Kesselman List of Estimative Words (fig 5.2) (gwern finds this usefull for LLMs and so do I). These are probability words calibrated to meaning where the general public understand them to be, with ambiouso words avboided.
Words of estimative probability (WEP or WEPs) are terms used by intelligence analysts in the production of analytic reports to convey the likelihood of a future event occurring.
| Word | Certainty |
|---|---|
| Almost Certain | 86-99% |
| Highly Likely | 71-85% |