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April 4, 2021 21:58
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library(readr) | |
library(suncalc) | |
library(dplyr) | |
library(ggplot2) | |
library(ggthemes) | |
library(lubridate) | |
quake10yr <- c("https://quakesearch.geonet.org.nz/csv?bbox=165.5420,-49.1817,-178.9893,-32.2871&minmag=0&mindepth=0&startdate=2020-02-01&enddate=2021-03-01T0:00:00", | |
"https://quakesearch.geonet.org.nz/csv?bbox=165.5420,-49.1817,-178.9893,-32.2871&minmag=0&mindepth=0&startdate=2019-02-01&enddate=2020-02-01", | |
"https://quakesearch.geonet.org.nz/csv?bbox=165.5420,-49.1817,-178.9893,-32.2871&minmag=0&mindepth=0&startdate=2018-01-01&enddate=2019-02-01", | |
"https://quakesearch.geonet.org.nz/csv?bbox=165.5420,-49.1817,-178.9893,-32.2871&minmag=0&mindepth=0&startdate=2017-03-01&enddate=2018-01-01", | |
"https://quakesearch.geonet.org.nz/csv?bbox=165.5420,-49.1817,-178.9893,-32.2871&minmag=0&mindepth=0&startdate=2016-11-01&enddate=2017-03-01", | |
"https://quakesearch.geonet.org.nz/csv?bbox=165.5420,-49.1817,-178.9893,-32.2871&minmag=0&mindepth=0&startdate=2015-11-01&enddate=2016-11-01", | |
"https://quakesearch.geonet.org.nz/csv?bbox=165.5420,-49.1817,-178.9893,-32.2871&minmag=0&mindepth=0&startdate=2014-10-01&enddate=2015-11-01", | |
"https://quakesearch.geonet.org.nz/csv?bbox=165.5420,-49.1817,-178.9893,-32.2871&minmag=0&mindepth=0&startdate=2013-10-01&enddate=2014-10-01", | |
"https://quakesearch.geonet.org.nz/csv?bbox=165.5420,-49.1817,-178.9893,-32.2871&minmag=0&mindepth=0&startdate=2012-11-01&enddate=2013-10-01", | |
"https://quakesearch.geonet.org.nz/csv?bbox=165.5420,-49.1817,-178.9893,-32.2871&minmag=0&mindepth=0&startdate=2011-10-01&enddate=2012-11-01", | |
"https://quakesearch.geonet.org.nz/csv?bbox=165.5420,-49.1817,-178.9893,-32.2871&minmag=0&mindepth=0&startdate=2011-03-01T0:00:00&enddate=2011-10-01") | |
if(!file.exists("eq10yrs.csv")){ | |
q_list <- lapply(quake10yr, read_csv, col_types = cols(.default = col_character())) | |
q_df <- bind_rows(q_list) | |
write.csv(q_df, file = "eq10yrs.csv",row.names = FALSE) | |
} | |
# catalogue in UTC, so is suncalc so it is all good | |
eq <- read_csv("eq10yrs.csv", | |
col_types=cols( | |
.default = col_double(), | |
publicid = col_character(), | |
eventtype = col_character(), | |
origintime = col_datetime(format = ""), | |
modificationtime = col_datetime(format = ""), | |
magnitudetype = col_character(), | |
depthtype = col_character(), | |
evaluationmethod = col_character(), | |
evaluationstatus = col_character(), | |
evaluationmode = col_character(), | |
earthmodel = col_character())) %>% | |
filter(is.na(eventtype) | eventtype == "earthquake") | |
mean_lat <- mean(eq$latitude) | |
mean_lon <- mean(eq$longitude) | |
time_seq <- seq.POSIXt(from = ymd_hms("2011-3-1 00:00:00"), | |
to = ymd_hms("2021-3-1 00:00:00"), | |
by = "5 mins") | |
earthdf <- data.frame(date = time_seq, | |
lat = rep(mean_lat, length(time_seq)), | |
lon = rep(mean_lon, length(time_seq))) | |
moon <- getMoonPosition(data=earthdf, keep=c("altitude","azimuth")) | |
sun <- getSunlightPosition(data=earthdf, keep=c("altitude","azimuth")) | |
# if azimuth < 0 the body is in the east | |
# so using that to represent body position as 0 dawn 180 dusk | |
sunny = sun %>% mutate(ew = ifelse(azimuth < 0, "east", "west"), | |
daymins = hour(date) * 60 + minute(date), | |
degrees = altitude * 180/pi, | |
sun_angle = case_when(ew == "east" & degrees >= 0 ~ degrees, | |
ew == "east" & degrees < 0 ~ 360 - abs(degrees), | |
ew == "west" & degrees > 0 ~ 180 - degrees, | |
ew == "west" & degrees <= 0 ~ 180 + abs(degrees)), | |
sun_angle=round(sun_angle)) %>% | |
arrange(date) | |
moony = moon %>% mutate(ew = ifelse(azimuth < 0, "east", "west"), | |
daymins = hour(date) * 60 + minute(date), | |
degrees = altitude * 180/pi, | |
moon_angle = case_when(ew == "east" & degrees >= 0 ~ degrees, | |
ew == "east" & degrees < 0 ~ 360 - abs(degrees), | |
ew == "west" & degrees > 0 ~ 180 - degrees, | |
ew == "west" & degrees <= 0 ~ 180 + abs(degrees)), | |
moon_angle=round(moon_angle)) %>% | |
arrange(date) | |
space <- sunny %>% select(date, sun_angle) | |
space$moon_angle <- moony$moon_angle | |
eqs <- eq %>% mutate(date = round_date(origintime, "5 mins")) %>% | |
select(date) %>% | |
inner_join(space, by="date") %>% | |
count(sun_angle, moon_angle) %>% | |
rename(quakes=n) | |
all <- space %>% | |
count(sun_angle, moon_angle) %>% | |
rename(times=n) %>% | |
left_join(eqs, by=c("sun_angle","moon_angle")) %>% | |
mutate(quakes = ifelse(is.na(quakes), 0, quakes), | |
expected = round(times * sum(quakes) / sum(times)), | |
rate= case_when(quakes > expected ~ "above average", | |
quakes == expected ~ "average", | |
quakes < expected ~ "below average"), | |
rate = factor(rate, levels=c("above average", "average", "below average"))) | |
grf <- all %>% | |
ggplot(aes(x=sun_angle, y=moon_angle, fill=rate)) + coord_fixed() + | |
scale_fill_viridis_d(name="Rate") + geom_tile() + theme_tufte() + | |
labs(title = "Rate of 223115 New Zealand earthquakes relative\nto daily sun and moon positon at event time. | |
Angle relative to epicentre 0: east horizon, 90: vertical", x="Sun Angle", y="Moon Angle", | |
caption = "Source: Geonet Earthquake Catalogue 2011-03-01 to 2021-03-01") + | |
scale_x_continuous(breaks = c(0,90,180,270,360)) + | |
scale_y_continuous(breaks = c(0,90,180,270,360)) + | |
annotate("segment", x=370, xend=370, y=180, yend=360) + | |
annotate("segment", y=370, yend=370, x=180, xend=360) | |
ggsave(filename="~/Desktop/ouput.png", plot=grf, dpi=72, units="in", | |
height = 5.556, width=9.877) | |
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