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April 6, 2020 15:00
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Simple, non-technical stationary/non-stationary process examples
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| #ADF tests for both come from the function afd.test() in tseries. The means are just simple means over the ranges I chose. | |
| ####Stationary Process#### | |
| set.seed(42) | |
| y<- w<- rnorm(1000) | |
| for (t in 2:1000) { | |
| y[t]<- 0.9*y[t-1]+w[t] | |
| } | |
| #Vector for line segments. | |
| xy.mat<- cbind(c(0,450,225,750,600,1000),c(6.5,6.5,7.5,7.5,8.5,8.5)) | |
| ##Plot the series, with annotations for means and the Dicky-Fuller Test## | |
| plot(1:length(y),y,xlab="t",ylab=expression(y[t]),type="l",ylim=c(-8,10),main="Stationary Time Series") | |
| points(xy.mat,pch=20,col="blue",cex=0.75) | |
| for(i in c(1,3,5)) {segments(x0=xy.mat[i,1],y0=xy.mat[i,2],x1=xy.mat[i+1],lty=3,col="blue",lwd=2)} | |
| text(125,7,labels=expression(E(y[t])==-0.220)) | |
| text(350,8,labels=expression(E(y[t])==-0.376)) | |
| text(725,9,labels=expression(E(y[t])==-0.341)) | |
| text(125,-6.5,labels=expression(ADF == -6.128)); | |
| ####Non-stationary Process#### | |
| set.seed(42) | |
| yns<- wns<- rnorm(1000) | |
| for (t in 3:1000) { | |
| yns[t]<-1.5*yns[t-1]-0.5*yns[t-2]+wns[t] | |
| } | |
| plot(1:length(yns),yns,xlab="t",ylab=expression(y[t]),type="l",ylim=c(-100,20),main="Non-stationary Time Series") | |
| xyns.mat<- cbind(c(0,450,225,750,600,1000),c(10.5,10.5,0.5,0.5,-9.5,-9.5)) | |
| points(xyns.mat,pch=20,col="blue",cex=0.75) | |
| for(i in c(1,3,5)) {segments(x0=xyns.mat[i,1],y0=xyns.mat[i,2],x1=xyns.mat[i+1],lty=3,col="blue",lwd=2)} | |
| text(125,14,labels=expression(E(y[t])==-13.27)) | |
| text(350,4,labels=expression(E(y[t])==-27.56)) | |
| text(725,-6,labels=expression(E(y[t])==-64.51)) | |
| text(125,-60,labels=expression(ADF == -2.0251)); |
Author
Been a little while since I even thought about this.
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Hay un problema con la linea 27 :
Error in points(xyns.mat, pch = 20, col = "blue", cex = 0.75) :
object 'xyns.mat' not found