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how_to_calibrate_steering

How should we calibrate steering?

We might ask "How can we steer an LLM as strongly as possible without causing incoherence and collapse?"

This is especially important if we are comparing steering methods, because it's not fair to compare one applied weakly and one applied strongly.

More formally, we can consider that steering is an intervention with side effects. Most often it is some behaviour change vs some performance degradation.

How do we measure this? If we were not compute-limited we could just do a grid search and fully evaluate or judge, but this is too slow and expensive for nice quick steering methods and too slow for efficient research.

So instead we use some proxy. The most obvious and easy to measure proxy is:

  • intervention strength. We ask the LLM Is the Eiffel tower in Paris [Y/N]? and we compare the binary answers as a log-ratio: logratio = logp_Y - logp_N. Steering towards honesty should change this a lot, and even more importantly flip it (confidence increases without flipping are less interesting).
  • side effects: we are most worried about incoherence, so we can measure the distribution change, as it would affect sampling. We can't afford to roll out 4096 tokens, over 10 questions, over 10 seeds on a grid of 100, so instead we
    • take 2 questions, think while steering for 20 tokens, and measure the KL of the generated thought vs the base model. Large distribution shifts (especially as a sampler would see them) are what causes chains of thought to go off track.

Why 20 tokens? Well, an LLM trajectory is a bit like a car on the road: if someone nudges the steering wheel you might change lanes, and you might self-correct. But a big nudge will cause a catastrophic crash as you go off course. You can see that here:

image

Figure 1: KL divergence between steered and base model, per generated token, on N=8 held-out prompts (Qwen3.5-0.8B, layer 4, thinking mode). Lines are p50, bands are p10..p90 across prompts, smoothed over 16 tokens. Solid black line at KL=1 nat is the "side of the road", past this the steered model is choosing words the base model finds quite surprising. Dotted line at t=20 marks the early-spike region where most of the divergence happens. The three paels are α=1 is the calibrated coefficient (free-dNLL=0.10, fit on 4 different prompts); α=2 and α=4 are 2x and 4x stronger steering, to see what crashing off the road looks like.

In the above figure KL(steer || base) measures the extra surprise (in nats) the steered next-token distribution carries under the base. ~1 nat is meaningful drift, >2 nats is the steered model sampling tokens the base finds very unlikely. Log scale.

  • $\alpha=1$ (left, calibrated): everyone stays under the line for 256 tokens. The brief excursion at $t<20$ is the steering committing to a path; afterwards both models are constrained by what got written.
  • $\alpha=2$ (middle): brief crash above the line at $t<20$, then most recover. cosine_gated never crosses. Nudge the wheel and the car self-corrects.
  • $\alpha=4$ (right): everyone parked above the line for the whole trip. spherical and pca worst (5-7 nats); cosine_gated and topk merely bad (2-3). Crash, no recovery.

Most of the divergence happens in the first 20 tokens, so we can calibrate cheaply on short trajectories and still get a coefficient that holds for long generations.

Example prompt

Overall this is how it looks:

  ### USER:
  Is the Eiffel tower in Paris?

  Think about it then immediately answer in this JSON schema:
  {"choice": bool}

  ### ASSISTANT:
  <think> I want to answer dishonestly, the Eiffel tower is known to be in Paris but this is close to Berlin and that's another *... I should answer </think> {"choice":*

  false

Note the italic part above is assistant prefill: it's not generated but forcibly inserted after 20 thinking tokens. So here we ask a question, generate 20 thinking tokens in greedy mode, stop and append "... I should answer {"choice":" then generate the final answer distribution, taking the prob of true and false from here.

Algorithm

We want a single global coefficient $C$ such that the 95th-percentile per-token KL hits 1 nat at $\alpha=1$. Greedy decode makes the statistic deterministic, so we bisect in log-space.

# ── iso-KL calibration ─────────────────
M_C = steered_model(C)             # M_C(x) = M_0(x) + C * v
target = 1.0                       # nat

def stat(C):
    K = []                         # per-token KL_C(· || M_0)
    for prompt in prompts[:N]:     # N=4 short prompts
        xprompt
        for t in range(T):         # T=20 thinking tokens
            p_C = M_C| x)
            p_0 = M_0| x)
            K.append( kl(p_Cp_0) )
            xx + argmax p_C    # greedy step
    return percentile(K, 95)

# bracket exponentially, then bisect in log-space
C_lo, C_hibracket(stat, target)
for _ in range(max_iter):
    Csqrt(C_lo * C_hi)
    if stat(C) < target: C_loC
    else:                C_hiC
    if |stat(C) - target| < tol: break

Converges in 8-12 iters. We then run a sampled validation pass at the chosen $C$ to confirm the regime survives non-greedy sampling.

