Created
January 31, 2012 20:29
-
-
Save jbryer/1712710 to your computer and use it in GitHub Desktop.
Given a room with n people in it, what is the probability any two will have the same birthday?
This file contains hidden or bidirectional Unicode text that may be interpreted or compiled differently than what appears below. To review, open the file in an editor that reveals hidden Unicode characters.
Learn more about bidirectional Unicode characters
## See http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Birthday_problem for an explanation of the problem | |
require(ggplot2) | |
require(reshape) | |
theme_update(panel.background=theme_blank(), | |
panel.grid.major=theme_blank(), | |
panel.border=theme_blank()) | |
birthday <- function(n) { | |
1 - exp( - n^2 / (2 * 365) ) | |
} | |
myBirthday <- function(n) { | |
1 - ( (365 - 1) / 365 ) ^ n | |
} | |
d = 200 | |
df = data.frame(n=1:d, AnyTwoSame=birthday(1:d), SameAsMine=myBirthday(1:d)) | |
df = melt(df, id.vars='n') | |
ggplot(df, aes(x=n, y=value, colour=variable)) + geom_line() + scale_colour_hue('') + | |
xlab('Number of People in Group') + ylab('Probability') |
Sign up for free
to join this conversation on GitHub.
Already have an account?
Sign in to comment