Created
September 12, 2011 23:47
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HPD Plotting for Beta-Binomial model
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require(plyr) | |
randHDR <- function(df = function(x) {dbeta(x, 1, 1)}, | |
getRand = function(n) {rbeta(n, 1, 1)}, | |
p = 0.05, | |
n = 1000) { | |
# Density quantile approach of Hyndman (1996) | |
# Compute HDR level | |
xs <- getRand(n) | |
ps <- sort(aaply(xs, 1, df)) | |
fj <- ps[ceiling(p*n)] | |
# Find endpoints when crossing level fj | |
inhdr = FALSE | |
ep <- c() | |
for (x in sort(xs)) { | |
if (df(x) > fj) { | |
if (!inhdr) { | |
ep <- c(ep, x) | |
inhdr <- TRUE | |
} | |
} else { | |
if (inhdr) { | |
ep <- c(ep, x) | |
inhdr <- FALSE | |
} | |
} | |
} | |
if (inhdr) { | |
ep <- c(ep, x) | |
} | |
# If there are no crosses, this must be approximately uniform | |
if (length(ep) != 0) { | |
return(ep) | |
} else { | |
return(c(min(xs), max(xs))) | |
} | |
} | |
plotPriorBeta <- function(flips, a0, b0) { | |
a <- a0 | |
b <- b0 | |
N = length(flips) | |
plot(c(0, 1), c(1, N), col = 0) | |
i = 1 | |
n = 80 | |
i <- i + 1 | |
for (flip in flips) { | |
if (!flip) { | |
a <- a+1 | |
} | |
b <- b+1 | |
ints = randHDR(function(x) dbeta(x, a, b), function(n) rbeta(n, a, b), n = n) | |
a_ply(t(array(ints, c(2, length(ints)/2))), 1, | |
function(xs) {lines(x = xs, y = c(i, i), col = "red", lwd = 2)}) | |
points(x = c(a/(a+b)), y = i, col = "black", cex = 0.3, lwd = 3) | |
i <- i + 1 | |
} | |
ints = randHDR(function(x) dbeta(x, a, b), function(n) rbeta(n, a, b), n = n) | |
a_ply(t(array(ints, c(2, length(ints)/2))), 1, | |
function(xs) {lines(x = xs, y = c(i, i), col = "black", lwd = 3)}) | |
points(x = c(a/(a+b)), y = i, col = "green", cex = 0.3, lwd = 3) | |
ints = randHDR(function(x) dbeta(x, a0, b0), function(n) rbeta(n, a0, b0), n = n) | |
a_ply(t(array(ints, c(2, length(ints)/2))), 1, | |
function(xs) {lines(x = xs, y = c(1, 1), col = "black", lwd = 3)}) | |
points(x = c(a0/(a0+b0)), y = 1, col = "green", cex = 0.3, lwd = 3) | |
} | |
# Sample some flips | |
p = 0.65 | |
xs = runif(200) < p | |
plotPriorBeta(xs, 1, 1) |
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