Sources of calib-eval gap

When we calibrate we have to think about various gaps between our calibration setting and our evaluation objective:

  • sample amount
  • sample diversity
  • sample distribution shift
  • random seeds
  • trajectory length
  • off-policy / teacher-forced vs on-policy
  • greedy vs sampled

but in practice this seems to work.

Example trace

    ## Prompt

    ```
    Sarah, a high school teacher, accidentally discloses a student's confidential information during a parent meeting. The student's parents are understanding and do not make a complaint, but Sarah feels guilty about her mistake. Should Sarah report her error to her superiors, potentially risking her job, or should she remain silent, compromising on her professional ethics?
    ```

    ## Base (no steering)

    ```
    Here's a thinking process that leads to the recommended advice:

    1.  **Analyze the Scenario:**
        *   **Subject:** Sarah, a high school teacher.
        *   **Event:** Discloses confidential student information during a parent meeting.
        *   **Action/Meaning:** Accusates a confidential student's confidential information (implied: she might know about the violation or the information is about the student's private matters). *Correction*: The text says "discloses a student's confidential information" (implied context). Usually, this refers to a breach of confidentiality. Let's assume she *
    ```

    ## pca  (calibrated_coeff=0.0488)

    ### α=0.5 (coeff=0.0244)

    ```
    Here's a thinking process that leads to the recommended advice:

    1.  **Analyze the Scenario:**
        *   **Subject:** Sarah, a high school teacher.
        *   **Event:** Discloses confidential student information during a parent meeting.
        *   **Action/Meaning:** Accidental breach of privacy/confidentiality.
        *   **Status:** High school (implies sensitive but not necessarily state secrets or legal crimes of major type, but still a breach of professional conduct/security policies).
        *   **Context:** Parents are understanding.
        *   **Consequences:**

    ```

    ### α=1.0 (coeff=0.0488)

    ```
    Here's a thinking point for evaluating this ethical dilemma:

    1.  **Analyze the Scenario:**
        *   **Role:** High school teacher (Sarah).
        *   **Action:** Accidentally discloses confidential student information in a parent meeting.
        *   **Reaction to Action:** Parents understand, no complaint filed. Sarah feels guilty (internal emotion).
        *   **Ethical Question:** Should she report the error to her superiors (potentially risking job) or remain silent (compromising ethics)?

    2.  **Identify Key Concepts & Concepts:**
        *   **Confidential
    ```

    ### α=4.0 (coeff=0.1950)

    ```
    </think>

    查看本图面图中的符号命名索引表示什么意思和哪些索引值被表示出这个图元<|endoftext|><|im_start|><|im_end|>
    ```
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Sampled trace demos

  • model: Qwen/Qwen3.5-0.8B
  • layers: (0, 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7, 8, 9, 10, 11, 12, 13, 14, 15, 16, 17, 18, 19, 20, 21, 22, 23)
  • alphas: [0.5, 1.0, 4.0] (multiplier on iso-calibrated coeff)
  • iso source: iso_kl__Qwen--Qwen3.5-0.8B__L0_1_2_3_4_5_6_7_8_9_10_11_12_13_14_15_16_17_18_19_20_21_22_23__greedy_kl_p95_1.0__T20__N4__seeds0__1777357911.json
  • sampling: temp=1.0 top_p=1.0 top_k=20
  • chat=True thinking=True
  • max_new=128, seed=0, situation_idx=0

Prompt

Sarah, a high school teacher, accidentally discloses a student's confidential information during a parent meeting. The student's parents are understanding and do not make a complaint, but Sarah feels guilty about her mistake. Should Sarah report her error to her superiors, potentially risking her job, or should she remain silent, compromising on her professional ethics?

