 0.126% +0.0076 +0.0010 EXPLOSIVE
2025-W51 0.221% +0.0203 +0.0014 EXPLOSIVE
2025-W52 0.371% +0.0219 -0.0005 PEAK VELOCITY
2026-W01 0.480% +0.0103 +0.0006 DECELERATING UP

8.4 Slope Regression ๋ถ„์„

8.4.1 Value Slope (๋น„์ค‘ ๋ณ€ํ™”์œจ)

๊ณ„์‚ฐ์‹: Linear Regression on weekly %
y = ax + b, where x = week_index, y = share_pct
Metric Value Interpretation
Value Slope +0.0323 ์ฃผ๋‹น +0.032%p ์„ฑ์žฅ
Rยฒ 0.693 ๋ชจ๋ธ ์ ํ•ฉ๋„ 69%

8.4.2 Velocity Slope (์„ฑ์žฅ๋ฅ  ๋ณ€ํ™”์œจ)

๊ณ„์‚ฐ์‹: Linear Regression on weekly velocity
y = ax + b, where x = week_index, y = velocity
Period Vel Slope Rยฒ Interpretation
์ „์ฒด (W40-W01) +0.0012 0.572 ์ „๋ฐ˜์  ๊ฐ€์† ์ถ”์„ธ
์ตœ๊ทผ 4์ฃผ (W50-W01) -0.0040 0.714 ์ตœ๊ทผ ๊ฐ์† ์ „ํ™˜

ํ•ด์„: ์ „์ฒด ๊ธฐ๊ฐ„์œผ๋กœ๋Š” ๊ฐ€์† ์ถ”์„ธ์ง€๋งŒ, ์ตœ๊ทผ 4์ฃผ๊ฐ„์€ ๊ฐ์† ์ค‘

8.5 Peak Analysis

Metric Peak Week Peak Value
Velocity Peak 2025-W52 +0.0219
DoD Peak 2025-W51 +101.7%
Value Peak TBD (์˜ˆ์ƒ W02-W03) ~0.5-0.7%

9. Phase Transition Diagram

    Value (Share of Voice)
      โ†‘
      โ”‚                              โ•ญโ”€โ”€โ”€ Value Peak ์˜ˆ์ƒ (W02-W03)
      โ”‚                             โ•ฑ
      โ”‚                           โ•ฑ  โ† ํ˜„์žฌ ์œ„์น˜ (W01)
      โ”‚                         โ•ฑ
      โ”‚                       โ•ฑ  โ† Velocity Peak (W52)
      โ”‚                    โ•ฑ
      โ”‚               โ•ฑ         โ† Acceleration Peak (W51)
      โ”‚         โ•ฑ
      โ”‚    โ•ฑ
      โ”‚โ•ฑ
      โ””โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ”€โ†’ Time
       W40    W45    W50    W52   W01   W02+
       
       [INCUBATION] [ACCEL] [EXPLOSIVE] [DECEL] [PEAK?]

Phase ์ •์˜

Phase ๊ธฐ๊ฐ„ ํŠน์ง•
INCUBATION W40-W46 ๋Š๋ฆฐ ์„ฑ์žฅ, velocity < 0.01
ACCELERATION W47-W49 ์„ฑ์žฅ ๊ฐ€์†, acceleration > 0
EXPLOSIVE W50-W52 ํญ๋ฐœ์  ์„ฑ์žฅ, ์ฃผ๋‹น +50~100%
DECELERATION W01~ ์„ฑ์žฅ๋ฅ  ๋‘”ํ™” ์‹œ์ž‘, acceleration < 0
PEAK (์˜ˆ์ƒ) W02-W03 ๋น„์ค‘ ์ •์ 
DECLINE (์˜ˆ์ƒ) W04+ ํ•˜๋ฝ ์ „ํ™˜

10. ์ผ๋ณ„ ์ƒ์„ธ ๋ฐ์ดํ„ฐ (์ตœ๊ทผ 14์ผ)

Date Dubai Total %
2025-12-24 168 41,407 0.406%
2025-12-25 132 34,990 0.377%
2025-12-26 148 36,089 0.410%
2025-12-27 168 27,397 0.613%
2025-12-28 171 29,905 0.572%
2025-12-29 173 37,766 0.458%
2025-12-30 188 38,594 0.487%
2025-12-31 169 45,331 0.373%
2026-01-01 86 22,969 0.374%
2026-01-02 90 16,251 0.554%
2026-01-03 51 7,671 0.665%
2026-01-04 36 5,934 0.607%
2026-01-05 42 5,518 0.761%
2026-01-06* 4 820 0.488%

*1์›” 3์ผ ์ดํ›„ ๋ฐ์ดํ„ฐ๋Š” ์ˆ˜์ง‘ lag์œผ๋กœ ๋ถˆ์™„์ „ (๋ถ„์„ ์‹œ ์ฃผ์˜)

