Prediction Result: Will Georgia Tech win the 2026 College Football National Championship?

Prediction ID: 001-558908 Experiment: [001] Baseline OpenRouter Prediction Market: Will Georgia Tech win the 2026 College Football National Championship? Market ID: 558908

Market Details

Question: Will Georgia Tech win the 2026 College Football National Championship?
Description: This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed team wins the 2026 College Football National Championship. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If at any point it becomes impossible for this team to win the College Football National Championship based on the rules of the NCAA (e.g. they are eliminated in the playoff bracket), this market will resolve immediately to “No”.

The primary resolution source will be official information from NCAA Football, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

End Date: 2026-01-20T00:00:00Z
Active: Yes

Prediction Results

{
  "marketId": "558908",
  "response": "```json\n{\n  \"marketId\": \"558908\",\n  \"question\": \"Will Georgia Tech win the 2026 College Football National Championship?\",\n  \"prediction\": {\n    \"outcome\": \"NO\",\n    \"confidence\": 85,\n    \"probability\": 10,\n    \"reasoning\": \"Georgia Tech has historically been a competitive team, but winning the national championship in 2026 seems unlikely based on current information. Recent performance trends, recruiting rankings, and competition from other powerhouse programs such as Alabama, Clemson, and Ohio State reduce the probability of Georgia Tech winning. While it's feasible for any team to improve significantly over a few years, the odds are against Georgia Tech given the strength of other programs and their current standing in NCAA football. Additionally, while Georgia Tech has had success in the past, it has not been a consistent top contender in recent years.\"\n  },\n  \"keyFactors\": [\n    \"Current performance and ranking of Georgia Tech in NCAA football\",\n    \"Recruiting class rankings and future talent acquisition\",\n    \"Strength and performance of competing teams\",\n    \"Historical performance in national championships\"\n  ],\n  \"dataQuality\": \"MEDIUM\",\n  \"lastUpdated\": \"2023-10-05T12:00:00Z\"\n}\n```",
  "model": "openai/gpt-4o",
  "prediction": {
    "marketId": "558908",
    "question": "Will Georgia Tech win the 2026 College Football National Championship?",
    "prediction": {
      "outcome": "NO",
      "confidence": 85,
      "probability": 10,
      "reasoning": "Georgia Tech has historically been a competitive team, but winning the national championship in 2026 seems unlikely based on current information. Recent performance trends, recruiting rankings, and competition from other powerhouse programs such as Alabama, Clemson, and Ohio State reduce the probability of Georgia Tech winning. While it's feasible for any team to improve significantly over a few years, the odds are against Georgia Tech given the strength of other programs and their current standing in NCAA football. Additionally, while Georgia Tech has had success in the past, it has not been a consistent top contender in recent years."
    },
    "keyFactors": [
      "Current performance and ranking of Georgia Tech in NCAA football",
      "Recruiting class rankings and future talent acquisition",
      "Strength and performance of competing teams",
      "Historical performance in national championships"
    ],
    "dataQuality": "MEDIUM",
    "lastUpdated": "2023-10-05T12:00:00Z"
  }
}

Experiment Configuration

Experiment ID: 001
Experiment Name: Baseline OpenRouter Prediction
Success: Yes

Generated with BetterAI Engine Experiment: 001 | Baseline OpenRouter Prediction

wesfloyd/prediction-001-558908.md

Select an option