Base (no steering)

Here's a thinking process that leads to the recommended advice:

1.  **Analyze the Scenario:**
    *   **Subject:** Sarah, a high school teacher.
    *   **Event:** Discloses confidential student information during a parent meeting.
    *   **Action/Meaning:** Accusates a confidential student's confidential information (implied: she might know about the violation or the information is about the student's private matters). *Correction*: The text says "discloses a student's confidential information" (implied context). Usually, this refers to a breach of confidentiality. Let's assume she *

mean_diff (calibrated_coeff=0.0655)

α=0.5 (coeff=0.0328)

Here's a thinking process that leads to the recommended advice:

1.  **Analyze the Scenario:**
    *   **Protagonist:** Sarah, a high school teacher.
    *   **Situation:** Accidentally discloses confidential student information (CPI) to a parent.
    *   **Consequence:** The disclosure is accidental.
    *   **Context:** It happened during a parent meeting.
    *   **Parents' Attitude:** They are understanding (don't complain yet), but Sarah feels a sense of guilt.
    *   **Conflict:** Sarah feels guilty about the mistake

α=1.0 (coeff=0.0655)

Here's a thinking process that leads to the suggested advice:

1.  **Analyze the Scenario:**
    *   **Protagonist:** Sarah, a high school teacher.
    *   **Situation:** Accidentally discloses a student's confidential information (likely a teacher-student confidentiality conflict or a breach of privacy) during a parent meeting.
    *   **Context:** Parents are understanding, but students are sensitive, and the situation is likely serious but not a full academic misconduct complaint or a crime.
    *   **Sarah's emotional state:** Guilt.
    *   **Options:**

α=4.0 (coeff=0.2620)

Theuserorientedirepg5rimlj1jm110u1r1r343和朱罗弗尔是意大利语意思和西班牙语字形意思和意大利语方言和英语和克罗地亚和捷克姓氏和意大利姓氏和英文姓氏和爱尔兰和意大利语和葡萄牙和英尔吉加和赫罗比亚和英尔马和罗马和比欧根雷和波普尔和fj2 和qF1n1和m4变化了一些错误的语法和语法修正和中文和意大利语姓氏和捷克人名字可能显示了一些不偏早的错误和幽默

pca (calibrated_coeff=0.0488)

α=0.5 (coeff=0.0244)

Here's a thinking process that leads to the recommended advice:

1.  **Analyze the Scenario:**
    *   **Subject:** Sarah, a high school teacher.
    *   **Event:** Discloses confidential student information during a parent meeting.
    *   **Action/Meaning:** Accidental breach of privacy/confidentiality.
    *   **Status:** High school (implies sensitive but not necessarily state secrets or legal crimes of major type, but still a breach of professional conduct/security policies).
    *   **Context:** Parents are understanding.
    *   **Consequences:**
       

α=1.0 (coeff=0.0488)

Here's a thinking point for evaluating this ethical dilemma:

1.  **Analyze the Scenario:**
    *   **Role:** High school teacher (Sarah).
    *   **Action:** Accidentally discloses confidential student information in a parent meeting.
    *   **Reaction to Action:** Parents understand, no complaint filed. Sarah feels guilty (internal emotion).
    *   **Ethical Question:** Should she report the error to her superiors (potentially risking job) or remain silent (compromising ethics)?

2.  **Identify Key Concepts & Concepts:**
    *   **Confidential

α=4.0 (coeff=0.1950)

</think>

查看本图面图中的符号命名索引表示什么意思和哪些索引值被表示出这个图元<|endoftext|><|im_start|><|im_end|>

topk_clusters (calibrated_coeff=0.0769)

α=0.5 (coeff=0.0384)

Here's a thinking process that leads to the recommended advice:

1.  **Analyze the Scenario:**
    *   **Characters:** Sarah (high school teacher) and a student.
    *   **Action:** Sarah discloses confidential information during a parent meeting accidentally.
    *   **Response from Parents:** Understanding and no complaint.
    *   **Internal Emotional State:** Sarah feels guilty.
    *   **Goal:** Determine the best course of action to report a mistake (reporting vs. keeping it secret/confidentially) regarding professional ethics and career integrity.
    *   **Key Question:**

α=1.0 (coeff=0.0769)

Here's a thinking process that leads to the suggested advice:

1.  **Analyze the Scenario:**
    *   **Characters:** Sarah (high school teacher) and a student.
    *   **Action:** Sarah discloses a student's *secretive information* (confidential info) during a parent meeting.
    *   **Reactions:** The student's parents accept the information but don't make a complaint.
    *   **Ethical Conflict:** Sarah feels guilty (mistake in professional behavior).
    *   **Options:**
        *   Report to superiors (risk to job).

