Created
January 17, 2012 17:37
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currencies and US10y
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require(quantmod) | |
require(colorRamps) | |
#get currency data from the FED FRED data series | |
getSymbols("DEXKOUS",src="FRED") #load Korea | |
getSymbols("DEXMAUS",src="FRED") #load Malaysia | |
getSymbols("DEXSIUS",src="FRED") #load Singapore | |
getSymbols("DEXTAUS",src="FRED") #load Taiwan | |
getSymbols("DEXCHUS",src="FRED") #load China | |
getSymbols("DEXJPUS",src="FRED") #load Japan | |
getSymbols("DEXTHUS",src="FRED") #load Thailand | |
getSymbols("DEXBZUS",src="FRED") #load Brazil | |
getSymbols("DEXMXUS",src="FRED") #load Mexico | |
getSymbols("DEXINUS",src="FRED") #load India | |
getSymbols("DGS10",src="FRED") #load US 10y yield | |
currencies<-merge(DEXKOUS,DEXMAUS,DEXSIUS,DEXTAUS, | |
DEXCHUS,DEXJPUS,DEXTHUS,DEXBZUS,DEXMXUS,DEXINUS) | |
colnames(currencies)<-c("Korea","Malaysia","Singapore","Taiwan", | |
"China","Japan","Thailand","Brazil","Mexico","India") | |
currencies<-na.omit(currencies) | |
currencies.roc<-currencies/lag(currencies)-1 | |
currencies.roc[1,]<-0 | |
US10y.roc <- diff(DGS10, lag=1) | |
US10y.roc[1,] <- 0 | |
curr.10y <- na.omit(merge(currencies.roc,US10y.roc)) | |
#chart.Correlation(curr.10y) | |
#get rolling correlation of currencies versus the US 10y yield | |
corr <- as.xts(apply(curr.10y[,1:10],MARGIN=2,FUN=runCor,y=curr.10y[,11],n=500), | |
order.by=index(curr.10y)) | |
#order correlations by their ending value | |
corr <- corr[, order(t(last(corr)),decreasing=TRUE)] | |
#thanks Joshua Ulrich for showing me how to do this | |
#stuff we reuse | |
labs=colnames(corr) | |
colors=ygobb(15)[3:12] | |
#make plot | |
layout(matrix(1:2, 2),heights=c(8,5)) | |
par(mar=c(2,4,4,5),oma=c(2,1,2,0)) | |
plot.zoo(corr,col=colors,lwd=2,screens=1,xlab=NA,ylab="Rolling Correlation",las=1) | |
#this is the primary change Joshua Ulrich made | |
#to allow a much nicer labelling of points on a right vertical margin | |
axis(4, coredata(last(corr)),labels=FALSE) | |
mtext(labs, 4, at=coredata(last(corr)), col=colors,las=1,line=1,cex=0.5) | |
title(main="Foreign Currencies to US10y Yield | |
Rolling 500 day (2-year) Correlation",cex.main=1.25, | |
adj=0,outer=TRUE,line=-2) | |
par(mar=c(4,4,2,4)) | |
barplot(last(corr),las=1,beside=TRUE,col=colors, | |
names.arg=labs, ylab=NA, | |
ylim=c(-0.5,0.5),cex.names=0.7,border="gray70") | |
title(main="Latest 500-day (2-year) Correlation", | |
cex.main=0.8,adj=0) |
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