11. Key Insights

11.1 ํŠธ๋ Œ๋“œ ํŠน์„ฑ

  1. ๊ธ‰๋“ฑ ์‹œ์ : W48(11์›” ํ•˜์ˆœ)๋ถ€ํ„ฐ ๊ธ‰๊ฒฉํžˆ ์ฆ๊ฐ€, W51-W52(12์›” ์ค‘์ˆœ~๋ง)์— ํ”ผํฌ
  2. ์•ฝ์–ด ํ™•์‚ฐ: W50 ์ดํ›„ "๋‘์ซ€์ฟ "๊ฐ€ "๋‘๋ฐ”์ด์ซ€๋“์ฟ ํ‚ค" ์ถ”์›” โ†’ ๋ฐ”์ด๋Ÿด ํ™•์‚ฐ ์ง€ํ‘œ
  3. ๋น„์ค‘ ์„ฑ์žฅ: W40(0.033%) โ†’ W52(0.433%) โ†’ W01(0.454%) = ~14๋ฐฐ ์ฆ๊ฐ€
  4. ์š”์ผ ํŒจํ„ด: ์ฃผ๋ง(ํ† /์ผ)์— ๋น„์ค‘ ๋†’์Œ - ๋””์ €ํŠธ/๋ฒ ์ดํ‚น ์ปจํ…์ธ  ํŠน์„ฑ

11.2 Signal Summary

Indicator Status Description
Growth ๐ŸŸข Velocity still positive (+0.014)
Momentum ๐ŸŸก Acceleration near zero (-0.002)
Peak Status ๐ŸŸก Approaching (1-2 weeks)

12. Conclusion

12.1 Bottom Line

"์„ฑ์žฅ๋ฅ (Velocity)์˜ ํ”ผํฌ๋Š” W52์— ์ง€๋‚ฌ์œผ๋‚˜, ๋น„์ค‘(Share) ์ž์ฒด์˜ ํ”ผํฌ๋Š” 1~2์ฃผ ํ›„๋กœ ์˜ˆ์ƒ"

๋น„์œ ํ•˜์ž๋ฉด: ์ฐจ๊ฐ€ ์•„์ง ์•ž์œผ๋กœ ๊ฐ€๊ณ  ์žˆ์ง€๋งŒ, ๋ธŒ๋ ˆ์ดํฌ๋ฅผ ๋ฐŸ๊ธฐ ์‹œ์ž‘ํ•œ ์ƒํƒœ

12.2 Actionable Insights

์‹œ์  ๊ถŒ์žฅ ์•ก์…˜
ํ˜„์žฌ (W01-W02) ํŠธ๋ Œ๋“œ ๋ชจ๋‹ˆํ„ฐ๋ง ์ง€์†, ์ปจํ…์ธ  ์ƒ์‚ฐ ์œ ์ง€
Peak Zone (W02-W03) ์ตœ๋Œ€ ๋…ธ์ถœ ํƒ€์ด๋ฐ, ๋งˆ์ผ€ํŒ… ์ง‘์ค‘
Post-Peak (W04+) ๋‹ค์Œ ํŠธ๋ Œ๋“œ ํƒ์ƒ‰, ์ „ํ™˜ ์ค€๋น„

12.3 ํ•œ๊ณ„์ 

  • 2026๋…„ 1์›” 3์ผ ์ดํ›„ ๋ฐ์ดํ„ฐ๋Š” ์ˆ˜์ง‘ lag์œผ๋กœ ๋ถˆ์™„์ „
  • ์™ธ๋ถ€ ์š”์ธ(๋‰ด์Šค, ์—ฐ์˜ˆ์ธ ์–ธ๊ธ‰ ๋“ฑ) ๋ฏธ๋ฐ˜์˜
  • ๊ณ„์ ˆ์„ฑ(์—ฐ๋ง์—ฐ์‹œ) ํšจ๊ณผ ๋ถ„๋ฆฌ ํ•„์š”

Appendix: Raw JSON Data

๋ถ„์„์— ์‚ฌ์šฉ๋œ ์›๋ณธ ๋ฐ์ดํ„ฐ: /tmp/dubai_cookie_analysis.json

A.1 Metadata

{
  "analysis_date": "2026-01-07T11:44:38.007896",
  "data_range": "2025-10-01 ~ 2026-01-06",
  "total_posts": 3646244,
  "dubai_posts": 4478,
  "overall_share_pct": 0.123,
  "search_method": "wildcard(caption.keyword) + match_phrase(transcription_text) + terms(hashtags)",
  "keywords": ["๋‘๋ฐ”์ด์ซ€๋“์ฟ ํ‚ค", "๋‘์ซ€์ฟ ", "๋‘๋ฐ”์ด ์ซ€๋“์ฟ ํ‚ค", "๋‘๋ฐ”์ด ์ซ€๋“ ์ฟ ํ‚ค"]
}

A.2 Regression Summary

{
  "value_slope": 0.0323,
  "value_r2": 0.693,
  "velocity_slope": 0.00125,
  "velocity_r2": 0.572,
  "velocity_slope_recent": -0.00398,
  "velocity_r2_recent": 0.714
}

Generated by Trend Analysis Pipeline
Last Updated: 2026-01-07

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