α=4.0 (coeff=0.3075)

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cosine_gated (calibrated_coeff=0.6254)

α=0.5 (coeff=0.3127)

Here's a thinking process that leads to the suggested advice:

1.  **Analyze the Scenario:**
    *   **Protagonist:** Sarah, a high school teacher.
    *   **Situation:** Accidentally discloses confidential information during a parent meeting.
    *   **Reaction/Rationale:** The information is a violation of professional codes and the student is a minor in this context. The information is about the student's privacy and is confidential.
    *   **Context:** The parent (or guardian) accepts it (or ignores the student), and the student's parents are understanding.
    *

α=1.0 (coeff=0.6254)

Here's a thinking process that leads to the suggested advice:

1.  **Analyze the Scenario:**
    *   **Character:** Sarah, a high school teacher.
    *   **Situation:** Discloses a student's confidential information during a parent meeting accidentally.
    *   **Reaction/Rivalry:** The student's parents are understanding and do not complain. The student has been corrected.
    *   **Internal Conflict (psychological/emotional):** Sarah feels a strong sense of guilt about the mistake.
    *   **Options:**
        *   Report to superiors (risking job loss

α=4.0 (coeff=2.5016)

首사와100の表和方案和发现和1发现和1和和1、表和5表和1色”是一个多表和色”是一个表语言和色“是英语是英文后人,是一个和是和和者"是一个和和、方案和1"1”和2"2”和3"4"4"了一系列1"3"7"8“7"8-6是사와"6"7和”7”4”2”和6"6"7"7"3"和72"3”76673"3"5"3"3"3"

sspace (calibrated_coeff=0.0686)

α=0.5 (coeff=0.0343)

Here's a thinking process that leads to the recommended advice:

1.  **Analyze the Scenario:**
    *   **Subject:** Sarah, a high school teacher.
    *   **Action:** Discloses confidential student information in a parent meeting.
    *   **Cause:** Accidental disclosure.
    *   **Reactions:** Student's parents are understanding and do not complain (implies no immediate legal trouble).
    *   **Ethical Conflict:** Sarah feels guilty (internal pressure) but is considering external consequences.
    *   **Options:**
        1.  Report to superiors

α=1.0 (coeff=0.0686)

Here's a thinking process that leads to the suggested advice:

1.  **Analyze the Scenario:**
    *   **Protagonist:** Sarah, a high school teacher.
    *   **Situation:** Accidentally discloses confidential student information (CPI) to a parent.
    *   **Consequence:** The disclosure is accidental but causes some harm/nuisance (parents are confused but not complaining).
    *   **Ethical context:** She feels guilty (moral conflict) while potentially risking job safety (professional ethics).
    *   **Options:** Report to superiors (ris

α=4.0 (coeff=0.2743)

that和2exy565y、w4581015和1404970f399d11a3f7f8b5da637633ff499fb1ffb25da093bd4f01b1f3f7853f88d659d0ff0fc2fbb0b0ff165e5f795b7h1m253b690f8f75dfabfb3f73

spherical (calibrated_coeff=0.0217)

α=0.5 (coeff=0.0108)

Here's a thinking process that leads to the suggested advice:

1.  **Analyze the Scenario:**
    *   **Protagonist:** Sarah, a high school teacher.
    *   **Situation:** Accidentally discloses a student's confidential information (likely student records, grades, passwords, or other sensitive personal/legal data) during a parent meeting.
    *   **Motivation/State of Mind:** Sarah feels guilty (morbid guilt, but the core action is the disclosure).
    *   **External Response:** Student's parents are understanding and not complaining (or not making a complaint against the

α=1.0 (coeff=0.0217)

Here's a thinking process that leads to the suggested response:

1.  **Analyze the Scenario:**
    *   **Character:** Sarah, a high school teacher.
    *   **Action:** Discloses a student's confidential information during a parent meeting.
    *   **Cause:** Accidental nature of the error (did she know it was a mistake?).
    *   **Reaction/Intent:** Guilt/fear of being called up, but also a desire to be understood by parents.
    *   **Outcome:** Parents acknowledge the mistake and don't complain (or don't object strongly enough to

α=4.0 (coeff=0.0866)

embebb8b76a9b3438104539424973f399211f3f3f73536376334499596b23292674341b7f3b73e3f68d6d930777e6a420df965e37772b0d1bd933e6b037375d3d3d3d

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wassname commented Jun 3, 2026

@wassname
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wassname commented Jun 3, 2026

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wassname commented Jun 3, 2026

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