easy bayesian AB.py

from scipy.stats import beta
import numpy as np
from calc_prob import calc_prob_between

#This is the known data: imporessions and conversions for the Control and Test set
imps_ctrl,convs_ctrl=16500, 30 
imps_test, convs_test=17000, 50

#here we create the Beta functions for the two sets
a_C, b_C = convs_ctrl+1, imps_ctrl-convs_ctrl+1
beta_C = beta(a_C, b_C)
a_T, b_T = convs_test+1, imps_test-convs_test+1
beta_T = beta(a_T, b_T)

#calculating the lift
lift=(beta_T.mean()-beta_C.mean())/beta_C.mean()

#calculating the probability for Test to be better than Control
prob=calc_prob_between(beta_T, beta_C)

print (f"Test option lift Conversion Rates by {lift*100:2.2f}% with {prob*100:2.1f}% probability.")
#output: Test option lift Conversion Rates by 59.68% with 98.2% probability.

~/calc_prob.py in <module>
     36   {
     37    "cell_type": "code",
---> 38    "execution_count": null,
     39    "metadata": {},
     40    "outputs": [],

NameError: name 'null' is not defined

Do you know what could be the problem here?

yes: null is Java, in Python you can use None