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June 7, 2019 03:40
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Perverting Burris-Hoff confidence intervals for fun and profit.
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## https://doi.org/10.1093/jssam/smz010 | |
make.s<-function(mu, sigma,tau2,alpha){ | |
g<-make.g(alpha) | |
invg<-make.ginv(alpha) | |
function(theta) invg(2*sigma*(theta-mu)/tau2) | |
} | |
make.g<-function(alpha){ | |
function(omega) qnorm(alpha*omega)-qnorm(alpha*(1-omega)) | |
} | |
make.ginv<-function(alpha){ | |
g<-function(omega) qnorm(alpha*omega)-qnorm(alpha*(1-omega)) | |
function(x){ | |
f<-function(omega) g(omega)-x | |
if (x<0) { | |
uniroot(f,c(pnorm(x/alpha),0.5))$root | |
} else if (x==0) { | |
0.5 | |
} else | |
uniroot(f,c(0.5,pnorm(x/alpha)))$root | |
} | |
} | |
ci<-function(y, sigma, s,alpha){ | |
f_low<-function(theta) theta-(y+sigma*qnorm(alpha*(1-s(theta)))) | |
f_up<-function(theta) (y+sigma*qnorm(1-alpha*s(theta)))-theta | |
low0<-y+qnorm(alpha/2)*sigma | |
low1<-low0 | |
low<-if (f_low(low1)>0){ | |
while(f_low(low1)>0) low1<- y+(low1-y)*2 | |
uniroot(f_low,c(low1,low0))$root | |
} else{ | |
uniroot(f_low,c(low0,y))$root | |
} | |
hi0<-y+qnorm(1-alpha/2)*sigma | |
hi1<-hi0 | |
high<-if (f_up(hi1)>0){ | |
while(f_up(hi1)>0) hi1<- y+(hi1-y)*2 | |
uniroot(f_up,c(hi0,hi1))$root | |
} else{ | |
uniroot(f_up,c(y,hi0))$root | |
} | |
c(low,high) | |
} | |
set.seed(as.Date("2019-6-7")) | |
s<-make.s(1,1,1,.1) | |
rr<-replicate(200,{a<-rnorm(1);c(a,ci(a,1, s, 0.1))}) | |
cover<-(rr[2,]<0) & (rr[3,]>0) | |
plot(1:200, rr[1,],ylim=range(rr),pch=19,col=ifelse(cover,"grey","red")) | |
segments(1:200,y0=rr[2,],y1=rr[3,],col=ifelse(cover,"grey","red")) | |
abline(h=0,lty=2) |
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